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  2. Thankfully dropped but as that line moves east it’s exploding. LSV special incoming.
  3. I agree 100%. Ive thought of that everytime I hear 97-98 brought up followed by expectations that Dec will be the warmest and Feb the coldest month. That is NOT 97-98 lol. For us, we know its going to snow. It always does. The more we salvage in Nov-Dec IMO will be the better chance for an ok snow season total by April. I also think theres no doubt we get some huge winter storms in the country. Will they hit us like in 1878 or 1992, or miss like in 1958 or 1983?
  4. Yeah I mean I’m not saying I don’t like it, but doesn’t move the weenie.
  5. Euro AI basically stalls it between OBX and OCMD from late Tuesday through Saturday before bringing it onshore and dissipating. Sharp gradient of rainfall. But 3”+ for the eastern shore and VA beach areas. Op euro keeps it offshore the whole time. Just a beach erosion concern.
  6. They always go warm every single winter . They might end up being right here though.
  7. If that banana high noses in more…it’ll block it from running ots.
  8. No warnings currently in New England, looks like best SW
  9. i am always very envious of your yard and the view. you are a lucky guy!
  10. That was unprecedented. It’s been snowing like crazy (feet) in Utah already and it’s mid October. The seasons already off to a better start. .
  11. No Lamar this week again https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50197342/ravens-rule-qb-jackson-huntley-start-browns
  12. 77 in Emmitsburg MD at 2:15PM then 82 by the time I got to Fort Ritchie followed by 84 right now in Pen Mar. Heat is out west.
  13. That's what I thought until last winter. It rained to 10,000 ft repeatedly in Utah and Colorado. Just absurd how fast the planet is warming. Very scary.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. Yeah for sure. Tahoe is rather low at 6,000’ in comparison to what’s possible in the sierra. Mammoth lakes for example is 8,000’ and of course you have peaks over 14,000’. Once you get above 10k it doesn’t really matter how warm the flow is, it’s going to snow. Allot of the Colorado resorts for example go up and over 12,000’. .
  16. Now tagged TOR POSSIBLE for Williamsport area.
  17. Depends how high the snow levels get. If we have subtropical/warm origins events all the time, Lake Tahoe for example might be wet a lot of the time and you have to go to the high slopes to see much.
  18. Already getting gust to 25 or so.at times
  19. 12z Euro much closer but still heads ots
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  21. guess its time for me to renew aguacero for models, lol. but in the meantime, can you drop a hint?
  22. Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.
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