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  2. We got blessed with a third of an inch of rain here in Pine Knolls over the course of a half hour. 78.4/74.8 29.80in
  3. I mean TDS height approaching 10 kft and Vrot of 25 kt would put you in the high end EF1/low end EF2 range. So I would think we would eventually hear something.
  4. Per LWX, on the 12z KIAD sounding, PWAT was 1.05. On the 18z, it was 1.52
  5. Well per the TBWI radar, the bay breeze has made it west of me here in Odenton and it continues to push west a bit. So if that will be the dividing line/focal point for severe storms vs more garden variety stuff - then a good chunk of the area will be east of that.
  6. another day at 95+ for DC.
  7. Confirmed TOG by spotters BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Cleveland OH 425 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 The National Weather Service in Cleveland has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northeastern Crawford County in northwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 515 PM EDT. * At 425 PM EDT, a confirmed tornado was located near Cambridge Springs, or 9 miles north of Meadville, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Damaging tornado. SOURCE...Weather spotters confirmed tornado. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * The tornado will be near... Meadville and Cambridge Springs around 430 PM EDT. Guys Mills around 435 PM EDT. Lincolnville, Canadohta Lake, and Riceville around 440 PM EDT. Titusville around 450 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Venango, Townville, Woodcock, Blooming Valley, Saegertown, and Hydetown.
  8. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 335 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 415 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Western and Central Maryland Central and Northern Virginia Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to increase this afternoon and evening within the warm, moist, and unstable environment in place across the region. Recent 18Z sounding at IAD sampled 42 kt of 0-6 km shear, which is more than sufficient for updraft organization. General expectation is for multiple rounds of occasionally severe storms, with damaging gusts as the primary severe hazard. Isolated instances of large hail could occur as well. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Martinsburg WV to 40 miles southeast of Lynchburg VA. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
  9. Entire area west of the Bay under a severe thunderstorm watch until 11.
  10. 89F/DP 67F at 4:20pm. We'll probably eek 90F....
  11. https://twitter.com/tim_grooms/status/2066243886733742497?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
  12. Falls apart next frame
  13. Thanks for responding/correcting me. I suppose my main take was based on assuming the storm initiation method would be the same. To my knowledge Friday and Thursday had storms due to the Lee trough and intense heating generating cape and basically hitting convective temp around 3pm. I didn’t realize today was more synoptic based for storm development. I suppose I haven’t had practice with these yet. Though, I never thought that if storms popped they wouldn’t be nasty with the increased, especially considering WxUSF mentioning we are now 2000+ CAPE.
  14. Anything that will have the potential to be severe needs to pop off between now and sunset. "Squall" line comes in too late. Sea breeze storm euthanasia is well inland here.
  15. Brown water effect. It’s been wet in the Miss River Valley recently.
  16. You got a link to that? Preferably the height temp dep point sheet. I still have some full page skew-T sheets I took from my lab at UVA and would love to do a hand written analysis
  17. I’ll always root for Big East players/teams, glad to see Brunson/Bridges/Hart win.
  18. Yep. Tropical storm at landfall before regaining TS strength over OK. Hard to imagine a not even TD organizing and strengthening over land except perhaps crossing over swampland
  19. Late to the party but wow, what a win! Excited for next Friday’s game…go USA!
  20. Yep. Might as well head towards Pontiac to Kankakee and camp out there until the event lol.
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