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Understood.
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Thankfully dropped but as that line moves east it’s exploding. LSV special incoming.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I agree 100%. Ive thought of that everytime I hear 97-98 brought up followed by expectations that Dec will be the warmest and Feb the coldest month. That is NOT 97-98 lol. For us, we know its going to snow. It always does. The more we salvage in Nov-Dec IMO will be the better chance for an ok snow season total by April. I also think theres no doubt we get some huge winter storms in the country. Will they hit us like in 1878 or 1992, or miss like in 1958 or 1983? -
Yeah I mean I’m not saying I don’t like it, but doesn’t move the weenie.
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Euro AI basically stalls it between OBX and OCMD from late Tuesday through Saturday before bringing it onshore and dissipating. Sharp gradient of rainfall. But 3”+ for the eastern shore and VA beach areas. Op euro keeps it offshore the whole time. Just a beach erosion concern.
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They always go warm every single winter . They might end up being right here though.
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Beechnut
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If that banana high noses in more…it’ll block it from running ots.
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No warnings currently in New England, looks like best SW
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i am always very envious of your yard and the view. you are a lucky guy!
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That was unprecedented. It’s been snowing like crazy (feet) in Utah already and it’s mid October. The seasons already off to a better start. .
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No Lamar this week again https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50197342/ravens-rule-qb-jackson-huntley-start-browns
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77 in Emmitsburg MD at 2:15PM then 82 by the time I got to Fort Ritchie followed by 84 right now in Pen Mar. Heat is out west.
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That's what I thought until last winter. It rained to 10,000 ft repeatedly in Utah and Colorado. Just absurd how fast the planet is warming. Very scary.
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Yeah for sure. Tahoe is rather low at 6,000’ in comparison to what’s possible in the sierra. Mammoth lakes for example is 8,000’ and of course you have peaks over 14,000’. Once you get above 10k it doesn’t really matter how warm the flow is, it’s going to snow. Allot of the Colorado resorts for example go up and over 12,000’. .
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Central PA Autumn 2026
Itstrainingtime replied to canderson's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Now tagged TOR POSSIBLE for Williamsport area. -
Depends how high the snow levels get. If we have subtropical/warm origins events all the time, Lake Tahoe for example might be wet a lot of the time and you have to go to the high slopes to see much.
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Already getting gust to 25 or so.at times
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12z Euro much closer but still heads ots
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Met1985 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Heck yeah! -
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guess its time for me to renew aguacero for models, lol. but in the meantime, can you drop a hint?
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rather impressive to see the warm sector clear out so much. While surface CAPE is small and likely a narrow profile, there's okay lapse rates and respectable shear, which is probably why the DCAPE is decent. I'd still favor north of Mason-Dixon for any more scattered to widespread severe winds, etc.- 2,588 replies
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