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  2. Have to save A+ for 1995-1996. This season will get an A. It occurred to me that for one to have experienced 1995-1996 with some degree of understanding, you would have to be at least 40-45 years old now. For anyone younger, check out that season's frozen events on Ray's Winter Archive; November to April.
  3. A good number of the last posts here would imho better belong in the 25-26 thread instead of 26-27. Isn’t March of ‘26 part of 25-26?
  4. Without an AO-, there's nothing to lock in the trough.
  5. Does the wolf have Rabies? Unacceptable!
  6. FV3 soundings seem legit as the squall line approaches. Steep (nearly unconditionally unstable lmao) low level lapse rates. Decent turning of wind with height and sheer increase. Just lacking in the cape department past the LCL. Would need just a bit of a trigger to get some storms I think considering the lower levels lapse rates.
  7. I went back through my last few years of pictures and you are right on. The crocuses and daffodils are a good two weeks behind the warm years, as are our flowering trees. The irises are a bit closer to normal.
  8. Yeah I don't get it.. I mean if fantasy day 16 storms don't pan out in late March when will it? Clearly it has under done the freezing rain threat for DC.
  9. If this is cold "winning" the battle, I'd hate to see the alternative.
  10. Wow, actually looks like 2012 at times. People should be happy as we'll finally be moving on to spring. Y'all had a great winter, no one should be complaining about this.
  11. So for the dedicated snow weenies here, what is your take on when ASOS reports UP? I always thought it was IP, but can it be a mix of R/S/ or R/IP or S/R/IP? Never ZR?
  12. Wow it’s nice out, might have to take a break and wash the car
  13. Ayer MA SNOINCR 8! Bright-banding was not melting snowflakes aloft, it was giant dendrites making to the surface! This was a watershed event in a way b/c it was then recognized how important the DGZ was (not all snowflakes created equal!) Seriously, DGZ and flake type was not a thing prior, and least in mainstream forecasting. Pretty MEH sfc low as well for this event. Not much wind either.
  14. IF this occurs, we’d be looking at the realistic possibility for the 2nd warmest March on record in places like Atlanta. Currently, their warmest on record is the 64.5F of 2012. That appears out of reach. However, their 2nd warmest is the 61.8 of 1945. As it is now, a record warmest first 1/2 of March near 64.5 is looking likely there assuming I haven’t missed any warmer ones. But then it’s looking to cool down significantly to ~50 for 3/16-22. That would bring the MTD down to ~60 as of March 22. Then March 23-31 would need to average 66.2 to get the full March average to 61.8. That’s ~8 AN for 3/23-31. I suppose there’d be a chance for it to be that warm although that’s 2-3 weeks away, too far to be able to predict.
  15. Looks like it The warmth will finally be winning out. First time all winter. Not shocking since its near spring.
  16. Snow or no snow, the cold is going to wipe out all these early blooms
  17. Cant wait for lower 20s late next week killing everything
  18. As I noted earlier, I was down on the chances, because I'm not sure what would trigger storms during peak heating. The HiResW FV3, RRFS, and ECMWF do all suggest cells in our area, however, Wednesday afternoon in an overall somewhat favorable environment, so I can't ignore that.
  19. Beautiful blue skies here and nice and warm outside. Just brought something out to my client's car and it's gorgeous
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