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12Z EPS and Euro AIFS love to hang some cooler wx through mid month. They'll be milder days for sure...but kind of an overall cooler regime.

WB 12Z EURO: snow only 8 days away...

Looks like a coastal but it's a close call

It's here! Severe season!!!

Well today's been grand for the Orioles.

I actually think it ends up as a top 3 super El Niño. IMO it peaks at over +2.5C (ONI and RONI) in the November/December time frame. I also believe it’s going to be an east-based/East Pacific event

Really feels like it doesn't it? I just know its really dry and breeze today in WNC and I have a hard time believing it will rain much with this strong NW flow.

Based

I feel like persistent 40's are close to being done with. 50's/60s are next on the ladder for immediate coast.

Columbia imby: 4/29 received 0.47” and 2.10” for April

Lol, are we sure it's not January? A model battle between GFS CMC ICON vs Euro, UKMET, RGEM, north trend south trend disagreement, low tracking of the coast of Florida? But what about sun angle?

I have a feeling a few local growers won't be recovering. Put this loss on top of the hike in insect disease and pest management overhead over the last few years, it gives these guys a lot to think about.

NYC was very close to JFK and LGA in staying under 50”. So even if there was a small undermeasurement, it would have been closer to 45” and not 50”. For NYC along with JFK and LGA they need a winter average temperature near 32.0° or lower just to have a chance at a 50” season. While it’s necessary, it’s not always sufficient. That’s what happened this season. ISP was able to have a 50”+season in 2017-2018 without NYC, JFK, and LGA averaging near freezing. Same for EWR coming closer to 50” in 2020-2021 than other local stations during another milder than average winter. ISP and EWR tend to get heavier snowfall totals than NYC, JFK and LGA, due to the best banding often setting up just west of the Hudson and out across Long Island. It’s on rare occasions like January 2016 and February 2006 that the jackpot band sets up directly over or near NYC, JFK, and LGA. So this was the first winter in 11 years that NYC averaged near 32° as the winters have warmed so much after the 2015-2016 global temperature baseline jump. It’s uncertain when the next one will occur. Since the challenge for NYC to reach 50” arises from a shrinking pool of winters near 32° as the climate warms. But I think that there could be a small chance that it could happen. NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 45.6 CT GUILFORD CENTER 2.7 WSW CoCoRaHS 45.5 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 45.4 NY AMITYVILLE 0.6 NNE CoCoRaHS 45.4 NY BELLMORE 0.9 SSE CoCoRaHS 45.1 NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 2.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 45.0 NJ PALISADES PARK 0.2 WNW CoCoRaHS 44.9 NJ NEW PROVIDENCE 0.8 ESE CoCoRaHS 44.8 CT MYSTIC 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 43.9 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 43.4 NY CORNWALL ON HUDSON 0.6 NNW CoCoRaHS 43.1 NY LINDENHURST 1.0 NE CoCoRaHS 43.1

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Euro, UK, and AIFS all south. RDPS was pretty south too

Yes, it is.And it's such a tough time already for everyone. I'm not sure about them specifically, but crop damage is still rolling in as of today. Just found out that strawberries took a huge hit.I thought that they'd be okay.

lol okay so a 12 month sample makes you question "why such a small sample size?" But a 52 day sample size is clearly good enough for you to post Explain this to me. Why is a 52 day data set better than a 12 month one?

Guess Euro was exception. GFS ICON CMC and mesos all went NW from what I could tell

You sure about that?

lol your talking points ran in a circle and immediately go back to my entire point of that whole post.

Fortunately we have leadership and the people coming around to the climate grifts that have been taking place with folks like Al Gore...but c'mon chesco don't be a denier - there is clear scientific consensus - you know that 97% consensus story - LOL!!!!

Clifton, NJ .57 event. 2.77" for April 65% of normal. 12.0" year to date - 75% of normal.