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  2. I don’t think we can know much about this week coming up until the development and strengthening of the coastal to our southeast is resolved. The models are still trying to figure out what to do even now with that coastal. Anything beyond 100 hours is an absolute crap shoot? In the meantime enjoy cold, dry, and snowpack with a screaming west-northwesterly flow of blocking.
  3. Yes, watched him. Seems he thinking our area, just outside west of Spex, is dry slotted for a lot of this event. Hope he’s wrong.
  4. Not a particularly awe inspiring Euro run
  5. We might get above freezing next week! Time to break out the shorts and tshirts!
  6. Here we go! Roads will get slick in Chattanooga late tonight and Saturday morning. probably not as bad as 2014 since we are not as cold. I like the rest of the MRX snow chart too.
  7. I think everyone is just happy it's NOT Patullo....ANYONE is better. And I'm glad he's a QB coach...hopefully he meshes well with Jalen.
  8. To an extent I see what he means, but unless this storm really gets shunted East, I don't see what he's saying. This storm is exploding and back building and I personally think it will build farther back north and west than what he's concerned about.
  9. Snowing to beat the band on top of me in Knoxville, but none is reaching the ground.
  10. Can you dumb this down for me? Are you basically saying that the dry air shouldn’t be as egregious because it’s so cold the snow will form below it?? Thanks!
  11. Didn’t check to see if it’s been talked about, but this little upper level low is disrupting the flow, today’s model runs trended farther S with this piece and the actual potential event as well
  12. If it’s based on this weekend they are completely different setups. Besides this weekend was never a good chance! It had a high upside but the ens barely ever had a 30%+ of an inch!
  13. I saw it… but I don’t see this idea heavily represented anywhere trustworthy except from him. The idea being 1-3 and he seems locked in.
  14. 1st & Final Call (Parenthesis is potential; Bigger gap means higher boom/bust potential) Favored Models: Blend of EUROAI & RRFS (Experimental model that will replace NAM this spring) AVL: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) CLT: 4-8 (High:10/Low:3) FAY: 6-10 (High:12/Low:4) GSO: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) GSP: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) GVL: 10-15 (High:20/Low:5) (Likely area to be sweet spot given model trends of last 48 hours. Will get longest duration of coastal banding due to strengthening/consolidating SLP and 850 low) HKY: 3-6 (High:10/Low:3) (Foothills away from the escarpment will have some additional forcing due to upslope. Also lee trough/frontogenesis forcing due to thermal gradient) ILM: 4-8 (High:12/Low:4) RDU: 4-8 (High:12/Low:1) (Area of higher boom/bust potential due to dry air infiltration from parent HP and coastal energy transfer. The Triangle will also be close to the edge of the coastal death band. Bust potential is likely being overdone but I am putting it in as models have shown it) VAB: 4-8 (High:12/Low:2)
  15. Fair. Take the op guidance with a grain of salt tho. And if im going by surface maps alone, the aigfs and aifs have been respectable at range.
  16. This type of cold hits different when there is snow on the ground. How deep winter should be. But I am soon ready for warmer weather and some stretches of nice spring like weather. That first stretch of 60's we get is going to be something.
  17. Picked up a quick inch from the initial band, sun is out now just 2 miles west of the loop. We’ll see what the later stuff does as it swings through
  18. https://www.facebook.com/share/r/172GeNykcS/?mibextid=wwXIfr Brad P’s thinking regarding the potential dry slot.
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