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Can I play devil's advocate for a minute? To "society," what is the actual difference between 100F vs. 104F? I'm not a fan of media, social media hype, etc. But maybe I'm jaded and just expect some level of hyperbole to occur in any content we consume (social media, streaming, TV, even radio), whether I agree or not. I certainly agree that it's way overblown, annoyingly so. I take solace in the fact that it might alert the public to a very hot period. Anyone without A/C doesn't care if it's 100F or 104F for an official high. It's an urban area, it's really hot regardless of the actual value. I think hyping low wind-chills can be a bit overblown too, but at the end of the day, the public knows it will be uncomfortable for a few days. I always wonder what would happen if they downplayed everything.
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Speaking of 1975. I was 19 years old and a weather nerd. I vaguly remember that. I think it was on a NW flow with very low dews? Also what was the date that was the old weather forum meeting at BWI? That was one of the hottest BWI days but with very high dews.
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I have got more rain in the last few hours and more to come than what seems like the last 4 months combined! Lots of lightning too
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I think this is the most amazing earthquake video i have ever seen. Seems legit. I have never seen people being literally thrown to the ground.
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WaveBreaking changed their profile photo
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100 three days in a row huh
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HRRR is active tomorrow
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I guarantee you those differences are nearly all placement. I would bet my life on that. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I think in 2011 New Cumberland had confirmed heat index of 122 or something similar. That's the highest I've ever seen around here. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
GliaBoy joined the community
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Adam overweights ENSO. That works in super Nino years like this, 23-24, 15-16 etc, but outside of that it fails. It’s especially egregious to do that during weak ENSO like this past winter (weak La Niña). So yeah, Adam is probably going to be more right than not this year not because his process is good, but because his process happens to work during super ninos. That said, sometimes over analysis can be harmful. At a high level super ninos are warm and wet in the east, whether they are east based, basin wide, +PDO, -PDO etc. This is where I agree with him saying it won’t be a difficult forecast this winter. It’s ok though, we got a ton of snow this past winter and the past 2 winters have been cold, so im ok with the warm lovers getting their way this year. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We've never hit 4 days above 100. I don't think weve had 4 days above 98 or 99. in a week a bunch will be in d3/d4 territory with no real break in 16 day forcast. 1966 was in a different stratosphere. In the midst of a 3-year severe drought and going into June with 15% rainfall. If you want to see something left look at the low temperatures not summer it would fly up into the mid and upper 90s and drop down to 60 at night. Basically we turned into Arizona Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
They can play with anyone. They have the talent, just don’t play to their potential really ever
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Storm #3 Aug 1924 tracked is so very close Nantucket (look at the track attached), it is essentially a landfall. Splitting hairs here I know, but the RMW and core would be over land so practical purposes, this I think it can count. As for 1930s extremes? You want to talk about "wx whiplash?" (cheesy made-up term by the media, but sometimes you have to fight fire w/ fire!). How about this? In ND during 1936, only 5 months apart, all-time record hot and cold temps for the state were set. 121 F occurred at Steele on 7/6 and -60 F at Parshall on 2/15. The 1930s was a lot more than just the Dust Bowl for U.S. wx extremes, and for the globe as well.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This one is going to be bad. It also sets us up for a legit possibility of something worse later in July if drought doesn't break. I think the bigger story is due to the frost and our current trajectory, PA agriculture, especially in this area is going to have top 3 worse year in last 100. I have no idea just how bad it may become for them. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Pete is a wasted bandaid. 3 years from now he's Chris Davis. And they are not ready to win now or in the next couple years.
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The CORE has struggled since mid 2024. No one has gotten better. Thats the problem. No money spent on FA starters doomed them as well
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Another awesome photo!
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Can we sell the GM and Manager too. This team is awful. I loved when they puffed there chest out after taking 2 of 3 from the dodgers saying they can play with anyone.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I had some testing today so spent far too many hours waiting in between tests. Enough hours to download 50gb or so of all kinds of reanalysis data for land, soil, atmosphere, hydro. Anyways. Here are the top heat analogs when taking into account hydro and soil. 1999, 1966, 1991, 1953. Here is some info attached. 2011 thrown in for recent and ungodly dewpoints. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
You’d be surprised about how nice the heated steering is. And the ventilated seats are great. I bought a used Mazda CX-5 that has both. It’s probably ruined me for lower trim levels from now on.
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This team should sell everyone. Absolutely terrible. The worst thing for the Orioles future is how bad the AL is right now. They’re delusional.
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Yes and I really like my cooled seats too.
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Since we cant do cold and winter storms down here for the most part, I'd say lets got for the bit torch and set records. We know the piedmont can do heat no problem at all. We got that down toa science here
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