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  2. yes look at the 0Z Euro starting at 12Z Thursday tracking that western storm which disappears in transit
  3. gonna enjoy a nice weekend sat high 52 sun 44 doubt even if we got precip we would see snow. They are opening up the deck at a local bar sat night think ill head out with my friends.
  4. 1-1.5 cm/.5-.75" of ice forecast here, come on Not to mention the unholy winds during mid-day.
  5. The 0Z Euro at the surface is a bunch of nonsense IMO. It takes the storm entering the west coast at 12Z Thursday and it is still getting stronger as it it moves into the plains then just vanishes. Then it takes an area of showers in the southeast and a strung out mess exits the southeast coast - looks nothing like the 12Z run
  6. I would say the tough part is the 2 feet shown on some model runs. With that said, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised to have many pull out 6-12
  7. I know. Its just a bad night for the models.
  8. why would 6Z be any different with old incomplete data ? Plus read my post about the storm not entering the west coast till 12Z Thursday - now the storm is probably in a sparse data region in the Pacific and not fully evaluated yet
  9. Alll the shroves of Shrove Tuesday
  10. Enjoy the Sunday afternoon snow showers. Looks increasingly likely I’m going to Houston this weekend. Will wait tilll tomm afternoon to call time of death
  11. homemade breakfast sausage and sausage gravy.
  12. IMO - I don't think the energy (storm) that is going to track across the country in the next few days has been fully sampled yet and fed into the models along with the northern energy. The west coast storm is progged to reach the west coast by 12Z Thursday. IMO expect further changes in model solutions over the next few days
  13. Euro AI has been trending worse every run but it's the only hope we got.
  14. If I knew the answer to that. No the models know better than we humans do. But I will say that historically it's gone both ways. And it's also possible they'll bring back and less magnificent storm of 1-3,2-4, 3-6" or so or that we'll remain in the outer snowbands with a lighter/wetter snowfall. We need the ridge out west to stay stronger and leave enough room for this system to get wrapped up the way some of the models earlier depicted it. On most of the 00Z runs the top of the ridge was flattened making for a more progressive flatter trough in the east. As long as the AI models have this thing IMO it's a legitimate threat. WX/PT
  15. Pretty nice returns over you atm no? How's it hanging?
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