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I will say, I prefer the warm weather over cold, but since the weather is out of my control, and it's gonna be cold, then LET IT SNOW!!

I remember years asking on this forum (or probably a predecessor forum) what's the longest they've seen a plowed pile of snow last. Someone within this forum's geographic area responded June - I want to say it wasn't plowed but rather snow that had been somehow packed in somewhere in the shade on the side of some mountain. June!

That was a fun place 50 years ago.

I understand theres only so much you can do with observation sites...but i feel the ultimate goal should always be having the best setup and doing it the right way. We see so much of "this station runs cold so its only fair this one runs warm"...or..."they undermeasured that snowfall so they should overmeasure this one".

Despite the yellows over us, this isn't exactly a warm look. Anticyclonic ridge out west where we want it, and broad cyclonic trough over midwest/east/NE. Trough NW of Hawaii with -EPO/-WPO and hint of GL blocking, with continued Scand ridging. Second half of Jan could be fun.

Never saw any rain up at 1500ft that I could tell. Snowing now with a dusting of white at 33F.

I was just thinking earlier today, what if the January thaw that we normally get was displaced by a few weeks into December instead of January. Wouldn’t that be something! Now, don’t get me wrong, I’m not calling for that, nor do I even know if there’s any precedent for that. It’s just a thought I had.

Yeah fwiw we get an EPO ridge by mid month and the NA looks decent too. This h5 look has been persistent over multiple runs so we shall see.

I can't swear it isn't redundant, but a lot of the climate data we look at comes from there.

Trending towards the powerhouse Scandinavian block scenario in that 8-10 range on the EPS. As a consequence of that, it's also trending towards a powerhouse Greenland block scenario arriving in the longer range 11-15 day clusters.

There is going to be a pattern reshuffle eventually. As far as part of January being warm. We always have at least one week of warm weather in January. Also known as the January thaw. Maybe we’re having it in December instead. People need to remind themselves that the biggest snows for Tennessee usually occur in February. Especially for West and Middle Tennessee.

It’s truly unbelievable that people say they want snow, but they seem to be more happier with the warmer temps. I call them trolls. If winter is really over like they say, why are they even chatting in a winter forum?

With not much going on weather wise right now it’s a good time to take some chlorinated water and convert it to RO water stripping the chlorine and minerals out to run in the humidifier in the greenhouse.

It’s definitely not a stable look for sure, but it’s darn persistent on guidance in some shape or form. It’s just bizarre to me. I can’t recall anything like it. Of course we can’t get a nice deep trough out west and a SE ridge with that look because if we did, I feel like it would be a fun pattern. But God forbid we have something in our favor.

What did you do to snowhole? Lol

Carver, I believe if the nao can become west based, we will be in better shape. Hoping we don't squander most of January on warmer than normal. Still need a pattern reshuffle to have a chance later imo

If we care about the euro weeklies, looks like things are mostly crappy until the last week (19-26 Jan) when the PAC ridge shifts east into Alaska and BC. Until then…ehhh…

Also Jan 7, 2004 - Feb 3, 2004 at EWR consecutive below daily dep

It would be nice to experience a good thunderstorm this time of year. There is also a myth to having a thunderstorm in winter. Something like within 10 days of a thunderstorm in winter there will be a snowstorm.

#wedge

The period Dec 18, 2000 - Jan 10, 2001 was for EWR. Will check NYC.

Indeed, I found an 80mph gust in the last hour at the bottom of the canyon. Also, CDOT has closed 36 between Lyons and Boulder due to wind, which is probably a very wise move given the orientation and the fact that it hugs the base of the foothills.

Porked... :(

It’s an unstable longwave pattern so these types don’t last very long. The closest analogs are mostly El Niño years. Early Jan 1952, late Dec 1957 and Dec 1965. Hopefully those roll over the same way because those years had some great patterns a few weeks later. But I kind of agree with @brooklynwx99, it’s not going to verify exactly as depicted for 10-14 days on end. It’s prob going to trend toward something a bit more stable. Hopefully that means on the snowier side for us and not the furnace side.

Pretty much gone here