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Haha yup. its definitely coming. I’ll go out on a limb. Islip sees 6”+ from this storm.
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
bncho replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
that's hour 114, wait a little bit and there'll be more good hits -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
WXNewton replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
without proper data sampling, this model watching is useless. The NYC forum posters are jumping of the Verazzano right now after tonights runs. If the 12Z models tomorrow do show some slight improvment, this will be a fish storm. I would want to see the OZ NAM run tommorrow night at 72 hours. IF the LP is at the benchmark then, game on. Going to bed -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Weather Will replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Chris78 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Would be nice to get another model on board. Gfs vs. The world usually doesn't end well -
As you should. What fun is it riding the ukie here.
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GFS is best for these southern stream coastals but we need some major shifts soon or this threat is done
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
Wxbear25 replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
yeah, I think the QPF ticking down is moreso a function of losing some of the super-super amped ones, but on the whole they congealed pretty well further west. Now we just need to get to work on the "more north" part -
I'm not backing down yet. I still think it's coming. The Canadian is fixable. The gfs continues to improve even though it's a total trash model. The ukie looks lost. The Euro needs to show something by 12z tomorrow or the threat is in trouble.
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Climate175 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Trends cannot be ignored… -
Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The UK is headed for Bermuda. -
There are 2 types of ass models. The GFS is not the type I like.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
Rd9108 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
The 4 Seasons replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Honestly GEFS is a tick better than 18Z again, QPF aside...the mean and spread has moved west once again. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Weather Will replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
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Normal for Ukie. im riding the GFS here
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1/28 00z GEFS total mean QPF
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Possible coastal storm centered on Feb 1 2026.
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Close enough So we can all get a bomb…that’s what we all want. -
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
LeesburgWx replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I was just about to comment on this because of the higher amounts being much further north now -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
BornAgain13 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
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The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Ji replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
i was noticing the same thing--what the heck -
This would kind of be an epic fail by the GEFS though. I do feel most cases of the GFS dropping the ball on big storms the GEFS has tended to not really support iy most of the time.
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I mean 12”+ for Long Island is not out to sea but sure
