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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not according to the study @ provided. It shows that +QBO/El Nino strengthens the STJ “During El Niño and +QBO, the strongest STJs occur, and a warm pole/wave two pattern is found.” Here is the link: https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2022JD036691 -
Loaded just may train over the same areas that got 3-4 inches of rain earlier sparing most of NYC. We’ll see though .
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looks like a bust incoming. No sun to convectively fire these storms ahead of the front!. I think we'll get some rain but there no great lift like we usually get from summer storms
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Some rotation enhancement with the line coming through down near Riviera Beach. Curious to see the next few scans.
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I get both of your frustrations, and it seems like you have lived in a donut hole for the past couple of years. I was only responding to comments regarding the monsoon bust, which it clearly is not busting. Obviously, the SE metro begs to differ but that is more localized rather than indicative of the status of the region as a whole.
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This is a picture looking into the supercell’s Wall Cloud in Greene County from the perspective of Mosheim which later spawned a (debris radar confirmed) tornado near the base of Viking Mountain and Margarette Falls.
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Tornado OTG confirmed
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Some loudly barking storms came through, but didn't drop much rain. Only 0.2" Overall a much better day for the region and my local area, helping the water tables some.
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Caught a debris ball, I think, for the Greene county storm: Looks like a similar place to the couplet: A friend sent my wife these pics of the Greene County storm. Looks like they are pretty zoomed in: Another pic of the storms growing down this way:
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
AlexD1990 replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
All kidney shaped. The one has a warning on it- 1,612 replies
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Looks like the storms just to my NW are about to go severe. Hopefully Buckethead will check in after that tornado warned cell passes by. These storms going to produce rotating super cells. -
Lost power twice in these storms tonight . In curious to see how much rain I'm getting
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If that line holds together I might get hit but looks like a whiff for you. Maybe it'll fill in a bit more.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
RickinBaltimore replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Hailing in Dundalk, pouring rain.- 1,612 replies
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Now inside new warning box, here we go.
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