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WB latest GEFS extended showing a snowy look for the last week of January.

Really? At 12z it was thought to be as dead as dead could be. 8 hrs later and it’s done a 180?

I've been talking about cold retrogressing to the West with time in 2026. We're finally seeing it show up now. Will be curious to see how the winter finishes up nationally. We're running "only" +6F now for January, big improvement on December since we're already 150% of average for moisture this month. A lot of the NW is running +10-20 above normal winter to date. Its hard to believe some kind of nasty regression to the mean isn't coming with Western Canada still very cold. As the cold moves toward a more-centered West location and moisture picks up as the La Nina weakens/dies, we should slowly move into a regime of different storm tracks and more powerful systems. I fully expect large areas of the lower 48 to see most of their significant snows in Feb-Mar. Activity by NE Asia earlier in the month supported more western storminess very late month January.

Great post & reminder of what our seasonal averages are in the LSV. MDT averages 30 inches of snow per season. The monthly breakdown if I recall correctly is 1 inch in November, 5 in December, 9 in January, 10 in February & 5 in March. Currently MDT is sitting at 5 inches for the season to date. By the end of January, MDT needs to score about 11 inches to stay on pace for the seasonal average.

They’re probably waiting for the 0z runs just to be sure.

Funny you say that: the NBM’s footprint is further west tonight than some of the snowier OPs we saw at 18z. It would favor Delmarva southwest through the Virginia/NC piedmonts into western NC.

Active times coming up. Details TBD

It's insane how hostile this region is to snow.

Maybe NWS needs a new category? They could start issuing WSSP‘s. “winter storm speculation” maybe use a weenie color shading on the map,

AFC championship game. Allen vs Maye for all the marbles.

Tales from...you know things are bad when... If there was an imminent large storm to track or we were on the eve of one, no one would even mention it. But it's all we got, OP fantasy colors. Def keep an eye on this one, though it's got a shot. 18 GEFS still has a good handful of hits or just near misses- depending on where you live.

This is fantastic, lolol

I just recently set up a few folks on the “Ignore” feature on here for the first time in my 12 years of membership. My viewing experience on here is already so much better. If no one replies, I’ll never see certain posts. I highly recommend it!

Yeah obviously. I mean maybe for the season in the lake effect area sure. But central Ohio? No way.

Yeah I was hoping winter storm watches would be posted tonight.

I’ve looked at a lot of snow maps in my lifetime, but I’m not sure if I’ve ever seen a 16 day map for Central PA that produced these insane amounts. I think most would be thrilled if we approached near 1 foot in the next 16 days…

A d11 op run won’t happen? No way…

outside of February last year, the last week of January has been the best big snow signal i have seen in a few years https://x.com/VintageFB/status/2011062949734203547?s=20

Everybody shows up whenever its either snowing or we are within like 100 hours and its showing a snow storm except the few crazies.

He wants nothing to do with a team that is old, has no QB for the future, and is overall devoid of talent. Multiple crappy seasons ahead. He bailed and will either take a year off or land a job in a spot like Atlanta- loaded with young talent and might have a QB for the future in Penix- although he is injury prone.

"Bigness" is the most esoteric meterology term. Not even Ji could understand what that means.

Metfan still tracking snow in here in May

No one knows do they?

Thats never going to happen.