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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Kevin Reilly replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
I don’t think we can know much about this week coming up until the development and strengthening of the coastal to our southeast is resolved. The models are still trying to figure out what to do even now with that coastal. Anything beyond 100 hours is an absolute crap shoot? In the meantime enjoy cold, dry, and snowpack with a screaming west-northwesterly flow of blocking. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
Louise replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Yes, watched him. Seems he thinking our area, just outside west of Spex, is dry slotted for a lot of this event. Hope he’s wrong. -
Not a particularly awe inspiring Euro run
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Gonna hit 50° here soon
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We might get above freezing next week! Time to break out the shorts and tshirts!
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Old news -
Here we go! Roads will get slick in Chattanooga late tonight and Saturday morning. probably not as bad as 2014 since we are not as cold. I like the rest of the MRX snow chart too.
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I think everyone is just happy it's NOT Patullo....ANYONE is better. And I'm glad he's a QB coach...hopefully he meshes well with Jalen.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
USCG RS replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
To an extent I see what he means, but unless this storm really gets shunted East, I don't see what he's saying. This storm is exploding and back building and I personally think it will build farther back north and west than what he's concerned about. -
12z Euro.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Kevin Reilly replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
That’s what “Meatloaf” said! -
1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
fountainguy97 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
It was still snowing at the end of that.- 679 replies
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bearman started following Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
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Jan 30th-February 1st 2026 Arctic Blast/ULL Snow OBS Thread.
bearman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snowing to beat the band on top of me in Knoxville, but none is reaching the ground. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
PeeDeeWx replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
Can you dumb this down for me? Are you basically saying that the dry air shouldn’t be as egregious because it’s so cold the snow will form below it?? Thanks! -
February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
Heisy replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Didn’t check to see if it’s been talked about, but this little upper level low is disrupting the flow, today’s model runs trended farther S with this piece and the actual potential event as well -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
BornAgain13 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
What is your call for up this way man? -
1-30/2-1-26 Arctic Blast, ULL Snow Event
Hurricaneguy replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
RAP losing steam?- 679 replies
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!
SnowenOutThere replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
If it’s based on this weekend they are completely different setups. Besides this weekend was never a good chance! It had a high upside but the ens barely ever had a 30%+ of an inch! -
Not one bit! Fake F’n news.
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The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
Regan replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
I saw it… but I don’t see this idea heavily represented anywhere trustworthy except from him. The idea being 1-3 and he seems locked in. -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
HKY_WX replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
1st & Final Call (Parenthesis is potential; Bigger gap means higher boom/bust potential) Favored Models: Blend of EUROAI & RRFS (Experimental model that will replace NAM this spring) AVL: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) CLT: 4-8 (High:10/Low:3) FAY: 6-10 (High:12/Low:4) GSO: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) GSP: 3-6 (High:8/Low:2) GVL: 10-15 (High:20/Low:5) (Likely area to be sweet spot given model trends of last 48 hours. Will get longest duration of coastal banding due to strengthening/consolidating SLP and 850 low) HKY: 3-6 (High:10/Low:3) (Foothills away from the escarpment will have some additional forcing due to upslope. Also lee trough/frontogenesis forcing due to thermal gradient) ILM: 4-8 (High:12/Low:4) RDU: 4-8 (High:12/Low:1) (Area of higher boom/bust potential due to dry air infiltration from parent HP and coastal energy transfer. The Triangle will also be close to the edge of the coastal death band. Bust potential is likely being overdone but I am putting it in as models have shown it) VAB: 4-8 (High:12/Low:2) -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Fair. Take the op guidance with a grain of salt tho. And if im going by surface maps alone, the aigfs and aifs have been respectable at range. -
Arctic Hounds Unleashed: Long Duration Late January Cold Snap
weatherwiz replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
This type of cold hits different when there is snow on the ground. How deep winter should be. But I am soon ready for warmer weather and some stretches of nice spring like weather. That first stretch of 60's we get is going to be something. -
1/30-1/31 Lake Effect Snow Threat - SE WI, NE IL, and NW IN
NEILwxbo replied to A-L-E-K's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Picked up a quick inch from the initial band, sun is out now just 2 miles west of the loop. We’ll see what the later stuff does as it swings through -
The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm
AGardiner87 replied to lilj4425's topic in Southeastern States
https://www.facebook.com/share/r/172GeNykcS/?mibextid=wwXIfr Brad P’s thinking regarding the potential dry slot.
