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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^That's a good point. Definitely watch the S. Hemisphere Winter to see if it's propagating to the mid latitude Cell. Pretty good correlation you found there, I like how it's a sea of yellow otherwise. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Wow...did it ever get windy over here. It's gonna be interesting at my grandson's HS graduation ceremony if it keeps up like this -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Curious to see the S hemisphere height anomalies for the ensembles. As they go into the cold season, are we seeing their counterpart to the deep Aleutian/GOA low? Asking because I don’t have access to good SH height anomaly ensemble maps. -
Personally I don’t care about the rainfall amounts. Have golfed in the rain all year. It’s the temps in the 30s at 7a that can F off.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+7c has popped in the far east, highest of the event so far. Still warming. Definitely taking on an east-based look -
Sounds like summer climo
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-23 Daily SOI today If May ended now, it would be the 6th most negative SOI month since Apr 2016. Apr-May would be close to the 2nd lowest 2-month period since Apr 2016. Definitely an El Nino. I just don't know if it's going to go off the hinges in global pattern domination. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
In other news, we have a pretty good +AO setting up for the early Summer (May-June), for the 3rd consecutive year. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
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Oh yeah I forgotten they were let go.
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The second half of June has potential to be hot and humid and more consistent heat/humidity too
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They haven’t been on TV in several years, Thats Noyes .Please try and keep up .
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TV forecast lolz. Your app not working?
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
rclab replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It sad, getting old! All the fine posts by well versed members/meteorologists and the only thing I remember is “copulating anus”. As always …. -
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Jesus I just took a look
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
George001 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It’s unlikely it will be a modoki given the warmth already present in Nino 1.2 and the current subsurface structure (hence Andy Hazeltons comparison to 1997) + the historical precedence of super ninos to leak east. Nino 1.2 never really cooled off even during our past 2 la Nina’s. Its not impossible it becomes a modoki, but given where we are currently at east based should be the favored outcome, or at least a super Nino with an eastern tilt. -
Woof. Summer?
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People need to start accepting that the next 5 possibly 10 days look miserable. I mean, Saturday is atrocious
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1997. deal with it -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If you told me this upcoming el nino is going to be a modoki, I'll gladly take my chances with it. -
Nothing like ridiculous NAM
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What rain? Few showers Fri nite
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Gonna be tough for Kevin to be above 50 Saturday aftn. Maybe late day if rain stops.
