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And Chris lad over on s2k said it roped Next ChrisH-UK Category 2 Posts: 643 Joined: Sat May 29, 2021 8:22 am Re: Small low pressure area over the Central Subtropical Atlantic (30/30) #6 by ChrisH-UK » Thu Aug 21, 2025 10:21 am And gone. Looks like it's convection dissipated and it has fallen apart, the models showed it wouldn't be around for long.

A low of 41F in August is absolutely insane to me, as I lived in the south for three decades. But I love it. By August I'm mentally checked out of summer and thinking only of autumn (yes, it was that way when I lived in the south. It's a bad time to be checked out of summer when it's still hitting the upper 90s and 100s everyday). It didn't get down to 41F where I live in CT, but it was an amazing day yesterday. The temps dropped into the mid 50s for most of the day. I got to sleep under all of my covers last night, the first time in a long time. I'm so ready for that to be an every night thing.

Now the hurricane models will run. This could possibly affect Bermuda directly but would there even be much to it?

I agree. We're about the same age and in middle/high school I ran cross country and don't remember a) temps above about 97 and b) this kind of humidity. Of course that wasn't a particularly long time. As soon as I went away to college, I discovered beer, pizza and blew up like a balloon and rarely saw a clock before noon.

If I'm not mistaken the perfect recipe for good fall foliage is about average amounts of precip with persistent cooler nights in early fall correct? Hopefully we get good foliage this time around, last year sucked cause of the drought.

You have to take a closer look at the seasons. This year looks more like 2007, a year that was (at this point in the season) skewed by one storm (Dean). It would later be skewed by a 2nd storm (Felix) later in August, but after that, from September on, we didn't get much more than a bunch of minor storms. Years like 2012, 2020, and 2021 were further along in the alphabet, and the signs were there for an active season. I'm really surprised the ACE values were that low for those years. I just don't see that this year. It looks more like 1992 (one-storm wonder) or 2007 (two-storm wonder). The next 2-4 weeks will tell us a lot more. If it isn't active, then you need to let it go. The season isn't suddenly going to get active in October and November. As they say, the tiger doesn't change stripes.

Narragansett is look'n pretty wavey: https://northeastsurfing.com/narragansett-cam/

Windy in Warren RI

Thanks as I missed those 60s dewpoints at KSAV Mon afternoon. So, I need to retract what I said about no dewpoints below the low 70s since June. Where I live is closer to the coast and thus typically has higher dewpoints, but not that much higher. Thus I just edited my earlier post for this correction. My point was that the bulk of the cool, dry airmasses of earlier August didn't reach down here. That I’m still saying has been the case.

H AND MH?

AL, 90, 2025082112, , BEST, 0, 171N, 555W, 25, 1011, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1014, 180, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 019, SPAWNINVEST, al792025 to al992025, SPAWNINVEST, al792025 to al902025,

Gonna be chilly at Friday night football games

Ha... Erin looks on satellite the last hour to be moving due E. Can you imagine if this were 1984? You're all fluffed to the point of bursting over this hurricane set to rocket N in the modeling standard of the day, set to pummel the area ... replete with warnings and fever pitch. Only to have set your coffee down this morning, and turned on the TV to a satellite loop of it moving due E hahaha priceless That's what it was like in the 1980s ... the wah wah waahhhh decade. Winter storms too. At least with this thing y'all mo'fuggahs knew ( though some stubbornly ignored...) 8 days in advance that the pattern was completely a piece of shit.

this is our time of year for sure

Socked in low clouds/fog this AM. Lake side is the best side.

this plus all the winds and ragweed have caused my allergies to return, undoubtedly this is the worst weather of the entire year =\

this plus the allergies from the high winds and ragweed is what has my throat burning (even without it on).

5 year intervals was the point. I know there have been other storms in between

PD2 was better than ANY of those storms besides January 1996 and January 2016.

Nor should anyone ... ... But, if this winter behaves incongruently more so than "average weirdness" ( haha ), which again... was suggested by climate model/predictions all along ( so is not unprecedented in that sense, the rise in 'unpredictability') ... it's fair to consider the classical methods are becoming less reliable. There's a risk in reading these cautions in absolute dictation. Becoming is not become. Like I said, none of this forestalls the advent of bomb winter. These teleconnectors are not 1::1 ... never have been. They can't be. There are too many contributing forces, creating a huge polynomial, each one more and then less- so scaling the equations for influence does not result a consistent contribution from their individual parts from year to year. Within that noise, there is tendency, however, during these the last 10 years ( rather consistently...) to be "more noisy" lol for lack of better phrase. I'm aware of situational bias. But I'm considering that there are reasons that support the ongoing disruption/observations therein.

Caution Liberty, nycwinter may be on to something. As always …..

You forgot PD2, we had 26 inches of snow in that one. February 2006 was very minor compared to that (half the snow and 02-03 was one of our greatest winters ever and only wall to wall besides 95-96).

1.89" will do it for me. 3.58" for the month

What are the top 3 highest since 2007?