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Peeing mentally upon the legs of weenified souls while calling it rain will not make it rain. Because because the models!

Reggie is a whiff. Lol

Lol REGGIE

0.0 from this at my location, well not exactly. Expecting rain

Also, we have had snow cover for weeks and it still isn’t totally melted. I’m sure the ground is still a good bit colder than it otherwise would have been through this thaw thanks to the snowmelt going straight into it. Roads may be a tougher ask but then again, snow and white rain before CCB snow is probably a nightmare for treatment.

Probably 4 or 5 of mashed here

This area has been 40-43 the past 3 days. Still will be 45-50 in parts of SNE today.

Little early to worried about ratios, gimme this precip distribution all day any day.

cold arctic/warm mid latitudes pattern we saw back in 2020.

just playing around lol

Canadian deterministic also has huge storm surge though a bit south. Its ensemble has some great hits

I mean the highs here rest of week are in the 40s so…while not as hot, still a warmup.

You’re close to nothing or 2-3”. I’d say maybe C-2”

Thanks for posting that. Will it get the dip right this time? It busted with those runs having it very weak around 2/10-15. So far this month the weakest has been down only to 19 m/s.

I think by the year 2130 airline flighting will have long become an outmoded method for transportation. Go ahead and schedule the time away …

If we are under the ccb if this storm even exits on Sunday, I’m not worried about ground temps. We would have better ratios than that super cold storm in January.

What do you mean by debbie downer? I was saying 4-6 inches for this area. By the way, here was that snowstorm:

I’m going to lmao if this verifies. So much for 70s the first week of march.

Hey guys I’m not sure if anyone has also factored in how many cars will be out on the roads. Temps, soil, angle of the cold, blazing sun have all been mentioned. But we really need to think about all the SUVs and minivans making it rain

LFG!! 12z runs up

So reminiscent. Like a favorite song. I recall the D6 MRF ensemble mean in the days before Apr 1997 looked just exactly like that, having those members along with uncertainty pulling W. Just looking at this and I’m taken back in time. … God I need to get laid

Fog should burn off later this morning, and we turn much milder with highs well into the 40's our normal high is still in the low 40's. After today there is at least a chance of rain each day with maybe some snow mixing in on Thursday night. Our heaviest rain looks to be on Friday, and we can really use the rain. There will no doubt be rumors of a snowstorm starting next Sunday....but the good news is we don't shovel snow rumors!

HGEFS (AIGEFS plus GEFS) has a mean of ~0.7QPF for the event with temps looking good from 925mb and up. Definitely would struggle with temps in the middle of the event for the metros but still a chance it remains snow as depicted, just bad accumulations. But a snow, to white rain, to snow again from CCB for a near warning level event would be pretty nice for a Miller B here. And finishing on clean snow would hide the slushy layer. I think it would also get Baltimore to about climo?

Fog should burn off later this morning, and we turn much milder with highs well into the 40's our normal high is still in the low 40's. After today there is at least a chance of rain each day with maybe some snow mixing in on Thursday night. Our heaviest rain looks to be on Friday, and we can really use the rain. There will no doubt be rumors of a snowstorm starting next Sunday....but the good news is we don't shovel snow rumors!

Phase 3 is still cold in late February. I think exiting 3/entering 4 is the sweet spot for a snow event, though the pattern should change for the warmer after the event.