All Activity

I already see our future punishment. High & dry summer. Excitement delegated to the next dust storm or smoke filled sky from wildfires out west. Kidding. Sort-of.

I just got woken up to what sounded like my roof about to get yanked off my house. The wind almost never wakes me up.That had to be one hell of a gust.

xtended looks warm + active too?

It’s. So. Windy.

20 degree swing in 12 hours from 73 to 53 and nw winds almost 20 its cold again. I like mild now

Yeah, I did it already!

Global temperatures seem to bottom out around 1917 (following a super la nina), at about -0.2 lower than the 1850-1900 pre-industrial mean. If we use 1917 as the zero point, 1.5C would have been first breached in 2016, and the global temperature anomaly for 2024 would be at +1.8C.

Yeah there's no reason to wait

I ended up getting the better part of 1/2” of much needed rain from thunderstorms late this afternoon. That was the best rain in quite awhile!

Another period of significantly above

Yeah, just effin’ shoot me if that comes to pass.

555 NOUS43 KDTX 052346 PNSDTX MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-061200- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 746 PM EDT Sun Apr 5 2026 ...NWS Damage Survey for 04/04/2026 Tornado Event... .Van Buren Township Tornado... Rating: EF-1 Estimated Peak Wind: 100 mph Path Length /statute/: 3.25 miles Path Width /maximum/: 200 yards Fatalities: 0 Injuries: 0 Start Date: April 4, 2026 Start Time: 5:46 PM EDT Start Location: 2 NE Willis / Wayne County / MI Start Lat/Lon: 42.1788 / -83.5371 End Date: April 4, 2026 End Time: 5:50 PM EDT End Location: Belleville / Wayne County / MI End Lat/Lon: 42.2009 / -83.4749 The tornado started just south of Martz Rd between Rawsonville Rd and Hoeft Rd. It first flipped a hayride trailer and continued northeast toward Hull Rd. EF-1 damage occurred along Hull Rd with the greatest concentration of EF-1 damage along and just south of Hull Rd between Elwell Rd and Bak Rd. This damage included multiple trees uprooted and snapped, telephone poles snapped, and a large barn wall blown out. The tornado continued northeast crossing Sumpter Rd producing EF-0 damage with scattered large tree limbs and power lines downed. The tornado lifted right before reaching Savage Rd. && EF Scale: The Enhanced Fujita Scale classifies tornadoes into the following categories: EF0.....65 to 85 mph EF1.....86 to 110 mph EF2.....111 to 135 mph EF3.....136 to 165 mph EF4.....166 to 200 mph EF5.....>200 mph NOTE: The information in this statement is preliminary and subject to change pending final review of the event and publication in NWS Storm Data. $$ DTX confirmed an EF1 yesterday near Belleville, kinda surprised I didn't see more (any) talk about those spin-ups on here yesterday

Leaving a restaurant today and it was pouring. I guess at least an inch, Newport News International Airport says .67 inches. GFS sucks too. There is no rain for the next 2 weeks.

Makes sense with descending solar....probably more to come next several years.

Im thinking you guys will have snow on the ground (Canadian side as well) into May this year.

Some big +NAO's lately. This is based around the day DC hit 80 mid Winter.. it had never gone 80 Dec-Feb before that. +3.5 NAO Now we had a March +NAO that broke monthly records going back 75 years by +0.84! The end result? The most extremely anomalous ridge the US has ever seen. Big +NAO spikes are correlating with some warm extremes the last 3 years.

Yup,that time of year is upon us where everyone installs and gets em up .. and in.

Legitimately missed out on the rain today, 0.01” total. Everything this evening evaporated moving in and then reformed east of here

I'll bet we can salvage that...we just ended an incredible decade of predominately +WPO....it just flipped this past season, so probably due for continued regression there.

I hope so.

Luckily we can track that way ahead of time as Global SSTAs have a huge correlation with following season WPO

Yea, looks like WPO is going to be key to salvage a decent northeast snowfall season...only 1982 wasn't a disaster, which has a -WPO.

El Nino/+QBO December's: 6/6 months were warm in the Great Lakes/NE

I always associated El Niño with a cool summer, a cold fall that turns mild in December and then can go either way after that depending on strength, location, etc. 2014 did that(at least over here), 2009 had the cold October after a very cool summer and 2006 seemed to follow the Nino script also. But the 15-16 Nino did not and they haven’t since.

Pass. That’d be brutal.