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40's are normal for April?
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Its normal for April. I hate the warmth.
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That line dried up hilariously fast.
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What’s fucked up is that people aren’t cheering for 70s, they’re actually rooting for 40s and rain. In April.
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Good luck chief
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King James started following 4/13 - 4/14 Severe Threat
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Pretty good storm. Lots of wind, continuous throughout the storm
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Yep bangers both days
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Here's where we could be sitting on Friday, with current forecast values. Hottest spring on record to date: Columbus, OH; Cincinnati, OH; all of Kentucky; Evansville, IN; and Springfield, MO. Top 2-5: Kansas City, MO; Des Moines, IA; Waterloo, IA; Moline, IL; Rockford, IL; Peoria, IL; Springfield, IL; Columbia, MO; Indianapolis, IN; South Bend, IN; Fort Wayne, IN; Toledo, OH; Dayton, OH; Mansfield, OH; Cleveland, OH; Akron/Canton, OH; Youngstown, OH. Top 6-10: Detroit, MI; Flint, MI; Lansing, MI; Grand Rapids, MI; Chicago, IL; Milwaukee, IL; Sioux City, IA; Dubuque, IA; La Crosse, WI; Minneapolis, MN; Rochester, MN. Really feel for those in the far north who apparently have missed out. Dare I say it - best climo ever?
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One thing we are monitoring is the potential for severe storms during afternoon and evening both Tue and Wed, mainly from 2 PM to 10 PM. Trough axis near eastern Great Lakes should provide sufficient lift to generate scattered showers and thunderstorms to our west both days, and some of this activity could survive the trip into interior southern New England given warm airmass in place and more importantly strong westerly flow aloft. Tue actually looks to be the more interesting day with greatest potential for severe storms roughly along and west of I-91. Guidance shows decent instability (1000-1500 J/kg) Tue afternoon along with rather impressive mid level lapse rates (6-7 C/km) that we don`t see too often here and sufficient 0-6km shear of 35-40kt. This may be enough to bring storms into southern New England during the afternoon and evening with localized wind damage and hail being the main threats. Note both 3km NAM and RRFS are fairly aggressive in depicting a small line of storms moving SE across interior Tue afternoon, though HREF updraft helicities are focused more in western New England and lightning probabilities are in that area as well. However, CSU machine learning guidance does highlight much of interior southern New England with a low severe potential.
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The 18z HRRR does have a line moving through late PM. Might be dependent on exactly how much heating there is. The overall forcing looks pretty weak but it does look like a weak boundary will be sliding through...could be enough to get things going. Looks better north though
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58 mostly cloudy Max of only 61 so far
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MD and then watch just issued pretty much back to back for IWX area
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It’ll break down Memorial Day weekend. Like clockwork, always does!!
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72 here with hazy sun. Had a sprinkle earlier but mostly a decent day
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Take the LIRR east for an hour. Plenty of chilly here. 51 in Captree and Long Beach. Must be a lovely beach day.
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Yeah tomorrow looks way north
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74 in the park and it feels chilly..
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2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Weekly SSTA (just updated) for Enso 3.4 and 4 have been stuck at +.2C and +.6C respectively for the past 3 weeks. Looking forward to a month from now since we're still in a Niña hangover of sorts that should be wiped out by then. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/wksst9120.for -
Yup. This was evident earlier. Down to 62 now. No way we hit 77
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Maybe frost next Monday night? The cool shot for early next week looks pretty impressive. 78 here right now. Probably upper 80s here tomorrow. We should hit 90 Wednesday and Thursday.
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2026-2027 El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Bias Corrected version is "usually" closer to reality.
