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On this Day in 2013, models started honing in on a winter storm across Midwest that would make Its way to northeast and amplify off the coast. New Year’s Day NHL classic was in Michigan and it was snowing heavily. I remember thinking wow that’s coming to us. By January 2nd we were under winter storm warning for 6-10+” of snow, near blizzard conditions. All out blizzard for eastern New England and Long Island though. Was great tracking that one. A kickstart to an amazing winter in 2014, the best I’ve ever seen second to 2011 (which I wasn’t into weather back then but it was still cool to see all that snow too).

Hires NAM looked a bit more organized as well.

Outstanding!

Bob Chill special?

We know how this ends. It will inch north and then one run will take it 100 miles south again

Tomorrow night does look interesting imo with the potential of some pretty robust squalls

I’m fully thinking 1-2 here. 1 there

Boom!

H5 has more phasing

That piece of energy has been there across the modeling...but it's always just passed by to the south so I barely noticed it. That there was the first time any model brought it further north.

00z Nammy coming in hot.

Losing snow events to wild modeling misses, and coaching searches are what we do best on Rocky Top. With how Heupel closed this season, and how tough the schedule gets the next two season, the coaching search will be coming before too long.

Nam is worthless. Hrrr has it and fv3

Yep. Just got back from Sturbridge. We got around 0.25” but the wind whipped it around.

I appreciate your tracking efforts for my snow

Sounds better the other way..right? 1-4”just sounds better than a C-2”, so that’s probably why he says it like that. We know those of us in the west will get the C-1 at best, and you guys get 2”, and maybe Cape Cod can grab 3-4”. As long as you know where you stand, you can understand the KFS accumulation scale.

Yeah that’s a big jump

What's funny is there very little whining, and of anyone its (ironically) the APATT crew that ends up crashing out and crying

One of my favorite storms. Underrated. .

Definitely norther on the ens mean. I was intrigued by this window.. a little sneaky, but kind of lost interest. But maybe...

That's fine, I was just jumping in....

I'm at 14", looks about right for here too

Yes thats right, but it doesn’t mean phase 6 automatically means warm in the east. Usually when amplitude is strong, which isn’t the case now. Weak/cod 6 during -enso/-aam usually means cold in the east, but not always.

Why not just say C-2” outside the cape?