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Another foggy morning. Just a spit of rain yesterday. The Sun has been MIA for a few days with fog (some drizzle), and overcast. Dreary wx.

Anyone else find it humid out?

Coc

We will start to notice some increasing humidity over the next couple of days with temperatures around to a little above normal for the next few days. We fall back to closer to normal by mid-week with lower humidity levels. Mainly dry again this week with a slight chance of showers toward Wednesday night.

We will start to notice some increasing humidity over the next couple of days with temperatures around to a little above normal for the next few days. We fall back to closer to normal by mid-week with lower humidity levels. Mainly dry again this week with a slight chance of showers toward Wednesday night.

The oceans will continue to absorb C02, just because they got a little warmer doesn't mean they have reached the degassing point. They just won't absorb CO2 (or any gas) as well as they did when they were colder. That creates a positive feedback loop for global warming unfortunately. But they will continue to absorb gases, just not at the same rate.

Lack of humidity may prevent that but if we had +10 days I wouldn’t be shocked.

Not going to let the 6z GFS suck me into believing the parade of rain storms. Hopeful signs the pattern actually changes by end of the month. 66/60 nice "summer" morning.

I'm having a civil discussion (or so I think) on a social media site. I was under the impression that the oceans were absorbing CO2, which has led to increased warming of the oceans. The other person said that according to Henry's Law, as the oceans warm, the they degas CO2. Does anyone have an in depth explanation? My naive assumption was based on something I had heard years ago. Earlier projections on the warming global temperatures were thought incorrect during a decreased period, I believe that occurred in the 1980s? The explanation was that the oceans began absorbing CO2, which slowed the atmospheric warming during that period? Perhaps I remembered incorrectly, which wouldn't be the first time.

I'm not saying its gonna be a cold winter (I dont think it will). He was just asking whether or not a warm north pacific is consistent with a cold east coast winter (it obviously is).

If by torch you mean +10 days, good luck with that.

The EURO AI has been bringing rain from the coastal low for many runs now and now the GFS brings some rain up here this way as well. But the regular Euro refuses to budge and is basically dry.

You have to look at specific periods like the near the peak of the season. The active period was early and late, but tropical activity was nonexistent at the time it was supposed to be busiest. We had a complete shut out of all rainfall here in October. We had the same Saharan Air Layer / dry air intrusion into the tropics, and it's only become even more extreme this year. All the forecasts for a historically busy season completely busted and we ended up with an average season.

Torch!!!!!

Investments that would dramatically increase renewables beyond leaving things mainly to the private sector would yield large increases in supply. The cost argument isn't a strong defense. It exists only because the kind of approach to infrastructure that took place in building the nation's highways was not pursued.

Dipped down to 53.5 this morning. Took the kids for a walk and it felt amazing. Great day for watching football with a bunch of big games this afternoon

Where in the world are you getting “lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic” from the 2024 season? It was above average on every metric and featured some of the worst hurricane impacts we have ever seen. There were 5 MDR hurricanes and the Gulf was active as well. Sorry, I will not agree with you on this.

How do you forecast PNA and NAO so far ahead? Are you just running on analogs?

53 was the low. Should get into the upper 80s today.

Not at all

42F The beat goes on for top-10 days.

What does copium mean? Copium is a slang term for denial or rationalization in the face of defeat or failure. It is presented as a metaphorical drug people take when dealing with losing a game or otherwise being disappointed

I've been talking about this return to an AMO- since last year lol. Both hotter extremes and colder extremes and drier weather-- I LIKE!! Are you switching around to my view that we are now headed directly into an -AMO even if it doesn't show it on indices? Two years in a row with drier summers and falls and lackluster or nonexistent tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic. I think we might be headed to another dry and coldish winter, just like last winter too.

You worried

Ya not even Close the calls for a hot humid August and September are a fail.. I could give a crap if we get to 80 in September its still nice..we meh