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Sounds like a very easy, canonical call!

Also, I would add Weeklies is based on 0z data. There were noticeable 12z changes on EPS, GEFS, GEPS. Ridge not ridge gone on GEPS & less prevalent on EPS & GEFS than it was on 0z for the 11-15 day. It will be interesting to see the early period on tomorrow's Weeklies update.

DEC 23-28 https://www.wxsphere.com/topic/729-winter-2025-2026/page/16/#findComment-129642

thanks for passing it down.

Just had a burst of rain.and snow that was fun while it lasted

Winter forecast on the rocks? Ain't no surprise. I'm sure last fall there are those who doubted my patented Wayne Dyer Spiritual Forecasting Principles(tm). But we all saw how central Calvert was jackpot for the big storm and got several snows afterwards. If you employ these principles you might manifest the northward shift in the snows.

not bad looking

The changes as we get past the Giggedy holiday are top latitude down ... The -WPO/-EPO totality is a big dawg hemispheric reordering. It actually originates from the the retrograde of the NAO across the Canadian archipelago ... to reposition into the Siberian-Alaska arc. That evolution drills a negative teleconnector down the Spine of the Rockies, first. This causes an upward height burst over eastern continental mid latitudes. - the Euro is too dramatic with that. - the GFS looks suspiciously like not enough. Obviously this is all waaaaaay the fuck out at the temporal event horizon ... beyond which there be dragons! Buuuut, at a base climate/statistical level, if these teleconnector prognostics are correct with the higher latitude blocking reconstruction taking place, turning warm for 2 or even 5 days whatever over eastern N/A mid latitudes is solid fit. It's a matter of how much or little.

Yeah Euro has a wild cutter-torch pattern around then

I could see that as the cold loads out west first. As it always does when these patterns shift.

We all know March is gonna be cold, windy and cloudy. It's the surest call of them all.

It's just like last winter already. Don't get too down, they'll let up. In May.

I am a fan of this sun, though. Maryland has done an outstanding job today of generating Vitamin D.

Early glimpse of Christmas Week on the Euro Weeklies

I’m not a fan of this wind. No pun intended.

^my benchmark of success for next week's potential is TV Snow

I am starting to lean towards something like this as the mean winter pattern. December-January coldest, February warmest, March is a wildcard.

But they for much of Dec actually have a stronger SE ridge than prior runs even though they show it weakening through the month: these, which are from the ECMWF site, itself, are definitely not showing persistent cold in the E US, especially Mid-Atlantic and more especially in the SE. Heart of the cold is Chicago W and SW. Dec 1-7: significantly warmer than prior runs thanks to SE ridge Dec 8-14: slightly warmer than prior runs Dec 15-21: Dec 22-28:

I think the final week or so of the month could be above average but I can see things kind of changing moving through December...but we all know how this works. We've seen plenty of times these last several years where models break down patterns and yield favorable looks past D10 and it never verifies. My really main worry with moving into December is we get wave breaking across the west coast then troughs begin to weaken and lift northeast while pumping up a ridge out ahead. The ridges won't be long lasting but will be timed with storms and then we deal with cold on the back end with snow showers while ski areas up north cash in. I get very, very cautious when it comes to needing the PAC to breakdown. We need to see something in the short term that indicates this will happen. Hopefully we can win with threading the needle early on.

You NNE guys live on another planet up there. Unreal....The pictures are awesome

Getting in rare territory at the stake with only 3 of the past 66 years having more depth at this date

I share your enthusiasm for snow and many on the forum will say that I still post too many "clown" snow maps, ( I think I'm a better poster now with the excellent constructive feedback I have received) but there is nothing here....when I see many members showing 3 or more inches of snow inside 7 days, I start watching. You will be able to post the above most of the season and you won't see a flake east of the mountains. With this system, at this time it is weak sauce on the EPS and just too warm. WB 12Z EPS.

I’ve had a chance to put together a few shots from Tuesday’s outing for that interesting storm that hit the lower valleys just about as much as the mountains, so I figured I’d follow up with those. I don’t think there are any major updates I need to make to my text report, except that I do recall there was a bit of a crust in the snowpack due to some mixed precipitation that fell at some point during the event. Thankfully, it was an interior layer because new snow had fallen on top of it, so it didn’t derail the turns like it might have had it been a surface crust. Any mixed precipitation is really buried now though – as PF noted, our current storm lit up the mountains last night with some very potent accumulations. I’ll report on that as soon as I can put some material together.