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Looks like I am about to get NAM'd. Per usual cut this in half and maybe we are talking something realistic.

Snowmap also looks good

People cant be happy with the pattern coming up. Its always something .

yup, and keep on rocking while you do it!

From AFDLWX of 223 PM EST Thu Nov 6 2025 "The airmass moving into the region Monday night is going to be extremely cold, possibly approaching some of the coldest temps ever sampled for the Tuesday 12Z IAD sounding. The GFS and ECMWF both show the potential for 500mb temps to be at or colder than -35C."

Lurking

South shore oaks laugh at sub 32 temps.

2 days away until NAM range lol

Tuesday, CMC

Tuesday, CMC

Looks like the 12Z Suite of guidance has come in a bit better agreement regarding the NWFS event Sunday night into Tuesday. Temperatures are really going to shock the system with windchill values in the single digits and highs on Monday not getting above freezing.

i swear, reading this thread is like groundhog day sometimes

Ripping it at Jay

showers and storms look like a lock tonight before another day in the 60s (maybe our last of the year?)

Yup. I had that spike too. Went up to 65 pre-front.

Euro Weeklies Dec 1-7: today’s run is coldest run yet

and so the pack begins.

Ended up with 2-3” at 1500ft and 7-8” above 3,000ft. Snow depth around 14” up top.

The difference is…for us/you those years are horrid. For DC those are good winters lol. It’s perspective. You’ll do fine this year.

That is blatantly not true. You get years where you get early season snowfall. October ‘11. November of ‘12 November of ‘18. December of ‘19. October of ‘20. The list goes on. And you go years where you don’t. Period. When I was a young kid the winters were horrific..then they got real good. Then they got horrific again…you roll with the changes.

The big rise since July was a given....it was at record levels.

Last year on this date, we were a hair lower than -2. This year's -1.31 is much better than last year (if you want snow in the east), so maybe we can make it sufficiently high enough to make a difference. There's still time in light of the trend over the last 3 months.