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Thanks, do we have statistics on how much the frequency has increased since 2007? Was there another "spike" in the past (if it was even tracked)?

Happened a few times here last year.. elevation FTW

And no real cold following that... sometimes they get those rapid drops

When I was walking out to the car this morning a massive owl flew overhead. Took me a second to realize what it was...thought it was a pterodactyl at first and was about to dive in a bush

I may not have refreshed the chart from the EPO. When the NAO is negative, the pattern is cooler (36.4°). The larger idea that the Northeast will likely avoid a "torch" pattern through December still holds in either case. It's uncertain whether the warmth will break through to start January, but that's still far in the extended future.

Thanks so this shows a positive PNA/east based EPO with an east based NAO which historically would have always worked and not linked up with a ridge. Goes to show the importance of the PNA region which is flipped now. I bet think "linking" always occured.

Yeah that ridge axis kept trending west. Congrats to the central US while we keep getting knifed with shots of cold.

Brief dip in EPO next week and AO trending down too on WB 0Z EPS...

Stagnant air too. Air Quality alerts for all the weed smoke hanging at ground level?

if its marginal around here, I think we all know which direction this is going......

Imagine Christmas on the front range eating outside with windows open. Totally normal.

I added fuel stabilizer so it’s ready for summer.[emoji41]

Denver is like 65-70 for a week lol. Wow.

My crusty snow pack refuses to budge from 2"; (past 2 days). Probably lose some today.

You all keep talking about eating a shoe- here ya go https://www.dennys.com/news/maple-magic-dennys-unveils-sticky-kicks-worlds-first-sneakers-made-real-syrup

What exactly are you asking? That is a -NAO with the Pacific having greater anomalies and overpowering it. This -PNA/+EPO/-NAO vs +PNA/-EPO/+NAO has been a common pattern since 2007, and more since 2013. When the NAO goes positive again later in January I would expect the Pacific to also change phases, unless ENSO is completely overpowering this year. See how the Stratosphere warming +lag is correlating to -NAO conditions last week of Dec/early Jan? I was talking about this when EPS ensembles were showing +0.5 NAO through the time (graph that don s. previously posted). Models have changed in the last few days to have +heights in and around Greenland.

Sure does. in fact, some of the greatest gust potential was on PVD sounding lol.

It’s an east-based -NAO

"I'll be back"

Looks like winter 2023 to me. Troughs knocking into west coast, keeping them cold and stormy while the east US roasts

WB 6Z GEFS and 0Z EPS NAO charts

Rhode Island looks bumpy as well

I really am beginning to believe that people are posting stuff like this to just cause chaos and confrontation in this forum - as his 30 post individual is..........along with a few others - no evidence ever posted by them except bold statements - nothing else..........sorry to waste this space and I know there are ignore filters here

Oh well. There’s always next year.