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they didn't get that much rain

Nice line of storms coming into Eastern PA hopefully it holds together

Gonna whack Hatteras with la chancla.

I wonder how much the rain this week will help change the colors on that map a little next week. Unfortunately it looks dry for a while also.

Hoping Imelda stays away from NC and doesn't bring all her shoes with her. Gen X joke.

From about 60 feet to the Stratus, looks like about 0.5".

70/68 2 day total: 2.60"

Forecasts for October will appear below. This post will eventually become annual scoring update (around 1st of October).

81 / 74 here more breaks of clouds and sun

After a VERY foggy start here, sun poked out for about 45 minutes, immediately followed by a quick thundershower that dropped about a tenth in ten minutes or less. Currently a soupy/muggy 71.9/70.0 at 3:40 pm after a high of 75.8 an hour ago.

The EURO is a crap model, a real flip flopper

i need rain for my bet lol

That’s assuming this is the time we finally have the floodgates open after the Niña breaks instead of the dry pattern injecting steroids against all logic.

Drought monitor is starting to look pretty rough to the S and E of the forum. Widespread D1 with pockets of D2 and even an area of D3 (!) in OH and S IL.

I won't be surprised if it verifies. Signature -ENSO/strong -IOD January has very warm anomoly. Here are my top analogs:

We'll have plenty of those this winter.

Anybody heading to the Ryder Cup in LI tomorrow? Guessing it will be a muddy mess for the first half of the day.

Yep, really getting its act together.

Accu weather apparently worried about early evening. As always …..

Looks like another big rain event for the MA goes bust. Is a widespread soaking rain with no “winners and losers” too much to ask?

One thing is 99.99969% certain; any red rotating blob is going to miss here, to Methuen and most likely Wilimington.

cfs is super volatile

Perhaps some, but it's still locally. Not denying there was a stein dent

Yep, long way away but multiple models have Imelda or its remnants somewhere along the East Coast until like 10/10

And possibly bring threats further north depending how long it stalls.