All Activity

Got 0.15" yesterday. Nothing today and doesn't look like anything is coming based on the short term models.

What to see how much of an outlier 2004 and 2005 were for major HU totals and those that had a CONUS landfall as a major? 3 of 32 hurricanes in the Atlantic had a U.S. major landfall 1995-2003, 7 of 13 2004-2005, and 0 of 29 from 2006-2016. This underscores how recency bias is something not to fall prey to. Recall how after the 2004-05 season, it was widely promoted, "this is the new normal an how it going to be going forward." And then you got the longest major hurricane CONUS landfall gap on record (11.5 years). Did you hear this good news ever promoted in the MSM? Sure, since 2017 it has been very active, but that is normal as well in the big pix. Up and down TC cycles occur in every permutation possible over the long-term. Point being is that using short-term snapshots in wx as climatological avg/mean/changes is severely flawed and should not be done. The cognitive shortcomings present in human psyche are unfortunately often taken advantage of to skew reality. We can all relate to this at one time or another!

76/68. May need to reinstall.

Not much rain this AM

That inland 118 in Jay is pretty incredible id almost say unbelievable if it wasn’t for the 114 recorded nearby. Not surprisingly the wind damage in those areas is devastating

85/66

Explain to me how a windmill kills whales. This is complete nonsense. We just had an enormous wind farm built off the coast here on Long Island, and the amount of actual whale activity had increased by orders of magnitude in the last decade. I have never in 28 years of ocean life gaurding spotted more whales then I did this summer. .

Plus... if fossil fuel really is that impossible to get away from then we are assured of two world destinies: an ontological death an actual die-off I suspect though that folks just enjoy the sport of the argument...? fine. But while that ball-game is being played, those overarching ultimatums are objectively looming. In other words, do it! tough shit. But of course, the problem with that is that people do not believe that the proverbial pistol is actually pointed at the head. For the rest, look ... no one is insinuating any of this is going to be easy. It is going to be hard, very hard. In fact, so much so that it is of higher likelihood that humanity won't be able to get off the oil-heroin without transferring violent withdraw frustrations, unilaterally. That's rhetorical euphemism for destructive conflicts. I just wanna point out couple aspects for muse/thought: The first is ... the problem with Global Warming is not warming of the globe. That was a mistake of the early science ambit when this issue of humanity's industrial flatulence become abundantly clear to the very small population that is really even capable of understanding the future peril. When that become obvious to those that know, the 99.9999999% of the world that finds all this "math" as mentally untenable, simply were ill-equipped so... denial was going to be inevitable after sociological forces worked it over. The way GW should have been exposed was to say - it's species adaptation rate, more importantly .... being slower than the changes to the environments within which they were evolved prior to the arrival anthropomorphic forcing. Resources become challenged ? But that's a separate issue... We are inexorably dependent upon the interconnected species of the global "Gaia" - for lack of better word. When those relationships sever - because keystone bacteria ...say etc...- undermines the foundation of food and resource pyramids... tick tick tick The 2nd is that innovation in our species as tool makers has outpaced the normal checks-n-balances that intertwine use with the surrounding ecology. There are probably better ways to formulate that sentence/phrase out that sentiment, relative to the reader's comprehension, in hopes that they really understand what is trying to be conveyed. Look at it this way... in the Darwinian machinery, all other species mutate enough to survive, and those mutations thus live on so that the next generation has that ability built in. Human have a unique power, to innovate beyond that species requirement. If you sum-up the quotient that is over the top of the species basal requirement, that surplus is probably 1::1 equal with problems that are being defined. I've been saying for years that the moment in antiquity that the early hominid picked up the burning stick, we were doomed. It was just a matter thousands of years... a time span - by the way - that is an instant cataclysm relative to the geological ages. At a minimum, that same mutation, innovation, will have to become our savior.

Certainly would be an epic disaster but the shore between surge and wind would take down substations and large transmission lines.

I met a guy yesterday who was living on Tindell base in Florida who was at ground zero for Hurricane Michael. His stories would make any fool who thinks they want a major Hurricane to hit them directly, think twice. . Sure the vicarious thrill is awesome for us weather geeks but with no home yea that lasts a day then reality hits like a ton of bricks. Folks talk big until they actually have to deal with all the shit.

Extended Ensemble outlook (not a forecast) shows a cooler trend than normal for last week of October and into the first couple weeks of November.

Extended Ensemble outlook (not a forecast) shows a cooler trend than normal for last week of October and into the first couple weeks of November.

I’d even argue that amount of time power loss inland too…38 was the real deal.

The hobbyist wants it desperately but the home owner says “Are you nuts?” I’m about six miles from the ocean fwiw

I’m heading out to Sedona for the week. If I wanted boring unchanging weather I could have stayed home lol. The summer monsoon season is over by a couple weeks

Hit 80 earlier, thunderstorm here at the boat. So much for mostly sunny.

Last 3 storms with large outages Mass blew Ct away lol. 38 would be a month or 2 power loss for anyone within 5 miles of the ocean

Yes, very muggy warm feel…but no blazing sun to irritate. That’s what’s great about mid October warmth…sun(even when out lol) lost a lot of its punch. But we are overcast…but with the warmth.

That sounds great.

The only thing I can see that would prevent that would be if this cloud cover building in more.

I see what you did there…

That’s only if you’re lucky…if you’re not, it will be mid to upper 30’s with mist.