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Btw when it was in the 90s in October 2019 it felt hot as balls despite lower sun angle lol

Forget the 80s, that's not what makes September a nice month. 70s for highs and lower dews is what makes a nice September. Extended summer is just more 70 degree dewpoints and crap weather as far as I'm concerned.

Hurricane next week. Remember Irene and the earthquake a week before ?

ECMWF seasonal is pretty close to what myself and some others are thinking... pretty solid tendency for -EPO early on with the TPV likely displaced into SE Canada at times. also a bit of a signal for blocking early on, too? wouldn't be shocking with the -QBO sure, it likely ends up 1-2F AN, but nothing prohibitive, and there will be spells where the pattern is actually conducive for snowfall. i'll take it

Global warming?

yeah it was cool, here's a neat moon shot video from last night https://www.foxsports.com/watch/fmc-9drb0dd9yytveey9

80-82 in September is fine-that's extended summer to me. Sun angle is lower so doesn't feel as hot

Exactly! Why would you want extended summer then?

That was real WTF situation. I ran out the house. Today was mild - felt it tho. Could have been a truck in my mind I suppose but these go on for like 10 seconds. we need a quake thread if this keeps up

Yeah I felt the quake, I thought Chris Christie dropped on my roof.

Was just thinking the same thing. Never remember this frequency of quakes growing up. Nothing beats the one back in the Spring of 24. That was in a class by itself at least in my area.

Is there any winter correlation for having such a sustained and robust +AO/NAO this time of year?

Be happy it's not Winter July was the 6th consecutive month of +NAO. Cumulative NAO value of +3.75 in that time. July was the 5th consecutive month of +AO. Cumulative AO value of +3.2 in that time. It's looking like August may be the 7th consecutive +NAO month, with a projected Aug 1-15 value coming in around +1. The odds of having 7 consecutive months in either direction is 1/64.

The CPC monthly page has updated July was the 6th consecutive month of +NAO. Cumulative NAO value of +3.75 in that time. July was the 5th consecutive month of +AO. Cumulative AO value of +3.2 in that time. It's looking like August may be the 7th consecutive +NAO month. The odds of having 7 consecutive months in either direction is 1/64.

hon hon hon oui oui

Smoky.

Eventually every season will just be summer/spring

Reddish look to the moon last night too.

I do think a destructive storm like Hurricane Andrew is possible, but I feel like the general pattern this year is an active Pacific and a quieter Atlantic. This has a 1992 feel to it.

2.7 for the aftershock.

Is it just me or more earthquakes around here than normal?

Yes, felt it here. Was brief but felt it for sure.

Polar jet far to the North, with High pressure to the North of us West to East, lessens the possibility of a re-curve "if" a hurricane were to near the US SE Coast. Depends on the strength of the Bermuda High as well.

Anyone else feel the tremor?