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540 line I feel like looks to be quite a bit further north and west no?

dumb question from a lurkre: when people (PackBacker) say "climatology says _____" is that simply saying that "the history of weather in this area says ____" or is it something else? related: is "climo" the same as "climatology"? Thanks.

Definitely not folks, seems ok. Maybe I’m wrong but a step back.

Well time to go buy a generator….. Don’t like this look for Chattanooga. .

Without qpf shit and maps that sv robbed me of, i can't rightly tell. That's why I didn't characterize it

SE ridge more pronounced on 12z... should be less suppressed

That is still snow for northern NC

Euro is looking decent

It’s it good? Or is it guys or folks worthy?

Euro looks warmer lots of ZR and sleet for NC.

Not sure if it was sleet or zr, but that Euro AI run gave you probably close to 1.2 inches of non-snow QPF over Chattanooga proper. Northern Hamilton was enough to get about double the snow down vs downtown.

Precip before midnight Sunday. My eye was starting to twitch with this thing slowing down 6 hours every 6 hours.

Is regular Euro still considered to be "the King" ? In years past I seem to recall it being referred to as "Dr. No". Let's hope it holds serve today.

Ratio's at least 15:1 is what is going to make this a significant storm here - nobody is expecting a KU event - 8 - 12 inches with a half to three quarters inch QPF seems reasonable to me from most guidance so far - of course this could change one way or the other - keep our biases at the door and have an open mind...

are you sure?

Yeah, not crazy about the 12z Euro AI look versus the 06z Euro Op/AI look. But don't we always have just the most fun on a will she/won't she phase at -- what -- four days out? Room for improvement, room for disappointment. Budget for edibles.

sorry for being brief...trying to get yall visuals

Yeah, I did not like the 12z look.

It's good

Yes, Thursday will be everything coming into the NA RAOB network. However, we are putting recon schedules out to sample the area in the Pacific that will play an importance with the digging energy in the coming days. We will have plenty of sampling going on. N/S is probably the area to keep close eye on, although that seems to be well documented on guidance right now.

OK sorry to interlude but even tho the S/W is more west and closed it phases better than 0z and 6z

That's my guess, although we have seen a small step back on the phasing with 12z models besides the ICON but nothing like the GFS and we still get some decent snow. It could just be noise level stuff this far out too with the GFS just being an extreme outlier wrt handling that interaction.