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Makes sense given ENSO heaviest weighted . Throw in a good amount of upstream blocking and you would get a good look. Hopefully the QBO State along with NATL SST'S will help accomplish that. I saw a Forecaster saying 2010-11 was a favored analogue. Ryan Hall I believe. That type Pattern would be what would result with the Cansips Outlook with added blocking.

If August comes in exactly at the 1991-2020 mean, summer would finish up around 73.22F. If August comes in at +0.2F, then the final summer tally would be 73.29F. If August comes in at +0.5F, the final summer value would be 73.39F. All of these are 12th warmest between 2018 (73.48F) and 2002 (73.16F). So I doubt it will finish in the top 11. Likely range 12th-15th, with 12th being most probable IMO. To put it another way, August can finish anywhere between 0.2F below and 0.7F above the 1991-2020 mean, and we'd still probably wind up in 12th place.

Currently raining after a couple of showers yesterday and a couple today. Temperature is 60.

Should finish around 12th place IMO. The last PRISM update had us at +.22F for the month of August compared to 1991-2020 mean. Even if NCEI comes it at -0.3F below the 1991-2020 mean, we'd still have a summer mean of 73.12 (13th place). To drop to 15th place, August would need to come in around -0.5F below the 1991-2020 mean, which would give a summer mean of 73.06F. I don't think PRISM would be off that significantly, especially with the sign of the departure.

Well it's 5 mins when not RennFest season. About once or twice we hit the perfect storm of Saturday traffic tie ups...RennFest+Navy home game+Boat show weekend. Makes a quick run to Home Depot a major expedition. Only down to 64 now. Bit of a warm up, sorta.

Went to a outdoor concert nw of Harrisonburg last night in Orkney Springs near the WV border and it turned cold after sundown very fast... Very unique late August-temp wise..

I haven't looked at any other states, but I suspect this will go in the books as the second driest August for the state of Ohio with a chance for #1. Precipitation is a bit more difficult to track as a statewide average, but it was very dry.

Yeah Stein was very evident there this weekend. Hill sides browning up.

New York City had its coolest August since 2000.

August total 2.03". Highest temp 90; lowest 50

While summer is coming to an end on a bit of a disappointing note with very chilly temperatures to close out August, it will still go in the books as a fairly hot summer overall. Provisionally for August statewide means, I have the following: Michigan: 67.3, 42nd warmest Ohio: 70.8, 58th coldest Indiana: 71.9, 52nd coldest West Virginia: 70.1, 56th coldest Kentucky: 75.1, 59th warmest For meteorological summer, I calculate the following provisional statewide means: Michigan: 68.1, 19th warmest Ohio: 73.3, 10th warmest Indiana: 74.4, 22nd warmest West Virginia: 72.6, 6th warmest Kentucky: 76.6, 13th warmest

My friend in Long Island said it was the most comfortable August he could remember. Here, the last week of August saw the traditional cold spots of SE MI dip into the upper 30s to low 40s. I dont care that they are the usual cold spots...its very impressive to have that on multiple nights in August. This is August 30th:

Detroit tied with 2 other years for 7th most days with mins of 70°+ (24) but tied with 10 other years for 44th most days of 90°+ (14). You can see it was the nights that did the lifting.

BIG winter incoming.

Beautifully comfy day today. Did another evening walk outside and hardly broke a sweat…on Labor Day!

Where can I check? Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

5" rain in August raked it in with two downpours Northern lights chance in the next hour

time is running out..... sucks. We'll get that 1/100 or 500 eventually. 2038? 2054?

Britain has recorded its hottest summer since records began in 1884, with average temperatures reaching 16.10 °C, the Met Office said today. The figure surpasses the previous 2018 record and runs more than 1.5 °C above the seasonal norm, highlighting the accelerating impact of climate change. Moreover, all of the five hottest summers have occurred since 2000, including three since 2018. The record heat follows searing European summers marked by deadly wildfires in Spain, Greece, Turkey, and Cyprus. Scientists say the blazes were more than 20 percent more intense due to global warming, leaving at least 20 dead, displacing tens of thousands, and burning over one million hectares. Globally, June 1-August 31, 2025 will rank as the third warmest on record on the ERA-5 dataset. It will wind up about 0.1°C warmer than fourth ranked 2019. Globally, every year in the 2020s has ranked among the 8 warmest such periods on record: 2020 (7th), 2021 (8th), 2022 (6th), 2023 (2nd), 2024 (1st), and 2025 (3rd). The most recent June-August not to rank among the 10 warmest such periods was 2015 (11th).

I think their gauge is screwed. They had more than 0.08” in August. They had some missing precip days.

Last year to this year look at the subsurface.

Technically, it was 2023, if we go strictly by JJA. However, September was warmer than June in 2023, so JAS 2023 would have taken us above the 1981-2010 JJA average.