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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The cough was ridiculous. I was on brink of tears when I went in. Turns out I had coughed so hard I ended up with a rib fracture. I also never knew morphine was a cough suprresant either. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
MAMMOTH ALERT Early next week Mammoth Mtn Resort could get demolished with as much as five new FEET of snow! This is on top of two to three feet of freshies they just got in the past few days!
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I guess it's not fully included then.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Yardstickgozinya replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
D*** brother, i'm sorry to hear that. Praying for a fast recovery. -
2026-2027 El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I have found something interesting, since the 2012, N. Hemisphere Arctic ice melt low, the Summer sea-level pressure state has been reversing the following Winter. In the 2025-2026 ENSO thread, I used this to predict a -AO for Winter 25-26. Here was May-Sept 2025 SLP anomaly: Analogs [10] Following Winter of 10 analogs (+7 months) Winter 25-26 so far: Something to watch this coming warm season... do we get -SLP or +SLP anomaly over the Arctic (60-90N). Since 2012, -SLP has been followed by following cold season -AO, and +SLP has been followed by following cold season +AO, just about every time. -
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I don’t have any links to provide right now. I’m going off of what a pro met. has posted elsewhere a number of times for years. Also, don’t forget that it isn’t just the CO2 Fertilizer Effect that’s beneficial. It’s also the longer growing seasons.
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Mid-Atlantic cold air when moisture finally approaches
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paulythegun started following 2/15-16: Slopocalypse or Bust
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Joe Cioffi thinks a cold potentially snowy second half of March -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
canderson replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ooof I’m sorry. Glad you’re on the rebound. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Jns2183 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Sorry I haven't been posting much. I came down with worse pneumonia I ever had. Had to spend 2 days at Hershey medical due my oxygen levels crashing. Now I'm just so damn tired. Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Absolutely shacked today. As someone at the base of the Quad said… “A Stowe 4 [inches] fell last night” because that’s what we reported haha.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Voyager replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Why you old fart...lol I was a only a freshman in high school that year, but at least I was old enough to remember the storm, and it was a doozy. -
7pm Sun is 0z UTC, which is when it's stopping. Maybe like 1 hour of light after that.
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2014 was such a wild winter. That run of snow and cold was incredible. We had snow on the ground for over 40 days at Millersville when I was in college. Surreal
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Isn't most of this storm supposed to be after 7pm Sunday?
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Do you have a reference for climate change improving crop yield? Most studies I have seen show that adverse temperature and precipitation effects cancel any benefit from CO2 fertilization. As you note yields have increased by improvements in seed varieties, fertilizers, pesticides, irrigation, and better farming practices. The chart below shows how different yields would be in a world without climate change compared to our current one; a “decline” in this case means that in such a world yield growth would have been even higher. Climate effects have been small with more negative than positive effects on major crops. https://ourworldindata.org/crop-yields-climate-impact
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Who broke the Bleaklies? Whereas I haven’t been able to get them all evening, I did look at the WxBell interpretation of them. That suggests they’ve cooled closer to the run from two days ago during several Bleaks fwiw. @MJO812
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What’s your prediction at this time
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Somewhere between 0 to 11 is what the tools say
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Yeah you wont at winchesters weak ass 1000ft elevation but I’m talking 3000ft+. You basically transform the whole climate regime as you lose close to 8 whole degrees adiabatically! Ofc, this storm isn’t ideal for the elevation component as it’s flooding warmth even up to 850 in some runs with warm air but it’s well within the realm of possibility to get snow there.
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I’ve seen you and handsome you are but model drawing quality????
