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  2. Lol... Sooner or later there has to be a major bust in our favor... I love Kevin... He goes all in and one of these days he will be able to spit in our faces...
  3. Still way east of every model Gefs has 2 camps
  4. GEFS have two camps. Icon and gfs op in the east camp.
  5. Agree... And yes! Would love to track a one in every 20 - 30 year storm...
  6. Actually amazing how useless the GFS has been for this storm lol
  7. either its going to be king or one of these runs its going to flop.. GEFS are mostly west of the op
  8. Forecast lows here the next 4 nights: 40-37-34-34. This is what I’m talking about! Been a long time waiting-reluctantly turned furnace on this morning.
  9. Even with that, I think we have a tendency to underestimate just how bad the wind is in other areas. Anyone from the Midwest will tell you how it blows relentlessly. The lack of friction makes even meager pressure gradients gustily perform. My best friend lived in western Ohio for many years and to this day talks all the time about how nonstop and annoying the wind was. But I hear ya, when our winter winds kick up it can be hard to imagine anything worse haha.
  10. Jeez gfs is way different than the other models
  11. Natgas was relatively little changed today, which is indicative of little change in the GEFS/EPS week 2 forecasts for the E US. So, the cooler model runs released Mon and even moreso on Tue for next week, held up well today. The mainly mild levels of modeled E US HDDs have not returned. True autumn seems to be here.
  12. New York Harbor ... oyster restoration. Thought this might interest some here.
  13. A blustery, November like day today. Lake effect rain showers and wind chills around freezing. This is the first of many cold season systems that will rotating thru the Lakes. At face value its really just a blustery Fall day but its that first big step that winter is about to start. Looking like November may start with some widespread snowflakes.
  14. Does anyone know of a good oral surgeon? Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk
  15. Today
  16. A nice double rainbow this evening as another heavy shower tolls through. Snuck in just a few minutes before sunset.
  17. I don't think I've even seen one model forecast above 195kts
  18. My observation here is about 10 degrees per 1000 ft. . Sounds about right for here.
  19. Ended up with 1.5” of rain, 5” for the month. The river did rise this time…
  20. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  21. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  22. https://x.com/bam_weather/status/1981050021589000365?s=19
  23. With actual SSTA's looking like this, probably safe to say that's unlikely this winter.
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