All Activity

Tomorrow and Tuesday will be variably cloudy and pleasant. Temperatures will top out in the upper 60s to near 70° tomorrow and the middle 70s on Tuesday. Some showers or a thundershower are possible Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday night as a warm front moves across the region. By the middle of the week, it will turn warmer with temperatures again rising into the 80s. Thursday will likely be the warmest day of the week with the mercury rising into at least the middle 80s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.1°C for the week centered around May 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.17°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer. The SOI was +2.46 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.630 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 61% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 73.2° (1.2° above normal).

Im Irish so that probably explains why I don't mind it lol Hopefully tomorrow is better. Gotta cut grass for Tuesdays pick up.

Nice thunderstorm going on up to 1" on the day

Darwin award runner ups.

Right now some of the most dangerous storms are east of Lubbock and NW of Oklahoma City. I've really only heard of tornado(es) on the north side of the TX panhandle, nothing else

I found out something interesting watching Jeopardy the other night. Cooperstown was named after the family of the great writer, James Fenimore Cooper :-)

And the supercell down around Stephenville. It's producing massive anvil/outflow blowoff.

Cool radar today - lots of storms moving in different directions.

A few minutes from Cooperstown.

Lol. Unfortunately, it’s a full ride on mower.

True, that cell near McKinney especially. But it’s very sporadic.

It kind of has, although coverage is not really widespread.

Yes really, anyone talking about how CC is making our summers *hotter* is only referring to minimum temps.

No, where is this place, upstate?

My neighbors are complete morons. The rains came and dowsed their fire so they poured oil on the fire which then caused it to flare up and almost ended up burning themselves and their 5 year old kid who was dancing around the fire.

I really detest this new climate

Couldn't have one completely good day.... at least it was sunny for the big parade lol. I hate our new Ireland climate. CC summers mean cool and rainy for us. and if it's not cool and rainy it's warm and rainy, but never truly hot.

Damp and dreary back home in little ferry.

The temperature rose into the middle 70s at the New York Botanical Garden before clouds and showers moved in during the late afternoon. Some photos:

Are they too cold because of trying to dampen down their overproduction of TCs? Why adjust global models for TCs anyway? That's not what global models are for! Use tropical models for TCs and use global models for temperate cyclones.

I havent sat thru one game or practice for my kids without getting rained on this season Unreal

good exercise if they are using a walk behind mower, cheaper than a gym membership

I thought we would be left out also. Have had the same conditions here. Was surprised to see us on the far east end of it.

No reason to think next winter will be much different than the last winter or the last several. Enso may not be a big player this year, so I’d lean more on the pdo and polar domain. Qbo going negative, but solar may have already maxed. No idea yet.

It's been quite an active start to the season this year...I'm not sure if it's like top 5 but its been on the active side.