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12z GFS was blowing it up pretty quickly, But i would be hesitant as other models are much tamer over the duration.

Sure…I’ll buy it for an event total. Just not 2” in 12hrs. GFS is overzonked.

Normal highs in Chicago are approaching 50 now and mid 40s in Milwaukee. You're acting like a 55 degree day in chicago is a big deal. There's still a giant pool of well below normal temperatures in Canada so there's potential for some nasty shallow cold on NE winds even if the upper heights aren't low or the 850 temps aren't that cold. If you were talking about St Louis or Kansas City then that's a different story.

12z Euro AI has 1.5"+ too.

This one looks more accurate than the one u posted a few weeks ago

I probably should have been more clear in my post. I was referencing the MJO impacting the developing Nino. The strong phase 7 and 8 in 2023 was looked at as an indication that the Nino could get very strong. This year it's in 7 and 8 again but weaker. I just thought it was interesting.

What happened?

March 2023 was very cold in the west though, so completely different patterns.

Low 60's is well above normal for this time of year. And what rain on the weekend? Maybe Sunday night Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Northwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Sunday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 60. Sunday Night Rain likely, mainly after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Monday Rain likely before 8am. Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Snowy day at Bowdoin https://www.bowdoin.edu/webcams/coles.html

he’s implying we’re going back into a cold and wintry pattern, which isn’t true at all aside from a couple brief, seasonal cool shots.

I'm sorry I'm pretty sure I understand the vibe but what is smarch again

not really

Soundings are pretty cold here too. 2” of snow QPF in 12hrs is tossed though.

Road was opened sometime during the night finally. Was beginning to think they forgot but I know this area is far from a priority. Some sun and low 30's for the drive in. Just a phenomenal snowpack in place.

Hahaha

Feeling a bit better with the south trend for Sunday/Sunday night... figure there will be some marginal mid-level layers, so want to be on the northern end of the QPF. Some snowy couple systems for the mountains.

really ?

I Don’t wish harm on anyone and hope @RevWarReenactor makes a full recovery.

UKIE

I guess the nicer milder look is taking a dump on our weekend/Sunday.

12z CMC also has a high qpf event rt 2 north

what happened to your Torch ? Now Upton and Mt. Holly have low 60's and on and off rain over the weekend and only around 60 if the clouds clear lows in the 40's

Temps around 30.so its marginal but still

Let’s slip it north and put me at 175” on the season