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Many many mets have a warm bias

This is my problem they change a forecast 30 times before the day happens and say they are accurate.

Just to put a point on what I'm saying, look at the last 3 days from the weeklies for temps during the week of 1/5-1/12. Sunday's is on top, then yesterday, and today. So we get warmer as we approach the forecast period? That's no way to run a winter if you want snow. Not saying it's over or it won't happen ultimately, but I am saying my confidence in the models is essentially gone.

Pretty massive jump. Interesting at least… said earlier about 4-5 of the ens members had it.

Wttte

Nice snow showers here. The glare ice in the driveway has been beautifully coated and polished. It’s actually coming down pretty good so I’m anxious to see what the heavier bands in the streamer to my West do.

I didn’t say it was a lot of digital blue

With every operational model run, I'm doubting more and more the great pattern. The trough always ends up across the Pac NW, leading to a ridge somewhere in the east. Getting close to pulling the plug. The models were way too warm in December. Now when they're cold we should believe them as being correct?

That's how you make averages.

Oh my

Couple more bumps over the next day hopefully for this area

The PV always guaranteed to deliver!

one big difference between December and January weeklies is the precip anomolies. In December, they were brown or even dark red. In January they are normal or green.

its going to trend north till Friday.....and then trend back south again. Its always 1 step forward and e4 steps back

Here are CTP’s thoughts for tomorrow. By the mid to late afternoon (New Years Eve), a wave of low pressure will drift eastward across the Great Lakes, and drag an Arctic front south through the Commonwealth. Underneath a favorable left exit region of an upper jet, this front could produce a threat of snow squalls late Wednesday evening into the New Year. Current expectation is that the front and associated snow squall threat will move into northwest PA in the 6-8PM timeframe and then race southeast, crossing the I-99 corridor between 10PM and midnight and then getting into the Lower Susquehanna Valley between midnight and 2AM. Anyone planning to travel for the New Year should be prepared for the risk of snow squalls. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued, delay travel or exit the highway at the next opportunity.

I think you just wasted a perfectly good ALEET for nothing.

Lower coast or mid and upper coast?

Thank you for responding. I can't make sense of it either.

Nah....alcohol

I would say NW MA and along RT is all BN. Not terrible here wrt totals, because of book end December storms. Still, it’s easy to speculate what could’ve been with the cold that we’ve had. I’ll work on getting on the new snow totals thread tonight but I’m around 11” season to date.

Thank you Dave. How much for Short Pump?.

Actually, I think it’s the opposite because the strongest warm anomalies are in the E US though admittedly I don’t know why it shows that as “0-2.5% significance”. That doesn’t make any sense as it should be the opposite!

I know Ray is pulling for Martha’s Vineyard to eclipse his season to date totals.