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yeah right ... I'm mean I'm preaching to the quire here but mmm ... it's kinda difficult to run a winter expectation when the world is warming. At baser arithmetic level, let's just say that warming is not synonymous with snow. I mean, we can get into the whole debate about burgeoning atmospheric ambient WV going up, such that when it snows it snows harder. You'd be correct. But that's during the 'initial stages' of this 'Anthropocene Epoch' - terminology debate ongoing amid the global scientific ambit. At some point, harder and hard snows become harder and harder mix ... eventually, cold rain. But something else is happening also. The CC that doesn't exist while something simultaneously fucks up actual climate ( ) is also represented in morphology of storm tracks. Storm behavior and morphology in and of themselves... Types and distribution. Speed of the ambient winter hemispheres - there's a reason most commercial airliner air-land speed flight records have been set in the last 20 years, on west to east intercontinental transits, and it's not because the vehicles are necessarily better. The rudiments of aeronautical design and power conversion mechanics via jet engine propulsion cannot account for taking off from Laguardia and landing at Heathrow in 3.5 hours... or whatever that was ( just 1 ex). Anyway, all this shit effects how/if a storm snows too. Think of it this way. We have a front side dammed in cryogen airmass, but the storm is moving some 15% faster than past climo storm motion... But the evaporation and other physics remain constant - that means the the storm moves by and limits snow, but warms the column in time to clip with more mix to rain scenarios. Just being a little creative here to exemplify the point..

Sky is angry here it comes

Meandering seabreeze boundary today, maybe some storms can fire along it. Otherwise we wait for how organized the NJ storms are as they come east from the city.

LA with a 4.4 foreshock?

I will guess it will be 2.33"

I wonder how the commute is gonna be today I decided to leave work early. Don’t want to be stranded on the road with flooding. .

For the 2nd run in a row, the UKMET (12Z) has a TD from off the SE US from a frontal zone with no notable strengthening and with very slow movement. This run has it initially moving NW/NNW before turning to the WSW and then SW a couple hundred miles off NC: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 32.9N 73.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 03.08.2025 72 32.7N 72.9W 1010 26 0000UTC 04.08.2025 84 33.1N 71.9W 1009 26 1200UTC 04.08.2025 96 33.9N 70.8W 1010 29 0000UTC 05.08.2025 108 34.3N 70.4W 1012 27 1200UTC 05.08.2025 120 35.1N 69.4W 1014 30 0000UTC 06.08.2025 132 35.8N 69.2W 1014 31 1200UTC 06.08.2025 144 36.4N 69.1W 1015 30 0000UTC 07.08.2025 156 36.0N 69.8W 1015 31 1200UTC 07.08.2025 168 35.5N 70.4W 1016 29

Ridiculous, but I guess you can understand our area being extra nervous after having the incredibly bad luck of having 2 of our worst storms ever in a week and a half period earlier this month.

Bet the Pwats will be fun.

The humidity is so bad that the grass(weeds) never dries out to mow

There are a few localized spots that still suck but they are way down from what they used to be and even the spots that still suck are better than what they were. Overall NO2 in the atmosphere is way down. And we were talking about rural spots anyway, not the Cross Bronx haha

Looks like a legit supercell over Reading right now. It has that shape on reflectivity and there’s some decent rotation with it.

barbie came out

worst july in a long time even though we got a few breaks the relentless heat and humidity was unbearable..

Sterling putting up a special 18z balloon.

Wind now out of the NE here, clouds back.

I've spent the past several hours putting up a support system for my cannabis plants. It's been brutal as hell. The plants are huge and I'm on a ladder in the blazing sun. Two down, two to go. I'm trying to beat the heavy rains. I don't want these large ladies getting bet up this evening.

Thanks Don, I was wondering how Central Park missed out on it. This could be the event I remember when my area got 4-5 inches of rain and NYC got little or nothing. The storms stalled over our area for 4 hours. We got an inch per hour for 4 hours. Do you have local PNS rainfall totals for this event Don? I remember it happened in the afternoon after a sunny morning.

Bright blue clear skies starting to become cloudy to my west and northwest. Radar popping off.

Yea I remember it in the fall.

Everything's shutting down like a blizzard or hurricane is coming

Radar got busy real quick up here. Can hear the rumbling from the Bel Air storm.

89/76/101. Horrific out there

91/77 at IAD.

The problem is there are still diesel trucks around. Air pollution shortens life by about 2.5 years even more than tobacco smoking does. There are asthma hot spots in northern Queens and in the Bronx in the highest trafficked areas. Do you know Cancer Alley in Louisiana? They have another one in Oakland.