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Yes. But I saw some other stuff that suggests the early warming increases chances for later warming events. But we don't want to put all our eggs in the "stratosphere basket" by any means. Best for it to just enhance our chances than to be the sole/direct cause as they often don't workout so well as most know.

Isn’t there a lag time of a few weeks from when the SSW peaks to when it potentially impacts our region?

There was another one today for an even larger area! Yesterday Flagstaff had a tornado warning and the airport reported squalls with a gust of 72 mph.

70/33 split for me Thinking 20s either Saturday or Sunday morning

If there is a storm on a weekend I just may.

been an active summer and early fall-we were due.

Record low for CON yesterday is 10°

a bit cooler than desired, hoping to finish the patching and painting on the antique Honda this weekend

wow, a cool airmass in late october

these climate model seasonal snow maps are a joke. what a waste of space and resources

The whole prostate massage to 10mb right now looks to be just that. It appears nobody is expecting anything significant from it.

Dude is click bait

The weather flatlined.

Head to Canaan valley this winter lol

fyp

It better snow, that’s all I got to say lol

Depends on snowpack. I rarely get much frozen ground here. Mostly areas where I clear snow.

Last 2 weeks of today's weeklies lining up with seasonal with the trough in/near the GOA and a distinct SE trough, very similar to the Euro seasonal I posted a couple of weeks ago.

Drove over falls this afternoon and it is as low as it looked this summer. Crazy to see it this low again.

This is proged for the first few days of November, not that it makes a huge difference probably.

A nice step down in progress…last years was good too. Beautiful weather.

Extended 11-15 isn’t too bad. Might average AN but some cool shots too between now and then.

Alek is the king of using an op model run beyond 300 hours. lol