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  2. The trick is to not even look at model guidance, maybe some twitter posts, and “guide” the weather to the outcome you want.
  3. Today will be our last day with high temperatures near 80 degrees for about the 5 days. That is pretty close to the normal high for next week across the area. The good news is there is no sign of any 90-degree temperatures across Chester and SE Berks Counties till late June. Rain chances increase tomorrow and through the weekend but not a washout. The NWS has forecast of rain to be between a 0.25" to 0.50" by Monday morning. Generally showery weather looks likely to continue for Monday and Tuesday before we finally clear up and warm up to near 80 degrees again by mid-week.
  4. Today will be our last day with high temperatures near 80 degrees for about the 5 days. That is pretty close to the normal high for next week across the area. The good news is there is no sign of any 90-degree temperatures across Chester and SE Berks Counties till late June. Rain chances increase tomorrow and through the weekend but not a washout. The NWS has forecast of rain to be between a 0.25" to 0.50" by Monday morning. Generally showery weather looks likely to continue for Monday and Tuesday before we finally clear up and warm up to near 80 degrees again by mid-week.
  5. That’s why I was originally thinking remaining along CT/MA border. Unfortunately, this may be the “best”/only opportunity of vacation so have to roll with it. Maybe Tuesday can offer something or next Saturday but too far out.
  6. 74 / 65 clouds to the lest , clouds to the right stuck in the middle with some sun. Warm / humid clouds are lined up to arrive later this afternoon capping most in the mid - upper 80s, but with enough sun could see a stray 90 or two (readings). Some isolated / scattered shower - storms later. Moving into another 72 - 96 hours of mainly grey / cloudy with chance of showers /storms each of the next 4 days Fri - Mon / Tue AM. Front / boundary slow to clear and hang by the area and coast eventually through Tuesday. Clear out Wed and warm up to / with the next shot at some 1-2 days heat Thu (6/12) / Fri (6/13) befor next front come through timing - weekend 6/14. Beyond there overall warm heat is focussed west with heights and more sustained heat heading east by the week of the 22.
  7. It was late May. I’ll see if I can find the storm reports.
  8. I didn't think it was possible... but reading these forms, it might be harder to decipher whether its hot/cold in the summer than cold/snowy or dry in the winter . Seems like people make the models support there belief regardless of what it shows.
  9. I was just checking Facebook to see if you knew lol
  10. We had a setup in 2004 like this. All the action was on cold side of front but big time storms. Had two days of nickels and larger.
  11. The constant jet extensions led to wild fluctuations in the WPO,EPO, PNA, AO, and maybe even the NAO. This would have been a great winter before the big warming jump in 15-16. We need a significant relaxation of this jet in coming winters for at least a small rebound off the record low snowfall and cuttter regime of the last 7 years.
  12. If I had to chase I'd probably take my chances with the surface based instability in the valley S of HFD and just hope something pops. Could bust completely but higher upside IMO. Often further north has better dynamics but I just don't see them today.
  13. yeah, I'm high confidence after eval that this was a wet microburst. Specific rad pulse took place as sat showed a circumvella over shooting anvil exploding radially, and then within moments we had timbre cracked wind/rain/hail for 5 minutes of hell. As Chris Farley would say .... " It was AWWesome"
  14. Here’s the global surface air temp. graph going through 5/31/25:
  15. 89 degrees for the high yesterday. .05” of rain from the showers that come through. Most stayed north of us. My AC is set at 68 degrees.
  16. I can't get excited at all for setups with no shear and New England style high instability You want to give me >4k mucape pulsers maybe I'll raise an eyebrow, but otherwise meh
  17. Maybe we can get close enough to the heat some for NW flow.
  18. Meh. Heat is done. Even that period after next weekend looks meh.
  19. Probably have to head to southwest NH today.
  20. CIPS is *lit* at the 72hr frame. It even has June 1, 2012 in the analogs
  21. I'm speaking of the season in the aggregate...it was decidedly +WPO.
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