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Really impressive to get 12 Category 5 hurricanes in a decade.
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All major 6Z models stay away from the US. As of the 5AM advisory, it finally started moving a little faster and that’s continuing now on the 8AM with SLP dropping to 1002 mb: BULLETIN Tropical Depression Nine Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025 ...DEPRESSION MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD... ...HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS, WITH WINDS SOON INCREASING OVER THE BAHAMAS... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...23.2N 77.3W ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM NW OF THE EASTERN TIP OF CUBA ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
.12 here. This has been some stretch of non eventful weather. -
2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Hyperactive hurricane seasons (180+ ACE) by decade: 1890s (1) - 1893 1900s, 1910s (0) 1920s (1) - 1926 1930s (1) - 1933 1940s (0) 1950s (1, possibly 2) - 1950, 1955 (maybe) 1960s (1) - 1961 1970s, 1980s (0) 1990s (2) - 1995, 1998 2000s (2) - 2004, 2005 2010s (1) - 2017 2020s (1) - 2020 Arranged by gap 33 years - (1961-1995) 32 years - (1893-1926) 16 years - (1933-1950) 11 years - (2005-2017) 10 years - (1950-1961*) 6 years - (1926-1933) 5 years - (1998-2004) current gap (2020-present) is 4 years, likely to become 5 at the end of the season 2 years - (1995-1998; 2017-2020) 0 years - (2004-2005) * - gaps become 4 years (1950-1955) and 5 years (1955-1961) if 1955 is counted Arranged by 10 ACE 180-190 (2) - 2020 (180.3725), 1998 (181.8838) [1955 is 178.585] 190-200 (1) - 1961 (196.95) 200-210, 210-220 (0) 220-230 (5) - 2017 (224.8775), 1926 (225.7788), 2004 (226.94), 1950 (227.1413), 1995 (227.5513) 230-240 (2) - 1893 (231.0738), 1933 (235.785) 240-250 (1) - 2005 (247.65) -
Winter. NS disturbances tracking just to our north should produce some rain for the region.
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.09" What is it gonna take to produce a meaningful storm?
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Tequila sunrise?
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Most of that looks like ground clutter from nightly inversions?
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Yeah its not like they always play bad or get beaten badly, they just always seem to find a way to lose when playing the better teams- winning those games is pretty important in CF. Coming up small in the big moments..kinda sounds like another team we root for.
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This thing really got stuck in the Bahamas, and has been slow to develop. It has barely moved in the last 24 hours.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0.19” in Syosset & 0.14” in Muttontown. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
winterwarlock replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
My station has reported rain 6 days in a row Total: .42 -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
All of the cold and pretty much most of the snow was confined to month (January). December was really warm. Come to think of it, 2021-22 was a warmer, modern version of 1984-85. -
That’s a good phrase lol. They made a nice comeback and looked good in overtime, so at least it wasn’t embarrassing. But yeah, they can’t beat top 10 teams.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
The 1891 data is largely missing for Newark not NYC. September 1–15, 1891: 70.1° September 16–30, 1891: 74.0° October 1891: 54.9° -
China has a lot of renewables and is moving in that direction but they're still accelerating on emissions. However I do think they're poised to become the leader here and I see a rapid reversal in the next 15-20 years.
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Penn State looks like a great team and plays like a great team until they play a great team. Someone said that lol. Uncanny how bad they have been when they play another top 10 opponent. 4-20 under Franklin.
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https://www.providencejournal.com/story/lifestyle/nature-wildlife/2025/09/27/bird-watchers-check-the-weather-radar-1-2-billion-birds-are-migrating/86372138007/
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Ended up with 0.92". Persistent rain even when it didn't look that impressive on radar.
- Today
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
STORMANLI replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
0.07" -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
There's a big ridge in the east. There's near 90F temps well into Canada forecast -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Sundog replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I got almost as much rain from a system models were giving me ZERO precip as I did a few days ago when they were showing 1 to 2 inches. 0.13 last night compared to 0.19 a few days ago. -
Hmm, weird...my Americanwx does not appear to be updating? This is the only post I see since sometime Friday. I am on a new device, and reloaded. The only post is Snowedin's post about, I assume, phantom rain. Anybody? Thanks!