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  2. GaWx
    Here’s the version of CRW anomalies for Nino 3.4 that best takes into account GW in determining anomalies: it’s +2.5C and rising:
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  4. ChescoWx
    Hello all. The ChescoWx website https://chescowx.com has had a major overhaul and it is now live! Everything is interactive now. You can pull up climate trends unique to the Philly burbs of Chester County PA for any measure, look at a single station or the whole county, and compare us against Philadelphia, Reading, or Allentown airports. There are all time records, decade summaries and climate trending options going back to the 1870's, top snowstorms, snow by season and even a White Christmas history. Every trend also tells you whether that trend is statistically significant or simply weather noise. Behind the enhanced website sits 42 Chester County area stations and more than 458,000 daily observations going back to 1871. Take a look and let me know what you think and what we are missing you would like to see or be able to view interactively. Thanks! Paul
  5. George001
    A rouge blizzard is certainly possible, but things don’t look good for northern areas. I agree that 27-28 will offer better chances for sustained winter weather. I would much rather roll the dice with a La Niña than a super Nino. Although weak La Niña is preferred, even in some stronger La Niña years my area has gotten hit hard at times. I dont think there has been even one super El Niño year with AN snowfall locally, and all of them are AN to well AN temps. Even the “better” super Nino analogs like 15-16, 82-83 etc were warm with below average snowfall (82-83 was closer to average, but still a bit below and was warm, so still a bad winter by my standards).
  6. LakePaste25
    Almost to +3C on CRW. CRW mostly measures surface temps, so at some point I would expect it to mix down which would increase OISST but decrease CRW.
  7. dendrite
    Mins this morn
  8. Prismshine Productions
    Essentially us in New England are closing the shades until Winter 27-28 Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  9. JTA66
    Getting to that time of year now where I focus on the overnight lows. It can be warm during the day, as long as it cools off enough for good sleeping weather. 74F/DP 56F
  10. LakePaste25
    LFG! Been waiting for this to happen.
  11. ChescoWx
    Hello all. The ChescoWx website https://chescowx.com has had a major overhaul and it is now live! Everything is interactive now. You can pull up climate trends unique to the Philly burbs of Chester County PA for any measure, look at a single station or the whole county, and compare us against Philadelphia, Reading, or Allentown airports. There are all time records, decade summaries and climate trending options going back to the 1870's, top snowstorms, snow by season and even a White Christmas history. Every trend also tells you whether that trend is statistically significant or simply weather noise. Behind the enhanced website sits 42 Chester County area stations and more than 458,000 daily observations going back to 1871. Take a look and let me know what you think and what we are missing you would like to see or be able to view interactively. Thanks! Paul
  12. ChescoWx
    Hello all. The ChescoWx website https://chescowx.com has had a major overhaul and it is now live! Everything is interactive now. You can pull up climate trends unique to the Philly burbs of Chester County PA for any measure, look at a single station or the whole county, and compare us against Philadelphia, Reading, or Allentown airports. There are all time records, decade summaries and climate trending options going back to the 1870's, top snowstorms, snow by season and even a White Christmas history. Every trend also tells you whether that trend is statistically significant or simply weather noise. Behind the enhanced website sits 42 Chester County area stations and more than 458,000 daily observations going back to 1871. Take a look and let me know what you think and what we are missing you would like to see or be able to view interactively. Thanks! Paul
  13. forkyfork
  14. LongBeachSurfFreak
    I still think the best chance of anything more then a sheared mess comes out of the subtropics late sept into oct. likely starting a subtropical system and taking advantage of above normal water temps. The Mdr is toast. .
  15. forkyfork
    so stop looking at it? i don't even look at the gfs
  16. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  17. bluewave
    Relatively cooler over the Midwest due to the record rainfall with the severe storms leading to the new tornado record for Illinois.
  18. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  19. GaWx
    CANSIPS appears to have a significant Modoki bias based on several years of data. I thought it had this bias even before this year.
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  21. Windspeed
    The strengthening Azores SPHP is only going to exacerbate vertical shear with an increased low-level easterly jet as mid-to-upper westerly rivers are still firmly planted from central America across the Atlantic tropics, MDR and sub-tropics. That combined with SAL should get us to the new record on September 12th for the latest hurricane in the satellite era. Of course, we might extend that record for a while based on the look of long-range modeling.
  22. Today
  23. steve392
    Absolutely gorgeous day out there! Not a cloud in the sky and perfect temps.
  24. kdxken
    Top tener for sure.
  25. wxdude64
    Looking like an outstanding day for a parade. Currently 71.1/60.3 with partly cloudy skies at 11 am.
  26. weatherwiz
    Today is spectacular. Headed to my nieces for a BBQ after work...going to be lovely outside. Gotta soak up these days while we have them. Soon enough they will become few and far between until they gone until next year
  27. WinstonSalemArlington
    On-schedule
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