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  2. NWS already started scaling back the warnings. Down to 11-15in in Allentown from the initial 12-18in.
  3. FWIW NAM kind of stopped its own bleeding. Still many areas don’t hit the low end of their projected NWS snows, but it as *slightly* better than 0z
  4. Looks at these 4am obs though. Cold air is screaming down the lee side. And those DPs! CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS WASHINGTON NAT PTCLDY 14 -9 35 N24G30 30.60R WCI -5 DULLES PTCLDY 11 -10 38 N15G23 30.60R WCI -5 ANDREWS AFB PTCLDY 14 -13 30 N17 30.55R WCI -3 QUANTICO CLEAR 16 -10 31 N20G33 30.59R WCI -1 COLLEGE PARK* PTCLDY 13 -12 32 N16 30.61R WCI -3 LEESBURG* PTCLDY 10 -6 48 MISG 30.61R MANASSAS* CLEAR 13 -8 39 N17 30.61R WCI -4 GAITHERSBURG* PTCLDY 9 -10 42 VRB6 30.57R WCI -1
  5. OPM has gone to Monday maximum telework in the DC area. Those who were scheduled to work in the DC area but are not teleworkers get safety leave. More details: Current Status
  6. 850mb front stalls over my head all day tomorrow. Thankfully 925mb sub -5C will freeze a lot of that for me. But depending on 850mb front could shift precip.types around
  7. And its going nowhere next week....what a period to build big depth. This can be the big one.Just give us a few two to fours over the next week or so after
  8. The forecast low was 17 degrees, it's currently 24.7/0, I have a bad feeling this is going to be a freezing rain nightmare.
  9. That's some of the most uniform qpf output I think I have ever seen over a huge area
  10. Posting these H7 and 850Mb temp profiles from 0Z GFS, NAM runs tonight for visual reference on why ETX icing, is bound to be majorly impactful Saturday night. As long as 850Mb - 700Mb layer warm-rain processes don't get too much in the way.
  11. In Buda, Texas, Northerly breezes up to 37 mph have dropped temperatures 30 degrees down from our earlier highs in the mid 60s. At this rate we will be subfreezing by 7am. Rain will be freezing on every surface down here. It will then proceed to drop all day Saturday, into the teens Saturday night with persistent ZR. This storm may end as snow here Sunday. Next weekend another storm and trough will bring yet another round of rain, ZR, sleet and even snow to Austin Texas. Is this Texas or Northern Virginia?
  12. Seems like trends are steady for now. Hopefully a tick south for srn areas. And for Monday.
  13. Currently 24.8 degrees, forecasted at 17 degrees this morning and 28 for a high. I don't think we get below freezing this weekend storm. I am thinking a bad ZR storm is setting up here.
  14. 06z HRRR is incredible for our area as far as snow and icing. It shows half an inch of ice on Long Island.
  15. 3k gets the sleet line up to southern MA but big dump before that
  16. Not sure what is and isn't virga on the radar, but Memphis webcams show a snow covered interstate. Jackson cams are inconclusive.
  17. hr 60 still snowing should of waited for total qpf but will probably end up close
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