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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
A little concerned about a multi-band setup cutting potential big-time totals in half. But at least that spreads the wealth across Michiana a little more. NAM is really honing in on it. Still no room to complain, though. -
January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pineapple Express was the name. That was long before the NOAA G-IV flew and long before the 53rd out of Kessler ventured out for Winter RECON missions! -
When somebody created it, his intentions were for it to become just that. Very DISINGENUOUS. And Mean spirited.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
And then the he says you’re confused….lol…what a putz. -
this is why he was confused, guys.
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If we get the avocado, I think it snows.
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This thread's a cluster.
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What did they call it then? And yeah, awesome stuff right there. You walk out of the airport in Reno and can see the Sierra. We looped through Tahoe on the way to Mammoth this past summer. I cannot even imagine driving those passes in the snow.
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Houston looks like the Ravens in different uniforms.
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Back in the late 90s I would fly out from Houston to Reno to ski at the Lake Tahoe area slopes when the now named Atmospheric River events were showing up on the models! You can't go wrong in those events! -
It seems like at this point if I moved to New Orleans or Myrtle Beach, I would expect more snow than Charlotte or Greensboro in the last few years, haha.
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we left that open in case it's 2027 or beyond
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What year is this thread for?
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not sure why he is confused, but it's probably the same reason he was confused when I foresaw the BS that was the protracted interval of phase 8 in December. I'm just always leery of guidance being too liberal with time in phase 8 during this stretch we've been in dating back to 2018. -
NOHRSC I chose snow depth (24hrs) from latest obs. https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/interactive/html/map.html
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, not sure what DT was taking about...it's pretty clear. -
Can you link that site? Thanks.
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What's up peeps? It's about all you can ask for these days is to have one operational model giving a paste job and all the ensembles showing at least some snow falling board wide. Has potential for a nice little event!
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I also recorded a high of 41. Great day to calibrate those weather stations.
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My mom actually fell today outside on her walk...faceplant. Thankfully seems like just some bad scrapes and bruises.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Go Kart Mozart replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th? I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit. -
I have already told my wife that I am gonna start chasing the atmospheric river in the Sierra Nevada or big storms in the East.
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Fwiw, 18z Eps gives us an inch and operational just shy of it.
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@Holston_River_Rambler and Co...I have a hard time believing this doesn't produce 1-2" of snow for anyone under that.
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2025-2026 ENSO
donsutherland1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, the PNA is far more important to Atlanta's January snowstorms than the NAO. Since 1950, the PNA was positive for 84.2% of Atlanta's 1" or greater snowstorms. The NAO was negative for 63.2% of such storms.
