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Looks like it could be a decent Saturday in SNE.

Friday may have a few bangers around especially western ma. Wonder if the smoke keeps temps down a couple of tics.

Smokey

ha yea, next severe will be 12/24 with a big ol' cutter fine-line

Xmas time never disappoints Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Wagons North

Yeah I noticed a few mosquitoes earlier myself before heading back inside. Def caught me off guard. Wonder if the incoming smoke has anything to do with their sudden appearance?

Without having any idea that this would occur, I got a heavy shower suddenly at ~1:45AM (6/4) but it ended after no more than 5 minutes. I looked on radar and saw that it came from a rather unusual direction, from offshore moving WNW.

Sahara sand.

I swatted a fly so hard he got stuck in the wires, also zapped him.

As a near coast resident, I do fear the tendency of storms developing further W and not having as much chance to recurve E of the US though it is still plenty warm in the MDR. The projected RONI based weak La Niña like last year is not comforting as far as favored tracks and suggests another significantly impactful season on the US is quite possible. Of course, with last season being so horribly bad for the SE US, the odds are that this one won’t be nearly as bad there. Fingers crossed, especially for FL, which can’t take another horrendous year. Even my area had BOTH the worst flooding from a storm (Debby) in at least 8 years as well as widespread multi day outages (Helene) (worst since 1979/David). I’d love nothing more than another 2013, 2010, 2001, or 2000. Most of those years would also make you happy and without all of the destruction.

79.7 here as well.

We have forgotten to mention horseflies trying to attack you at the lake. And yes, we have water running down our hill in the ditches, a swamp on on side at the bottom and a lake on the other side. Plus plenty of trees for those bugs that like that. We have them all!

Lets hope this stays in Canada:

We will have to keep a close eye on this. The Canadian smoke model seems to want to create a smokepocalypse at the end of its run with dense surface smoke spanning pretty much all of southern Canada and northern Michigan by Friday morning.

Black flies are the worst although we don't have a ton around here. I seem to be particularly allergic to their bite...it will itch for days. Scratching doesn't help since they leave that little hole in your skin as extra punishment. Actually looking forward to a little HHH...been a struggle to get the house warmed up with nights in the 40s lately. Made a nice recovery today...46-76.

whats the optical zoom on that? 10X I think thats the max for a cell phone and it also has built in image stabilization?

Looks like everyone was where they were supposed to be today lol

true, and a high of 103 in August in 2001, something that has very rarely happened. Besides that day, I think there's been only one other time NYC has hit 100 in August in my life and that was in 1983.

Could have some nice bangers Friday with good CGs. Lots of MUCAPE and steep lapse rates around

If anything delayed formation favors a home grown season. Further west of the MDR box water temps and OHC are still significantly above normal. While overall ace and named storm numbers may end up below hyperactive, an impactful season still looks likely. A rapidly intensifying storm on approach has much more damage potential then a decaying former MDR major.

We’re into June and the snow season should be complete here in the valley, so I’ve put together the summary snow data for the 2024-2025 winter season at our site. It was another solid season, right up there with 2007-2008, 2010-2011, and 2018-2019 in terms of snowfall as the plot below shows. These types of seasons are in that top 20% of the data set for snowfall, so something that happens roughly every 5 years on average. The three big midwinter months of December, January, and February were above average on snowfall, but the rest of the months were below average or close to average at best. That meant the season didn’t really break away from the rest of the pack, but if you’re going to have only three months be above average on snowfall, those midwinter months are the ones to do it and still get a solid season. It wasn’t a season for huge storms with only two storms over 18 inches, but it felt like a decent season for upslope snow. Total Snowfall: 204.1” October Snowfall: 0.5” November Snowfall: 4.0” December Snowfall: 45.1” January Snowfall: 59.5” February Snowfall: 62.1” March Snowfall: 23.6” April Snowfall: 9.3” May Snowfall: 0.0” Total Days with Snowfall: 116 October Days with Snowfall: 2 November Days with Snowfall: 7 December Days with Snowfall: 25 January Days with Snowfall: 28 February Days with Snowfall: 25 March Days with Snowfall: 19 April Days with Snowfall: 10 May Days with Snowfall: 0 Snowstorms: 61 October Storms: 1 November Storms: 5 December Storms: 14 January Storms: 14 February Storms: 14 March Storms: 10 April Storms: 3 May Storms: 0 Average Snowfall per Storm: 3.3” Largest Storm: 22.7” 2nd Largest Storm: 18.8” 3rd Largest Storm: 9.3” 4th Largest Storm: 9.1” 5th Largest Storm: 8.2” Sum of 5 Largest Storms: 68.1” Storms ≥10": 2 Date of Largest Storm: 1/6/25 Earliest Frozen Precipitation: 10/16/24 Earliest Accumulating Snowfall: 10/27/24 Earliest 1" Storm: 11/28/24 Earliest 2" Storm: 11/29/24 Earliest 3" Storm: 12/2/24 Earliest 4" Storm: 12/3/24 Earliest 6" Storm: 12/7/24 Earliest 8" Storm: 12/7/24 Earliest 10" Storm: 1/8/25 Earliest 12" Storm: 1/9/25 Latest Accumulating Snowfall: 4/17/25 Latest Frozen Precipitation: 4/17/25 Length of Snowfall Season: 173 days Start of Season Snowpack: 11/28/24 October days with Snowpack: 0 November days with Snowpack: 3 December days with Snowpack: 31 January days with Snowpack: 31 February days with Snowpack: 28 March days with Snowpack: 31 April days with Snowpack: 15 May days with Snowpack: 0 Days with >0" Snowpack: 139 Days with >0.5" Snowpack: 122 Days with ≥1" Snowpack: 116 Days with ≥2" Snowpack: 107 Days with ≥3" Snowpack: 103 Days with ≥4" Snowpack: 99 Days with ≥6" Snowpack: 82 Days with ≥8" Snowpack: 66 Days with ≥10" Snowpack: 54 Days with ≥12" Snowpack: 48 Days with ≥24" Snowpack: 11 Days with ≥36" Snowpack: 0 Max Snow Depth: 34.0” Date of Max Snow Depth: 2/17/25 End of Season Snowpack: 4/13/25 Continuous Snowpack Season: 137 days Snow-Depth Days: 1346.0 inch-days Total liquid equivalent: 22.51” Frozen liquid equivalent: 12.31” % Frozen L.E.: 54.7% Total Snow/Total Liquid Ratio: 9.07 Total Water Content: 11.0% Total Snow/Frozen Liquid Ratio: 16.58 Frozen Water Content: 6.0%

Nice to see warm temps but no big severe in sight for weeks? perhaps months or even years? sucks