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CMC is SOMETHING DIFFERENT than its last 15890 runs! Some sleet!

This is correct. The 6.9" of snow at ORD as of 6PM this evening means today has featured the largest calendar day snowfall since 7.0" fell on Nov 21st, 2015. ORD is beyond that 6.9" total now for today, which means whatever the final snowfall total is today, today will feature the greatest calendar day snowfall since 16.2" on Feb 1st, 2015 (GHD2).

I still am a little leery of this thing suffering some %age to model magnification correction in the short term. Flow’s compressed some. The embedded S/W’s, open and progressive. Those two predominating characteristics tend to foretell lesser production so we’ll see. We seem to have two concurrent hemispheric mode types, which is interesting. Blocking is competing with a velocity anomaly at lower latitudes May have a similar quandary the 6/7th then again out there toward the 10th.

Sold let’s ride

Looks like 495 is setting up as the boundary tonight. GFS has west of west of 495/north of the pike very solid.

Welcome back.

I wouldn’t be shocked if another inch comes out of this. Looks like 5” out towards Napoleon & Wauseon. It must have been pretty nasty out by the border, they’ve shut down the roads in Williams County

Yeah I thought for a minute it was gonna try and NAM further south for the ending but it didn’t quite have enough juice aloft. NAM is still in its own world with that h5 look deepening so fast.

Great GFS run for CTP. Warning snow potential gets down to Lancaster & York as well this run.

I think so.

Expand the Gfs coverage and you have the Euro AI

GFS is south for sure

I just moved closer to '300, Granby side. I need to update it.

Gfs is 6"+ for N MD and PA

GFS is a HAIR better.

Gfs slowing creeping south. Nice thump for N+W

Decent shift to a more consolidated low on gfs south of 18z

This sounds about right The radar looks kind of showery now, so I don't know what to expect

Hey @TSSN+

Please bring me this 0z RGEM

So were these 00z runs the ones that were expected to have better sampled data?

If we could get some of these to pull some NAM deepening south of ACK that would be fun.

Done here in Toledo with just over 3". Not gonna buy the fake radar returns/virga that vanish before impact. Just couldn't overcome the dry air for a major bust and underachiever.

Hope all is well folks, time to rejoin the circus. Starting the season in early Dec, can it be? A solid start is owed to us. Rock bottom should be behind us now…