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And I bet you made alot more per hour than doing it for the city would

Ahh I see. Welp, guess I'll have to accept my fate of being in the middle--but 6-8" still isn't bad. I'm guessing the NAM solution wasn't realistic? (Was that really a triple phase?)

Looks like most models have converged on 12-16 here. Potential for more sure, but that seems like the right forecast right now. Coastal NJ and SEMA seem like the jackpot spots.

Ahh I see. Welp, guess I'll have to accept my fate of being in the middle--but 6-8" still isn't bad. I'm guessing the NAM solution wasn't realistic? (Was that really a triple phase?)

Was 87 in Miami today. Will be 65 on Monday. I come back Wednesday

It's really mesoscale time imo .

This is why many of us are here, but yeah, we hang out w/ some good folks as well. Enjoy all. This is the good stuff (even if a little east for my liking).

They’re crazy high, but this is a crazy strong storm (sub 975 mb) with a lowest at 500 mb of sub 520 and tons of moisture. I mean this is a once in 10+ years kind of deal with crazy heavy snowfall rates that can easily accumulate well even with temps up to 34-35.

For big dogs SNE-wide, I have learned over the years to want H5 centers to track closer to ACK. I don’t like, and haven’t really liked frankly, these H5 progressions right over BM. Not a met, but my 2 cents

GEFS more robust than GFS

i forgot that one lol..

2/22 00z GEFS Total QPF 2/22-2/23-24 Mean Snow 10:1

From the Philly subforum

Last 2" - 5/13 to 5/16/2025 (3.11 inches over 4 days) 2025-05-13 71 62 66.5 3.1 0 2 0.28 0.0 0 2025-05-14 66 59 62.5 -1.2 2 0 1.30 0.0 0 2025-05-15 77 63 70.0 6.0 0 5 0.03 0.0 0 2025-05-16 77 60 68.5 4.2 0 4 1.50 0.0 0 Last 1 " - 1/25/2026 (our last snowstorm) 2026-01-25 24 15 19.5 -13.7 45 0 1.39 9.3 2 Before that was 12/19/2025 (our warmest day this winter) 2025-12-19 61 31 46.0 8.3 19 0 1.48 0.0 0

i was old enough to remember the days when joe bastardi did accuweather radio forecasts on 1010 wins along with dr joe sobel elliot abrams etc..

Cool. Cheers!

If the norlun is over Baltimore, we’ve got a much larger problem. Would likely mean the storm is way east offshore

Yeah it’s felt like a classic New England winter…which is really more typical of northern New England hill towns. But it’s nice when they happen down here too which we had been in a recent drought on them.

gonna be tough to shovel this stuff

It actually got better! Enjoy your whiskey!

One of the reasons I hate taking trips in the winter is for fear of missing something with this potential. Yet I'm gone this March 3-10 in Florida. I've been checking the weather for those dates here for the past week.

I think there’s a limit to how far east it’ll go as the sfc low track is pretty much locked in +/- 30 miles, and most models have had the norlun from HGR - W loudoun - Fauquier though it shifted east by maybe 10-20 miles on 00z. I don’t think it’ll shift further east by more than 10-20 miles, and certainly not to bmore unless the storm actually changes track

In the old days we had chief meteorologist Gordon Barnes and meteorologist Alan Kasper.

RGEM doesn't like the western edge at all. Either we get 6-10" or 20-30". No inbetween with this storm.

Font forget 2003