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yeah back when ineedsnow had T-rex running through his yard.

I do always wonder if everyone just woke up one day, with no memory of the past and political parties and no memory of anyone trying to change anyone else's behavior... if we all just looked at the data now what would the conclusion be? The minute anyone tried to change someone else's behavior is the minute the discussion changed. We need that Men In Black pen to just reset everyone's mind.

Northern Nassau is its own zone and should’ve been under an advisory or even freeze warning. Northern/southern LI is defined by the L.I.E. which is where the transition zone often is between microclimates. The barrier islands were in the 40s so definitely no frost there.

72 hours out from our first (and early) winter event and this place is tumbleweeds. .

Mark, is that you again?

NAM dumps overhead for a few hours. In another month that's like three feet of snow, but I'd take 8 in early November. Still lots of leaves on the trees so whoever gets dumped on will also have tree damage and power outages to deal with.

Looks all natural to me. This has happened in the past even though it occurred exponentially slower compared to now. Nothing to see. Stop making a big deal out of it.

I don’t even want to debate warming or melting. Can we all just agree that the CO2 isn’t normal? Can we at least try to get that back down to the baseline? It shouldn’t be a partisan thing. We’re all science people here.

brutal downgrade

rgem takes the mesolow and flakes practically to atlanta

Its interesting times when there's potential to see an amplified MJO in the Pacific. Then firing off an +EAMT into that. Especially given the time of year...

Dry like the moon back then. Get those water vapor levels back down and we can heat up and cool down diurnally like Idaho. CON was really rad happy back then, but even on those 11° mornings the Franklin coop up here had 13° on both of those days.

Lots of SNE colder than here this morning. Clouds held the temp at 27.

Most all of it is. Sorry.

Yep all natural. 100%. Nothing has changed.

Different this year…gonna be a decent winter.

Oops pines lol.

For now it is…that will change too.

Thank you.

Expecting a pretty intense blizzard here and making final preps this weekend. If that upper low takes the euro track, look out! Looks like 50 mph winds, temps in the teens and snow squalls.

Yeah I mean I was just thinking because the earth is warming. Don’t need to go much deeper than that.

We know why cyclical warming of the earth.

After years of waffling I'm finally going to go up and see some November snow in Canaan Monday/Tuesday. Borrowing the sisters Bronco and doing some boozing/hiking with my Fiancé around the valley. Additionally, I got a season pass to Timberline for the first time so will be good to practice the drive once before go-time.

it's likely wrong... I mean for one, that model's not going to resolve idiosyncratic in situ synoptic elements, because the climatology normalizing aspect ends up muting those specific signals. case in point, at 48 to 72 hours there's a lead s/w in Indian/southern Lakes, that skirts out ahead of the main trough, priory to it going through that amplitude out there are 84-96 ... that little piece of shit is a ruiner. it is in destructive interference with what probably could have been a CFS type solution. the CFS doesn't even have that lead wave. the other guidance all do, and as a consequence have to generate a second wave forming along b-c axis down around eastern VA, but they then fail to really get it's act together soon enough ... the ensemble of the EPS bombs that that thing in the GOM... way to late (btw). If it were not for the lead pos mentioned above, than the event emphasis would probably be the feature. it's not impossible that thing modulate in that direction but it would be pretty rare at this range for the the other more dependable guidance types. i was just bringing it up more tongue-in-cheek. but yeah, it's nice eye candy. ha.

Low of 26.3° here at WXW1