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Highest daily SOI today since May.. +24. I think a Weaker La Nina state is more likely for the Winter. 2nd year La Nina's and -PDO's tend to have a more classic cold season -PNA pattern, but we haven't had as strong of a -PNA generally since the 23-24 Strong El Nino. It's very likely that August 2025 will be the 11th consecutive month with +SOI Top 20 best matches since 1948 to 2nd year La Nina vs 2nd year El Nino for the cold season (Nov-March) Dec-Feb

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZT6pHDbsn/

High of 81, low of 63. Dew points up near 70 made it feel a bit more humid today than yesterday.

https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZT6pHDbsn/

Yeah, the actual remnant low of Erin drifted around south of Iceland for two days, sending in waves of moisture towards Ireland and the Isle of Man, n.w. England etc, but the remnant low didn't actually reach coastal waters until today (Thursday 28th) near Portrush, the site of this year's golf Open championship. All of Ireland got a good drenching over three days after a very dry first 24 days of August with roughly one third of normal August rainfall. Now it's closer to two thirds. https://www.met.ie/latest-reports/satellites/ireland-infrared

I'm liking the QBO State and the SST'S off Newfoundland. Hopefully they remain similar this Winter. That is if you want a greater likelihood of a -NAO.

Just had a thought: today's average temperature is going to end up lower than Christmas 2015.

And we have a sure winner here: 1. Don't know 2. Don't know 3. Don't know But I will be a sport and make some entirely uneducated guesses. ... Karen to become a cat-4 in early October after forming in late September. ... also nagging you to keep your social distance (too soon?)

Guy disappears in summer, but drops his draws every 6 hours in winter to tell us the H2O content of his sample. Make me wonder if he keeps his family in some sort of underground dwelling.

It's ridiculously comfortable out there right now. We're going to pay for this some time in September or October. Bottomed out at 56.5 today. My PWS read 81.4 for a max but I have never been satisfied with its ability to reject the sun so I doubt we made we hit 80 today.

77/47 for the high and low. just superb weather.

The problem is the nw flow isn’t producing precip. Yea, earlier this summer was chippy, but we were scoring storms.

It was. It would be great to have a winter similar to it in the midst of our ongoing seasonal snowfall drought.

Yes! They’re coming. Show it love. They usually cause an infestation for a couple of years and then their numbers wane.

Mid-80s, partly cloudy and some humidity is my goto, so I’m not thrilled about this, but I can deal with those temps.

Yeah, that winter i was 8 but made me into the snow lover I still am to this day. Good memories playing with neighborhood friends. 47" at my location in Piscataway that year.

Imelda is going to be a mean bitch. Carribean cruiser, cat 5.

Most Recent Year when June was Warmer than August: 2008: Bridgeport, Islip, New York City-Central Park, New York City-LaGuardia Airport, White Plains 2024: Newark Largest Margin when June was Warmer than August: Bridgeport: 1.6°, 1957 (June: 71.6°; August: 70.0°) Islip: 0.8°, 1994 (June: 71.3°; August: 70.5°) New York City-Central Park: 3.5°, 1883 (June: 73.4°; August: 69.9°) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 0.7°, 2008 (June: 75.7°; August: 75.0°) Newark: 2.3°, 1934 (June: 72.5°; August: 70.2°) White Plains: 2.0°, 1957 (June: 71.3°; August: 69.3°) No Cases: New York City-JFK Airport

That late June inferno helped to make that happen

The record August 1986 cold in NJ was an early signal before one of their snowiest winters from that era. Monthly Data for August 1986 for New Jersey Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. LONG VALLEY COOP 35 NEWTON COOP 35 MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 36 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 37 PEMBERTON COOP 37 BELLEPLAIN STA FOREST COOP 38 HIGH POINT PARK COOP 38 TOMS RIVER COOP 39 EWING 3 WNW COOP 39 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 39 CRANFORD COOP 39 CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 39 ESTELL MANOR COOP 39 Trenton Area ThreadEx 39 LAKEHURST NAS WBAN 40 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 40 LAMBERTVILLE COOP 40 PLAINFIELD COOP 40 BOONTON 1 SE COOP 40 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 41 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 41 TUCKERTON 2 NE COOP 41 WOODSTOWN PITTSGROV 4E COOP 41 SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 41 BELVIDERE BRIDGE COOP 41 Belvidere Area ThreadEx 41 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 42 CANOE BROOK COOP 42 ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 42 WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 42 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 42 MOORESTOWN 4 E COOP 43 TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 43 LITTLE FALLS COOP 43 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 44 LONG BRANCH-OAKHURST COOP 44 CAPE MAY 2 NW COOP 45 MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 45 SHILOH COOP 45 AUDUBON COOP 46 GLASSBORO 2 NE COOP 47 BRANT BEACH-BEACH HAVEN COOP 47 Newark Area ThreadEx 48 JERSEY CITY COOP 48 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 48 ATLANTIC CITY MARINA WBAN 50 Atlantic City Marina Area ThreadEx 50 Data for October 1, 1986 through April 30, 1987 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 70.0 HIGH POINT PARK COOP 53.9 LAKEHURST NAS WBAN 53.3 ESTELL MANOR COOP 48.1 NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE COOP 47.3 New Brunswick Area ThreadEx 47.3 POTTERSVILLE 2 NNW COOP 46.1 OAK RIDGE RESERVOIR COOP 45.5 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 45.4 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 44.8 NEWTON COOP 44.5 CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 44.0 GREENWOOD LAKE COOP 43.5 MILLVILLE MUNICIPAL AIRPORT WBAN 43.2 MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 41.9 LONG VALLEY COOP 40.2 MAYS LANDING 1 W COOP 40.0 SEABROOK FARMS COOP 39.9 AUDUBON COOP 39.0 PLAINFIELD COOP 38.5 EWING 3 WNW COOP 37.1 SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 37.1 Trenton Area ThreadEx 37.1

I already know gabs will be an mdr struggle bus

Yeah just checked...here also. Forgot how hot June of 2024 was.

Ordered some of this today. It gets good reviews. If it works I'll let folks know. I have three nests I have to kill.

Little warmer and more snowy..at least for most of SNE.

Two years in a row for some spots. Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 75.4 82.1 75.3 77.6 2024 77.5 81.3 77.0 78.6 Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for TRENTON-MERCER AIRPORT, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 72.1 78.4 72.0 74.2 2024 74.2 79.0 73.8 75.7 Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for Allentown Area, PA (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 71.4 77.3 71.1 73.3 2024 72.7 76.9 72.1 73.9 Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2025 74.2 79.4 71.5 75.0 2024 75.3 78.1 75.0 76.1