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Storm was wild. Temps much colder this go around too. Should be an interesting night Saturday into Sunday morning.

Yeah they did the same back in December saying they weren’t expect mixing.

00z Thursday is late Wednesday night’s runs though

I remember there were over a dozen ice storms from December '93 into January/February '94. It was a frigging mess. I don't know if any happened when it was teens here in the city but some of the temps were pretty frigid. During one of the worst of them in January '94, I had to go down to Baltimore on a work trip and was going to take Amtrak but was driving to 30th St. Station to park and hop the train. On my way there as the storm was underway, I was about to go up on the Expressway when I heard on KYW that it was icy so I bypassed the exit ramp from Lincoln Drive to go up that way, and took the Kelly Drive instead. Found out later that people were trapped on the Expressway for something like 8 hours as cars/trucks got stuck on the ramps and no one could get on or off. That was also a time when the area was all out of road and consumer salt. So when I was down in Baltimore, I bought a couple bags of halite (they only had plain rain down there) and brought that back for my mom. For the rest of that winter, she was the only one on her block with a walk clear and dry to the pavement! But sadly enough, there was a red cedar tree between her house and her neighbor's that was at least 30ft tall and the ice literally coated the tree and uprooted the whole thing, which ended up splayed across the front yards and halfway into the street.

In northern Lehigh county, drifting is a huge deal. Urbanized areas, basically no issue. Many of the posters don ot even know where Lowhill Township is in Lehigh County. South mountain topgraphically is the cutoff for sleet in this storm

It’s that bad?

Euro has next threat well south and east

What does sleet look like at 20 degrees like I can't imagine it. Does it just instantly crust up the snow on the ground already?

I'm coping hard too.

I tell you what I particularly like about this one at the moment. It looks like the snow starts in the morning. Feels like it’s been forever since we’ve had a big one do that. I remember the ‘96 blizzard was like that and it just made it all the more special.

See his note about Thursday nights 00z runs being key....

Euro is 12"+ here with 10:1. Likes the secondary for round 2

ya those squalls to the west looks fun! hoping they hold.. ya hopefully we increase as we get closer

Expecting a NAM'ing at 18z.

Haha I’m at the age now where I don’t even care to go back and fix typos. My brain will spew information that I can’t type fast enough so I definitely understand. We got a few for other models to roll in, I recommend going over to Google and playing with the AI to see what it spits out for you LOL .

Wow.

This has been one heckuva a north "trend" from just a few days ago. If AI can conquer longer range weather forecasting one day that will be a truly impressive feat.

That was an epic storm. 24" of snow in Damascus, 5" in Takoma Park. We had nearly dry roads in southern Montgomery County, while upcounty it was snowing hard.

I don’t think I’m beating my snow total from Jan. 6 last year (11.6”). We’re on the wrong side of this like Feb. 2014 I think.

Agree 100% Rare possibility of more upside than downside I think. Also if precip falls hard enough near the transition zone that we could hold onto snow longer boosting amounts by 2-4"

12z EPS looks like the 00z. Same idea

Yeah the early charts were a little light on snow and ice. Euro is in line with the national charts from WPC. MRX will update accordingly. I still feel relatively safe in Chattanooga. I see trouble from Knoxville northeast. Relative in Chattanooga means some ice but not crushing. Knox to TRI needs to watch that cold lock more. Separately, lol I was just kidding about the AI. Guess it's so.

I was just telling Andy and Randy in our group chat that as long as I can stay snow until noon, I’m good. Hopefully a foot on the ground before the inevitable flip to sleet

I feel like we just automatically use the euro as the sole gospel and discount every other model. Again, I know the euro is King, but with this logic, we should just use the euro and not look at anything else. People are cliff diving prematurely. It could trend more NW, but we aren't looking at pure rain. It's major ice when we do flip. And then cold AF. Whats to hate about that?

I have to think modeling is FINALLY feeling the effects of those big highs. Cold air is just pouring down the west flank of the Apps. I looked at the wind on this morning's runs(after reading MRX's write up about mountain waves being possible), and you can see the cold just running parallel to the Apps and making a beeline southward.