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This. If it says 1” I’d expect 0.50”. However, with the cold temps and light rates, it could be higher than normal in some cases

Hubbardston better be loaded up or Dave is going to have a conniption.

Noice!! Winter storm Fern on the Weather Channel…looking pretty sweet! I mean I’m buying if they sellin.

Strongly agree with your conclusion...but not getting worse today is a win. We lose a lot more than we win around these parts.

The rgem an CMC are always too amped an the Euro made a move to the GFS 2 runs in a row. The gfs ai an euro AI are almost nearly identical. An both bring a foot or more to the city. If the euro makes another move to the GFS tonight. You still gonna write it off? I understand that the GFS could go back the other way. But it's been steady

I think that's a bit of wishful thinking. The GFS is still on its own with jackpot snows from DCA to NYC. If the 18z was better than 12z, it was a minor shift. I haven't seen good images yet of 500mb/700mb/850mb.

Doesn't matter what falls. Central Park will log in the books 3.8"

what's folks' take on the Nats trade with the Rangers? Feels like some shit Rizzo would've done - we sure he's still not the GM?

C’mon Blizz you know you’re going at least 15”

If that warm nose ends up at +10 degrees or more like some models have shown there ain't nothing stopping that. At that point it's all about that surface level wedge being deeper for sleet.

Yep and that’s going over areas that will get over .50 of ice… Sometimes you have to look at a model and just say that doesn’t look right. EURO hasn’t looked right to me. .

It actually makes sense. the ai models are just glorified analogue forecast. the both use advanced ML techniques to train on a enormous data sets. Both models are probably trained on more or less the same data and probably use similar techniques

Weather channel going for the southern ice apocalypse and 12-18 for nyc

Scooter on monday, ”I can’t believe it, 2 feet on the nose”…

It looks like it has gotten more intense this run; if that image verifies, lord have mercy...

TEMPLETON, Mass. — The town of Templeton, Massachusetts, is currently experiencing a shortage of road salt ahead of this weekend's winter storm. StormTeam 5 predicts the potential for most of the state to get between one and two feet of snow. "Templeton has several loads ordered but will not receive anymore deliveries until mid of next week," police said in a social media post. Authorities are urging residents to use extreme caution when traveling this weekend, as the town's ability to fully treat the roadways remains limited. Templeton DPW crews will continue to monitor conditions and prioritize main roads, emergency routes, and public safety areas, according to police. For now, the DPW said it will plan to pretreat the roads with brine if conditions allow for it. "We appreciate residents' patience and cooperation as we work through this temporary supply issue," police said.

That’s not for this upcoming system that is a past winter storm.

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This is true. I personally cut them in half based on what I've experienced. I think they get the "zone" right, but the amounts are overdone.

Several people have said that the Euro does not handle freezing rain accumulations well. Hopefully that's the case. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

Their messaging/discussion has gotten so much better over the last so many years.

Davis Nolan

Can I get a comparison of the the 12ZA OPF to this please?

Folks will need to measure and wipe their snowboards as the sleet begins (plus run out and shovel). Sleet counts as snow albeit at about 3:1 a bit slower accumulations!

Apple weather in DC finally dropped from 20-24" to 14-17". Still much too high, but they're getting there.