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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Completely expect MC forcing for much of December and maybe into some of January. Ironically enough, if @snowman19is right, and we are able to vanquish the MC for this season, then it probably means a somewhat colder first half. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I would gamble with that season again....it could have easily been like 1982 with near average snowfall if that February blizzard made it like 100 miles further north. Just accept that it isn't going to a cold season in the mean. -
Except this isn’t happening in a vacuum, it’ll be on top of what fell on Tuesday and will be followed by the start of an active storm pattern to kick off July.
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Gun-to-head, I think our area may end up colder than 2015-2016, even though it may be comparable or warmer on a national level.
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Last day of school today for NYC public schools
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Looks like Toledo is going to graze 100° on Wednesday and Thursday
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
.05" of rain overnight/this morning. Meh. -
Can you take some pics of the meadow area? What did you plant there? You converted turf grass to that ?
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Another drencher. 59.3° +RA
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Not sold on widespread 100s. It's several days out, some models like the Euro have a known mid range heat bias, and it's rare to get an airmass that supports many 100+ degree air temperatures readings. We probably won't know until next Tuesday if we're going to have a legit heat wave on our hands, or if this is just going to be a few hot days.
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Junorch obs and discussion 2026
CT Valley Snowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Only about .16 in this area. -
i'm sure this will be the first strong ridge in years that trends weaker
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Our last two super El Niños had at least one month with dominant Maritime Continent forcing. December 2015 Maritime Continent forcing transitioned to more El Niño-like forcing in January and February. This was the strongest El Niño on record. 2023-2024 also had one winter month with Maritime Continent forcing in January. -
Evergreen posts in this subforum.
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super el nino banter thread
snowman19 replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I see the usual delusional weenie suspects are peddling the wishcasted fantasy that this is going to somehow magically become a full blown Modoki. Same clowns, same circus. Every year like clockwork, you can set your watch to it with them. Soon, the 57-58, 65-66, 76-77, 77-78, 02-03, 04-05, 09-10 and 14-15 “analogs” will be flying…….. -
Happy Birthday @stormtracker
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Right now 95°-99° like the GFS and GEM looks like the floor. The ceiling is probably around 100°+ like the Euro has. Unfortunately, this will continue to dry things out.
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- Today
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Typhoon season in the PAC is about to explode. Powder keg setup. More WWBs in their wake to come….. -
Need the remnants of a tropical system at this point
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As the globe keeps warming the +30C areas will become 31C and eventually 32 C etc…Right now once we approach 30 C, that is were the forcing tends to gravitate toward. The coming heatwave will have a combination of forcing from the Maritime Continent to the Nino regions. So at this time the more westward forcing will be driving the bus so to speak. -
Another couple of hundredths. Congrats to everywhere north of the south shore and central nj .
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61/64 .19" so far.
