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MASSIVE PATTERN CHANGE IMMINENT How do I know this? Buda by Wednesday mid 80s for highs, low 60s for lows. This is far more representative of late April/early May. The Pacific Northwest is going to be demolished by storms. The Sierra Nevada is about to be absolutely ENGULFED by torrential snows and super high winds, think Category Three Hurricane strength at the crests. The models are beginning to suggest this scenario, and I have been living down here in Texas long enough to recognize the patterns. I am going to be loving 73 and humid in Buda at 1am for a change!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It is going to utterly transform the game compared to 12 degrees at the same time back in January!!!!!!

Must have been a decent band here overnight . Should get to my 4” forecast and hopefully more https://imgur.com/a/oRn2W3Q#Z9AWR73

Well that’s where I’d be putting my money on AI…at this lead. They seem to be excelling at the ability to sniff out storms at lead…Abs even they are back and forth.

Looks like i haven't missed much here, SOS.

Skynet does have a monster for 15/16 though. Looks nothing like legacy OP however

Similar result to what the GfsAI would likely look like cobbling together the TT maps.

I think when the front gets here things get wild for a bit

Looks lovely, as the models went from the snow to a nice warm up. Some 6z gave no qpf like the GFS, others like the AIGFS and GEFS gave qpf with warm temps and a little snow to wet your appetite. That cold is locked up in Canada

Legacy Models look like crap. AI or nothing, literally.

NYC had gone 15 days so far not reaching 40°. That is the 14th longest streak for NYC no matter how many years tied since we are ranking the number of days and not the individual years. With the coming cold next several days this will result in the longest streak in 20 years. Number of Consecutive Days Max Temperature < 40 for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 35 1945-02-08 2 34 1886-02-08 3 33 1948-02-11 4 26 1879-01-17 5 25 1881-02-08 6 23 1940-01-13 - 23 1936-02-14 - 23 1885-02-09 7 22 1968-01-17 - 22 1924-02-25 - 22 1918-02-06 - 22 1912-02-15 - 22 1893-01-24 - 22 1883-01-17 - 22 1881-01-06 8 21 2004-02-03 - 21 2000-02-06 - 21 1978-02-16 - 21 1940-02-05 - 21 1901-02-15 - 21 1895-02-16 - 21 1877-01-06 9 20 1905-02-11 - 20 1902-02-22 - 20 1888-02-03 10 19 2003-02-01 - 19 1981-01-18 - 19 1977-01-09 11 18 1970-01-16 - 18 1914-02-25 - 18 1904-01-12 - 18 1887-01-12 12 17 2005-01-31 - 17 2001-01-05 - 17 1977-01-27 - 17 1966-02-07 - 17 1961-02-04 - 17 1948-01-08 - 17 1934-02-14 - 17 1918-01-11 - 17 1910-01-01 - 17 1875-01-21 13 16 2011-02-04 - 16 1963-12-25 - 16 1884-01-30 - 16 1870-03-09 14 15 2026-02-06 - 15 2018-01-08

Picked up a little less than an inch I would say. Impossible to measure with the strong winds. Down to 10.0F

Martinsburg and Hagerstown have both gusted to 45. Looks like peak wind speeds will be around midday.

Radar looks good overall

CMC has a couple inches Wednesday too

Like a squall/IVT hybrid here down to Long Island it’s ripping vis down to 1/8 mile and this might last a bit

Srn RI lit up nicely. Too bad like 4 people live there.

I gotta move. Only thing this place does well is heat.

Maybe 3/4”. Meh. Hopefully that bad pivots through.

Already had multiple 47 mph wind gusts. Toddy is going to suck. Wind scares me.

Haven’t been outside but it looks like 2” of fluff so far

Yeah models went back to meh. Uncertainty next weekend.

I was just coming to say that. I'm packing my truck to head to the Pine Barrens in SNJ for a hike and there's no wind at all right now. It was a little gusty an hour ago.

WB 6Z AI EURO still has the storm but it ticked NW this run.

1.0” here winds starting to crank at tree level

Someone between Peabody and Gloucester is about to get over a foot of snow.