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LWX's local forecast included historic high/ warm low temperatures for today and tomorrow. Record Daily Highs and Warm Lows for March 31 Site High/Year(s) Set Warm Low/Year(s) Set DCA 85/2025, 1981, 1979 63/1998 BWI 86/2025, 1998 68/1998 IAD 85/1998 62/1998 DMH 93/1998 73/1998 NAK 83/1979, 1945 61/1977 HGR 85/1998 57/1998 MRB 86/1998 62/1998 CHO 88/1986 67/1910 Record Daily Highs and Warm Lows for April 1 Site High/Year(s) Set Warm Low/Year(s) Set DCA 88/1978 64/2016 BWI 88/1978 62/2016 IAD 85/1978 64/2016 DMH 90/1978 69/1998 NAK 87/1978 60/1998 HGR 84/1978 60/1912 MRB 85/1943 58/2016 CHO 88/1978 68/1998

Leading edge of the door is close by, dropped back into the upper 40s after peaking at 52. Slipping into NE MA now too

Yes and the video of what she says when it went in is awesome

paying for your good winter

you know we need a warm pattern for these fronts to exist in the first place, right? in cold aprils the polar front stays well south of us and we get nw flow instead of off the ocean

The disparity between us in the eastern great lakes and west or lower Ohio valley was huge for the last half. The last few weeks really sullied my impression. can't wait to see the temp anom maps.

78 / 53 breezy - gorgeous - pollen building

42° RA 0.56”

great march

The 40s come back on Monday for some of us perhaps. My forecast high was 49 as of this morning.

At least here it was heavy rain most of the day-by the time it was cold enough for snow we dryslotted so it was light and non accumulating. Got a few inches as the storm pulled away in the overnight hours. The hype leading up to it was insane "blizzard conditions" and all sorts of stuff causing grocery stores to be cleaned out, in late March/April nonetheless.

And that 80" had lots of meat. About 2/3 down thru the pack there was a major layer of IP annealed by ZR from a storm in mid December. Once there was snow atop that layer, it would support a bull moose. The 65" at my place had about 16" SWE; that 80" might've had 20". We figured that spring would be the test of the dike protecting the western part of Fort Kent, but little rain and many days with warm sun and nightly freezes prevented any hint of flooding. (The test came in 2008 when 3"+ RA fell during peak melting late in April, producing a flood that came within about 18" from topping the dike and causing much damage east of the dike. We had the same rains but our area, including the western mountains, had shed most of the snow a week earlier.)

feels like summer outside.

Already 78 here. Probably gonna hit 82 this afternoon.

Still awful on barrier islands

59 at ISP

Up to 70 now at home, 63-64 where I am in Melville.

Are you talking RONI peak?

I don’t remember that storm, guess I blocked it out of my memory. What a joke.

I just think it could be a little surprising the possibility for colder conditions in Stronger El Nino. A few of them occurred in the 1895-1948 dataset. The # of samples we have right now is skewed a little warm and too +NAO, imo. Of course we have this global warming spike hitting the West coast and Rockies so we'll see if next Winter doesn't try to repeat the dataset.

Absolutely, wind direction readings can be tricky because of the natural variability in airflow. Many home weather stations only capture the direction at the moment they sample, so rapid shifts aren’t reflected in real time. High-end or professional sensors can update multiple times per second, giving a more dynamic view, but most consumer models essentially show a “snapshot” rather than continuous change.

I forecasted 2015 to pull that off, Chuck, and it was a failure aside from getting the blizzard right....but I hope we do it one day. I know we've come close.

We've been through that....higher end events are going to leak east. You keep imagining this uber-strong, western biased unicorn...have at it. Yes, strong events are favorable for rouge blizzards, agreed. I called the 2016 event down to the week on a seasonal level. I am talking about temps and NE overall snowfall...only one that was decent for NE snowfall was 1982, which had somewhat of a -WPO.

Every month in the 2020s has been -PDO. 74 consecutive months right now. Will it break? Stay tuned!

Split stank for me.