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Today's highs: Bridgeport: 62° Islip: 61° New Haven: 61° New York City: 62° Newark: 65° White Plains: 64°

There's a legitimate chance we make it all the way into November with no rain. From Isaias to an extended very dry period - reminds me of the post-Helene pattern.

Spokane is a nice city, and really not that rainy. There’s a pretty large stretch of desert between Seattle and Spokane

Moderate snow at Mammoth RIGHT NOW!!!!! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam

Amazing to have these beautiful days but by 9pm it’s below freezing and everything is covered in frost

Change to what though ? Does it feel like a storm final to a deep, great winter.. or just a function of shorter daylight and no dews leading to fake cold?

Depending on how well it does, I will attempt to pull other locations. Snowfall will be interesting, as 10:1 is too simple and Kuchera often leads to inflated amounts. Bufkit uses Cobb, so that's a possibility. Whether it can be integrated given what's available from the ECMWF remains to be seen. FYI, the 12z run showed a low of 41° at MPO for tomorrow (NBM is 37°).

The remainder of this week will see highs in the lower 60s. Friday will be briefly cooler with highs mainly in the upper 50s, but temperatures will likely return to the lower 60s for the weekend. Dry conditions are likely through the weekend into at least early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.3°C for the week centered around October 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.12°C. ENSO Region 3.4 ties the all-time record set in the prior week. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -42.87 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.585 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.8° (0.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Spokane only averages 16” of precip annually, but averages 45” of snow.

It’s just something interesting that happens in a sea of boredom. Wake up and the lawn, car and rooftops are frozen. 90 minutes later it doesn’t matter. But just like anything weather, it’s a fleeting signal of change.

Last night was interesting with all the microclimates here and large elevation differences in small distances Scranton 38 Mount Pocono 35 Schnecksville 33 Allentown 40 Me 33. The high got to 62 here. You had some interesting variations too. Did you mention something about an inversion causing you to sense the pungent air coming from the wetlands in another post? I couldn't find that post or I would have put it in here. I wonder if the mosquitoes and other insects from the wet lands also get trapped under the inversion. I'd rather be in the hills you mentioned lol. I'll be interested in seeing how it does for this area too with the large elevation differences in such short distances. Does it do forecasts for all three major airports here Scranton, Mount Pocono and Allentown or does it also do the smaller airports in Lehighton and Hazleton? It wouldn't happen to have Lake Harmony or Albrightsville would it? I'd like to see its accuracy for this region too. Can you do a comparison for this area too Don? Thanks! And snow and mix lines in the winter

Wow Spokane….get ready for a lot of rain..yuck.

Also don't know how long going to be posting here... Me and wife might be moving closer to family out in Spokane in the next few years Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Mood, give me colder days and snow over fake cold any day Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Don't like it either. I think their regular site's alleged maintenance is more of a "let's shove Beta down their throats" as I'm thinking most still prefer the original site. Beta seems like a nod to TT and WB in format.

Kev, the point is, the growing season is over in 95% of SNE. Nothing fake about that. No badge of honor, just a fact that it’s frosted. You have to let us know how you got 3.5” in a marginal snow event, in the early season, due to your elevation. That will melt away by afternoon. While we got a sloppy half inch to maybe an inch. Is that a badge of honor for you? I’ll say no, but it is what it is. Is that fake snow cuz only you/some folks, at a certain elevation got snow? You can’t buy a frost in October/early November, while the majority of the area has had 3-4. Just different microclimates. That’s all. But don’t try and lump in the majority of SNE into the NO frost category, because you haven’t had one.

That might be a record for LWX, and I'm being partially serious lol

It’s cool. Nobody is saying that. But most of SNE has had a frost . That’s a fact. He has not that is true. But his statement about many places not having a frost, is incorrect. That’s the only point.

Takes some getting used to. Was playing around with it today at work. It has some value, but there's a few things I'd like to see adjusted. Going to send a feedback email to the development team there on Friday when I'm not on an operation shift.

I said near the coast. Most of the south shore not on the beach has. Rt 3 corridor was in the 20s.

ALEET ALEET!!! Mammoth got 1-2 inches of snow today!!! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/mccoy-station They are in for more snow tonight and tomorrow! FIRST STORM OF THE SEASON! Looks like the Summit at 11000 feet picked up 2-3 inches! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit Unbound got 1-2 inches, they are at about 9500 feet https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/unbound-main-park