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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maytown must be one of the unlucky areas this morning - just checked and I've only added .02" to bring my total to .07". Even less has fallen at the airpark. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Feb 2024 was NOT forecast to be a cold month in the midwest. https://www.climate.gov/sites/default/files/styles/full_width_620_original_image/public/2024-02/Feb2024_tempoutlook.gif?itok=NFbaJvRE -
About 0.15” at home from the first batch. Not sure if the second batch will make it or turn south too soon.
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just checked: .45" in 10 minutes this morning. 4.45" since 5/20. and more on the way.
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2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
He would never. Look at his post history, speaks for itself. We used to think he was a former banned troll poster (but hes not) based on many of his posts. Hasnt posted in over a year (absolutely no surprise he was absent this winter). But heres his week out prediction for January 2025 (a month his hometown Chicago finished -2.6F. Detroit was -2.8F). -
May 27 1930: The Great Empire Builder Tornado occurs. A direct hit derails a famous train in Norman County. For Wednesday, May 27, 2026 1896 - A massive tornado struck Saint Louis, MO, killing 306 persons and causing thirteen million dollars damage. The tornado path was short, but cut across a densely populated area. It touched down six miles west of Eads Bridge in Saint Louis and widened to a mile as it crossed into East Saint Louis. The tornado was the most destructive of record in the U.S. up until that time. It pierced a five-eighths inch thick iron sheet with a two by four inch pine plank. A brilliant display of lightning accompanied the storm. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) (Note: 2x4 thru 5/8" thick steel...DAAAMN!) 1987 - Severe thunderstorms in West Texas produced baseball size hail at Crane, hail up to three and a half inches in diameter at Post, and grapefruit size hail south of Midland. Five days of flooding commenced in Oklahoma. Thunderstorms produced 7 to 9 inches of rain in central Oklahoma. Oklahoma City reported 4.33 inches of rain in six hours. Up to six inches of rain caused flooding in north central Texas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Sunny and warm weather prevailed across much of the nation to kick off the Memorial Day weekend. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern Florida caused the mercury at Miami to dip to a record low reading of 69 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southeastern U.S. Ten cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 90s. Lakeland, FL, reported a record high of 99 degrees, and Biloxi, MS, reported a temperature of 90 degrees along with a relative humidity of 75 percent. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from north central Texas to the Central Gulf Coast Region. Severe thunderstorms spawned four tornadoes, and there were eighty-one reports of large hail or damaging winds. Late afternoon thunderstorms over southeast Louisiana produced high winds which injured twenty-seven persons at an outdoor music concert in Baton Rouge, and high winds which gusted to 78 mph at the Lake Ponchartrain Causeway. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) An article on the derailed train. An F3 tornado collided with the Empire Builder passenger train, the pride of the Great Northern Railway. The train had just left Fargo, heading east on a hot afternoon. The engineer and several passengers saw a small funnel cloud to the southwest. The funnel bobbed up and down; then the top of a haystack blew apart. Seconds later, the train shook and the windows blew out in several cars. A farmer watching nearby saw the train lift from the tracks, settle back down, then lift again. He said, "it went flying out into the air and landed on its side. It caused such a huge cloud of dust that I couldn't see any of the train ... but soon the engine came pulling out of the cloud." Only the 136-ton locomotive and a 94-ton tender remained on the track. Automobiles soon crowded the roadway – spectators that made the evacuation of the injured difficult. But a rescue train soon transported the 117 passengers back to Fargo. 57 of them were injured. A man from Washington state was killed, and a Mrs. Troll of Minot was reported in serious condition, but was expected to recover. The storm went on for 50 miles through Clay and Norman counties. It was called a "definite barn wrecker." 24 farms in Clay County lost buildings. At the L. D. Fleming farm, the family sought refuge by their machine shed, but the storm lifted the shed over their heads and dropped it a couple hundred feet away. The storm claimed a second fatality when it killed an 18-year-old as he and other members of his family crouched in their farm house basement. He was struck by a concrete block dislodged from the foundation. A third victim, one of the train passengers, died two weeks later from infection. Based on interviews, it was later determined that three tornadoes had merged to form the funnel that struck the train. And coming during the Great Depression, the storm was another blow for those suffering losses. Dakota Datebook by Christina Campbell
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Most clocks are WiFi anyway and change automatically. It’s not 1960
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Still should get into the 80s here I suspect
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Good to hear! I'll take whatever we can possibly get. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Wow, I didnt see a torch 2-3 months out after 4 consecutive colder than average months here. Bravo! And I couldnt think of a month I could not care less about for warmth/cold than April. The important months were cold. Speaking of aging like milk, it will be wonderful to bump this "non winter" post. We dont have "non winters" in the Great Lakes. Mild? sure. Below avg snow? Sure. No winter? Not happening. And if you're banking on a strong Nino mild winter, then calling for a warm April is a big no. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
“The CFS continues to trend upward in even *relative* Nino 3.4 signals with new initial conditions in spite of relatively little westerly wind stress forcing, as the model initial conditions better integrate the subsurface ocean state in response to westerly wind forcing already integrated into the ocean system. The relative index fixes a real problem of the warming of the global tropical ocean, but it also shrinks the scale of Nino 3.4 events beyond that because the relative index includes signal driven by ENSO itself.” -
Damn clouds
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Pretty good heavy and steady rain here at Coppin for the past 30 minutes or so.
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The Gulf continues to have a low to moderate possibility for TCG next week per model consensus, including EPS/GEFS. This possibility has also been hinted at by the last few Euro Weekly runs for precip next week: Yesterday’s EW for 6/1-7 precip:
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Nice rain here in 21057 for the last hurrah for a while.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Love it. Man, this rain is much more robust than anything modeled or forecast for up this way. We actually had a downpour a little while ago here in Harrisburg and still raining very steadily. -
I think there's a laziness component to this issue, like other things, some people don't want to/can't perform relatively simple tasks like adjusting clocks. I think we have the best of both worlds the way it is now - extra daylight in summer evenings and enough daylight on winter mornings. If we change it, fine, but it wouldn't be on my Top 10 list of priorities for this country.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some more needed rain is crossing the area this morning. We are now up to over 85% of our normal rainfall for the year to date here in East Nantmeal with some spots now approaching average precipitation levels for the year. Today will be our last in a stretch of mainly cloudy and wet days. A beautiful end to the work week and upcoming weekend is on the way. Plenty of sun on the way with temperatures running a few degrees below normal as we close out May and move into June. -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some more needed rain is crossing the area this morning. We are now up to over 85% of our normal rainfall for the year to date here in East Nantmeal with some spots now approaching average precipitation levels for the year. Today will be our last in a stretch of mainly cloudy and wet days. A beautiful end to the work week and upcoming weekend is on the way. Plenty of sun on the way with temperatures running a few degrees below normal as we close out May and move into June. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
WmsptWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This "rain that is going to stay to our south" just won't go away today... -
That's the highest elevation summit cam I'm aware of in Southern Vermont. This storm is about a week later. I'm not sure what produced this snow in 2025 upslope/storm nearby.
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adjust the time zones so that we all get noon sunrises thx
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It's like walking in soup out there right now.
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No Makes zero sense to be dark at 7-730 in summer
