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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Looks like UMB WX was in the dorms drinking last night. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Most of the precip was in June. July and August were dry. Worst time of year to be dry. About an inch yesterday. Still semi Steiner compared to elsewhere. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This El Niño continues to feature the ridge axis much further south than usual like we saw during the summer. There have been dual ridges near Hudson Bay and the Southeast U.S this September. Perhaps the Southeast ridge maxing out at a record 600dm for September this week is signaling more of a shift north for late September. The trough along the West Coast and record rains in Southern California have been closer to past El Niño expectations during September. Overpowering 500mb ridges have been a common recent theme regardless of ENSO state.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That was .03" more than I got... -
We’ll see if we can make it to 20 days reaching 80° at the warm spots by later in the fall which has become more common in recent years.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
66° / 64° feels like a cool night in Florida. Certainly hasn't been a frigid stretch. -
I would be hesitant to say that no one North of Philly is getting above normal snow. It only takes three-four large storms to get to climo totals in the coastal plain. The season could still avg +8 temps but 10 days of true winter spread across 3 months can get you above average. Not saying that will happen… just that it can if we are talking in absolutes. And it would still “feel like a ratter” if it’s rainy and 45 most of the winter outside of those 3-4 storms.
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Could be flirting with the warmest September on record at GSO
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
61 degrees this morning. .03” of rain overnight. That storm line weaken up as it was coming in. -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
jaxjagman replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Be kinda careful what the CFS is showing, the last several days its warmed down into the subsurface to around +10C around 55M,while yes 1+2 could mix out with any MJO moving across the WH,i dont think its gonna work out very well what the CfS is showing
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