All Activity

NAM still trying to keep it cooler tomorrow happy now?

Yea, beyond St Paddy's Day requires a much great anomaly to get even a pedestrian snow event on the CP.

Sorry meant end of month.

I’m proposing to ban that stupid emoji.

Well, it's not a climo-thing for me...it's a "the set up would blow in January"-thing....looks like we are going to have a 50/50 High.

Still time for something before mid month because pattern can support it, but it gets harder and harder…at least around here.

Go draft

And I mean it, too-

And no models posted and no snow emojis

Brutal gradient. 4.5 BDL, 1-3 near 91 in MA https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/mar-7-8-2013

I'd rather see a Montreal-mauler.

Don’t forget the cranberry bogs too.

I could see it ending up more like a messy hugger, though....but I think the threat of another 40"er at the safe houses of Fall River is going by the wayside...

This time of year the temps will usually overshoot guidance-leaves aren’t on the trees yet so less evapotranspiration. When the high is supposed to be 65, expect 70 as long as winds aren’t onshore which is always another question.

If winter isn't over, the fat lady's warmup is now ramping up a few octaves...

Yea, mid month-threat looks like a SLRV runner right now...tough to bank on the seasonal trend at this juncture because that BZ is lifting northward.

Next week had promise. Sucks. Suppose it’s not a zero chance, but doesn’t look great.

Enjoy the pause, it’s the only pause you got.

Obviously I'd bet against snow, but the upcoming cold shot looks legit on most models

Three Rivers and Union City, MI would like a word about that. Tuesday looks legit, decent agreement among CAMS on discrete convection initiating within a favorable to highly favorable parameter space. The exception being the NAM 3KM which as has been noted, is likely due to its cool PBL bias. It is a bit of an odd pattern for the location and time of year, bearing more of the hallmarks of a late spring to summer setup for the region (like June 22nd, 2015 and '16) than an early-mid March one (3/12/06 or 3/15/16). However the same was true for last Friday.

Got down to 32 in this morning: 09 06:56 E 3 10.00 Fair CLR 33.1 28.9 85% 29.94 1014.0 09 05:56 SE 6 10.00 Fair CLR 32 30 92% 27 29.92 1013.5 09 04:56 SE 5 10.00 Fair CLR 32 28.9 88% 28 29.92 1013.1 09 03:56 SE 6 10.00 Fair CLR 33.1 28.9 85% 28 29.92 1013.1 09 02:56 SE 3 10.00 Fair CLR 32 28 85% 29.92 1013.2 I'm headed back home for some afternoon delight with temps in the 70s.

Yea, well the pause in snowmelt is quite real, as fleeting as it will be...

Yeah got down to 25° here a little while ago while some of the hill towns near me were upper 30’s.

As fake as fake can be when you drive down the road and the temperature drops 9°.

HA! Now there's a song I haven't heard in a LONG time! Afternoon delight warm temps?