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  2. mahk_webstah
    That’s interesting
  3. donsutherland1
    From the WPC:
  4. Damage In Tolland
    Yup . Sleet
  5. Ginx snewx
    6z Skynet.
  6. Hoth
    Merry Christmas, everyone! Fantastic improvements in the modeling down here. Just hope it's not a head fake. It's been a while since our last 6"+ event.
  7. wthrmn654
    Long Island totals are over 6 inches now yet still no watch lol
  8. bluewave
    Models not quite as cold for the start of January as prior runs with the core of the cold forecast to stay to our north. New run Old run
  9. UnitedWx
    Merry Christmas everyone! It'll be interesting now to see 12Z, That map from WTNH seems pretty bold still, but would love it to verify.
  10. Jeff B started following Boxing Day Ice Ice Baby!
  11. CoastalWx
    Only thing I’ll say is beware the wrn tongue.
  12. mahk_webstah
    Glad at least the sw ct folks get the good snow.
  13. mahk_webstah
    Sunday night trending warmer unfortunately. Still time for it to trend better but don’t think it will. High sliding off too fast.
  14. Damage In Tolland
    Reggie too
  15. Patrick-02540
    Merry Christmas everyone.
  16. snowman19
    The only thing the NAM is good for is accurately showing warm noses. It surprisingly excels in WAA events. Other than that, it’s completely useless
  17. CoastalWx
    6z settled back a little aside from the Nam.
  18. Snowlover11
    Besides the shitshow NAM, looks like so far the northern bumps have eased for now. Hopefully that continues into 12z.
  19. BrianW
    Wtnh's map this morning.
  20. Duca892
    Can I ask why is NWS so fairly bullish on this one? What models are outputting 4in in Philly, 6in in Allentown etc
  21. snowman19
    Warm noses are always underestimated at this range. The fact that the mesos (hi res RGEM/NAM) are showing a strong mid-level warm nose all the way north of NYC is a red flag. They turn it into a sleet fest. Ignore at your own risk. Globals (GFS, ICON, CMC, UKMET, EURO) are not going to pick on it as good as the mesos. Today is the day to take them seriously. Larry Cosgrove said many years ago ‘do not ignore the meso models showing mid-level warm noses in a WAA event they are usually right’
  22. Ralph Wiggum
    Updated:
  23. MJO812
    Euro looks better than the 0z run
  24. aldie 22
    Rain incoming looks heavy for a bit. 40 degrees
  25. Damage In Tolland
    Nammy with the sleet into NYC idea. Remember how well it sniffs out the warm tongue at 925. Reggie north as well
  26. Fozz
    If this storm actually delivers for SNE, then the ICON will deserve lots of kudos. For days the ICON was alone in seeing this, but can’t celebrate just yet.
  27. snowman19
    The 6z hi res RGEM and the 6z 3K and 12K NAM runs are showing a strong mid-level warm nose all the way up into Rockland, Orange, Sussex, Passaic and Bergen, Westchester. The Ptype goes to a sleet fest. This should be taken seriously due to the fact this is a WAA event
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