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Probably lose 0.2-0.3 before best snow/dynamics and cooling takeover but still looking like a solid foot or more i95 east

That was a big shift west by the EURO even if its less than the GFS. At this point even if they converge its a huge storm.

So far this season I sit at 45.8". With this one I may hit 60" by Monday.

Bernie Rayno going for 3-6in all in Eastern PA with 6-12in in Philly

Maybe. I’m expecting it to be snowing most of the day but not amount to much and if it does, then it’s a bonus!

big difference when trying to remove 8 inches from your driveway VS. 16

Oh man that sucks, sorry to hear that.

Start time guesstimate anyone ? 8 am ?????? and when does she get cranking is it in the afternoon or at night ?

06z : Models Mean Total QPF (NYC): 1.49 inches Mean 10:1 Snowfall (NYC): 15.5 inches

Would have been nice if guidance converged, I still like my earlier post of Greenwood, DE to the Atlantic Coast. I have a hard time believing the GFS.

Why does it seem all the major mets hug the EURO??

I don’t know. Think we’re in a good spot to catch some ML goodies as it stands.

Monday morning is the height of the storm. Could be near impassable roads. Wouldn’t be surprised if they issue a state of emergency and keep nonessential workers home

Everyone will be rating this an A+ winter in 48 hours

And this coming Wednesday

Didn't see it posted, but 6z Eps improved over 0z.

Would be. I think the later capture is still being ironed out and if keeps ticking NE today, that should help distribute precip more north. .

I wonder if this storm develops an eye like feature like the real biggies did

Mt Holly covered its bases well here. 8-16 forecast, takes care of the Euro's lower tier and touch bases of GFS/NAM.

I just need 7” more to hit 40” on the year.

What are ratios looking like with this one? Do the strong winds lead to mangled flakes and lower ratios?

yeah, seems like the cut backs are beginning

In case anyone was wondering here’s next weekend

Going to be a fun day of model analyzing Probably put together a map/discussion after 12z.

2/21 06z Summary Total QPF NYC / Total 10:1 Snow NYC SREF: 1.8 / 16.9 NAM: 2.3 / 22.5 RGEM: 1.5 / 14.7 ICON: 1.4 / 12.9 GFS: 2.3 / 22 GFS AI AIFS: 1.6 / 15.8 UKMET: 1.0 / 10.4 GEFS: 1.8 / 18.4 EURO: .09 / 10.1 EURO AI AIFS: 1.1 / 11.1