All Activity

As long as the H5 stays similar... I am happy.

I read balloon data was being gathered today .

I can’t believe we are all sitting here waiting for another 35 inches of digital snow

It’s jumpy. But if you go back and put a line through the axis of the IVT 24 hours ago and average all the models together the mean was somewhere through west of DC up to like Frederick. Remember we were east of the heaviest qpf. Now we’re on the western edge.

If it’s worse than 6z it’s a semi cave

Half a milk jug and a bath tub? LOL

I whole bunch of downers in here... If it is not going to happen, then there is no need for you to be here.

No one breaks 18” or maybe 12?

It will most likely cave but every model is so close. Frustrating.

I mean the exact placement of the IVT is harder to parse… I think getting a better h5 pass and something a bit more amped are some clear trends to hope for. The GFS isn’t going to be right. We are not going to get crushed by a sub 980 over the Chesapeake. But a trend towards something less pathetic is good.

I actually disagree, not like the IVT has been going east every run on all models. the further west and south the low is and any capture also matters to the IVT depiction.

What's the floor where we can say cave? Because 12z was peak, it's not going to get better from there, obviously. But losing say 5 or 6 inches wouldn't be a cave. So, what's the line here?

You're just mad the imaginary coastal doesn't jackpot your backyard! We southrons know how this is going to go, so we're focused on an all-time model yeeting of the (entire model suite) by GFS. IDGAF about some IVT junk that drops 2" of slush that doesn't stick to roads here.

the stupid mf'er is going to triple down and beat the Jan16' DGEX run that showed 50"

Welp... here we go... all eyes on GFS

Likely the meet in the middle with a 70/30 or 60/40 lean towards the other globals. Issue is that’s no good for us. A compromise is a miss. Just a closer miss. Could help the Delmarva.

Congrats!

I'm expecting a cave from the GFS as much as I want it to be right.

It’s been sitting basically over us for the last 24hrs haven’t seen that much of a move

I don't think recon is really out there for this system nor will it do much in terms of data for this.

it hasn't happened because it may happen still you're not 100% it won't happen are you?

Icon did sorta too. Seems like many failed coastals have been afflicted with them in recent memory

Let’s fuckin do this! I hear TAPS playing in the background though. Not good.

i can think of no better way to witness the incoming implosion.

The crazy part is we know the gfs is wrong, it’s gotten its clock cleaned all winter, yet here we are awaiting it at 18z. lol something wrong with us.