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The 1st week of December does look mild though.

I think an amped storm brings us rain during this period. But a 2-4 incher could be in the cards if the timing is right especially for NW zones.

The models are really struggling. Thanksgiving and its weekend warmup went poof so is the week 1 warmup which consists of plus 20 day skewing the entire week Here's another warm bust in the making

We haven’t . Not one

They aren’t named. We’ve had a few.

Name one other than the Noreaster. There isn’t any

We’ve had a few coastals. Looks like CT is screwed then.

CO2?

Pattern is locked in with no signs of changes

Meh. Been nothing special. Greta.

The other concerning thing is lack of coastals this fall. We had 1. The nor’easter . Everything else has been cutters and fropas with a ton of wind which looks to Continue the next few weeks.

About as boring as you can run a -2. If we ran a +2 like this people would be saying it was faux warmth. But yeah, it’s been fairly seasonal with no real ups and downs.

It’s been a consistently fake airmass autumn. Lowest here is 27.9

Cant believe how warm it was the last week. 83 yesterday, and muggy. Felt like the begining of September. As usual, we are still lacking in the rain dept. Half inch for the month. Today should be a beautiful with less humidity and a high temp of 75. I have to admit, I am enjoying outdoor activities with this warmth.

Seems like guidance is really struggling with the Pacific pattern in early December. There will be some very cold air somewhere in North America. Not much more is certain yet.

Latest 17F or colder at CON is 12/12/1998. That’s pretty far out there still.

Consistently cold mornings her for weeks though.

I see +NAO/-PNA

Yes. You went against the grain and said weeks ago that you thought the November stratospheric warming was going to be a weaker wave reflection event and the SPV was going to rebound and strengthen quickly again mid-late December. If that works out, then it will have been a very impressive call

39 here. One last leaf cleanup today and then setting a neighbors oak tree on fire. It’s still half full and I’ll be damned if I let it blow leaves over to my yard

The airports average 1-3" of snow for December, so expectations should be in check. It is our fourth snowiest month.

Yeah…run of the mill stuff for Novie standards.

So warm and dry. This is NOT good. Yes its NWS...so they cant be counted on these days. We are still in drought conditions in my area so I really hope we get some much needed precip this winter.

WB 6Z AI EPS Dec 8. Few hits starting to show up as early as Dec 4.