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Anyone want to place a bet on the 12z AIGFS to have the same low sit off the coast for 15 days straight.
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Beautiful week upcoming
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41 with a little breeze, hopefully no freeze
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beer
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thanks, Adam. I’m certainly not worried about a persistent SE ridge this winter! -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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Damn. Good point I did not consider the World Cup. Would hate to see the fail. It’s like when we had the world tour of surfing in Long Beach in 2011 with the biggest prize in surfing history $1,000,000 (still to this day). The whole world made fun of it and then they scored perfect 8-10’ hurricane surf. But the next year 2012 it was flat the same 2 weeks in September. (It was canceled) .
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Still windy but when I see that dew , from experience, it’ll be close
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They were blowing up at top as well and north ridge. I think it early, but then again they have a world cup in a little over a month.
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Probably get near 32
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Injured reserve so out the next 4 games and we grabbed Joe Milton from the Cowboys as another backup quarterback. Historically strong El Nino will have a river of warm Pac moisture and a good chance for the PV to stay bottled up. Winds have slacked off and am down to 46. -
Can tell it’s breezy because my Halloween ghosts are blowing around outside lol.
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High of 46 at the Garrett County Airport today. Only 41 at Grayson Highlands VA for the high.
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Still 41 here as a light wind is holding on.
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We always seem to bust high on temps. No matter the season
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High of 58 today . Warmer than I thought it would be. Low was only 40 this am. Coldest push of air to our east, High of 41 at Grayson Highlands Virginia today and they are already at 32 this evening.
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39.7/27 We worried
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Skipping a frost this year and straight to a freeze. Weird -
The pic is Pit2 looking NE. So, that'll be off the water here. We'll see how that play out. Winds should be pretty calm, but as you can see from the pic, the station is right at the water--albeit elevated. 41.5/19
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Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Oct 17 2026 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Off the East Coast of the United States: A strong non-tropical low pressure area is expected to form by Sunday night off the southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically through the middle of next week, and some subtropical development is possible during this time. Regardless of development, this system will cause high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
- Yesterday
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The question is was it just a few on superstar for social media? No way they think it’s time to go for real. That’s a massive operation that has to have access to long range forecasts. .
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LongBeachSurfFreak started following 2026-27 Ski Season Tread
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After a rainy/drizzly day yesterday, the clouds cleared off at nighttime, and Toledo dropped to 36. The high temperture 54 today was a real shocker. Obviously, it's not that uncommon for a temperature of 54 to be in early October, but we avoided the cold temperatures so far, with the warm weather pattern. My general idea is that the really good colors of fall start to occur after a few days/nights when the temperature is cold, but not (much) below freezing. Colors of the trees can get really uncolorful with a hard freeze. I saw that in Colorado twice in 16 years.
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N to NW wind should drop you down good. For me N wind is off Boston harbor. Should be near 40 here.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Hurts blood clot, now seeing this. Looks like I picked the wrong week //Airplane//.... https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1C8a5kFaWr/
