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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
Cobalt replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
it's okay, we're all wrong sometimes -
850 anomaly temps are actually near to slight BN on the 9th on EPS. Might be like what we have today with cooler anomalies hanging down in SNE.
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Yeah that period has been looking good for at least a couple days of low 90's
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
brooklynwx99 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
nah i mean we're likely looking at a warm winter for most anyway -
You're one of the one's that can relate to my interest in monitoring heat in the summer ... heh, I mean shit. It's not like it's part of weather, huh But 12z EPS mean, centered on June 9, came in yet a little more impressive with the over top heat look. Weather this is a flash (pun intended), a heatwave per se, or evolves to something else are obviously notwithstanding at this range, but it's being monitored.
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Some of it was the stable air when the wedge lasted a lot longer than expected.
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Yeah true...going forward looks great though. No looking back
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May 2026 finished exactly 1.0F above the long term average in Minneapolis. 2.24” of precipitation which is -1.67” below average. There was a late freeze on May 6th. The somewhat surprising 0.37” we received yesterday couldn’t have been timed better.
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haha... I'd say at least not totally sucking prison balls at shiv point -
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
brooklynwx99 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
waiting until the spring barrier passes to make an ENSO forecast is pretty standard. I said a couple weeks ago that we are probably getting a super event and that a strong event was likely in early April. not sure what the issue is there -
Spring 2026 finished as the 8th warmest spring on record in Chicago. Warmest Spring Temperature Rankings 1. 56.6° - 2012 2. 56.2° - 1977 3. 53.9° - 1921 4. 53.8° - 2024 5. 52.7° - 2010 5. 52.7° - 1991 5. 52.7° - 1955 8. 52.6° - 2026 9. 52.1° - 2021 10. 51.7° - 1946
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Spring 2026 finished as the 8th warmest spring on record in Chicago. Warmest Spring Temperature Rankings 1. 56.6° - 2012 2. 56.2° - 1977 3. 53.9° - 1921 4. 53.8° - 2024 5. 52.7° - 2010 5. 52.7° - 1991 5. 52.7° - 1955 8. 52.6° - 2026 9. 52.1° - 2021 10. 51.7° - 1946 -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
MarcmmKU replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cold snow > Cold dry > warm dry > warm wet. -
Everything is awesome!
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May 2026 finished as the 10th driest May on record in Chicago. Driest May Rankings 1. 0.30" - 1992 2. 0.58" - 1994 3. 0.67" - 1934 4. 0.71" - 2023 5. 0.78" - 1950 6. 0.80" - 1921 7. 0.84" - 1897 8. 0.93" - 1903 9. 1.00" - 1886 10. 1.17" - 2026
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Chicago Weather Records Tracking
Chicago Storm replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
May 2026 finished as the 10th driest May on record in Chicago. Driest May Rankings 1. 0.30" - 1992 2. 0.58" - 1994 3. 0.67" - 1934 4. 0.71" - 2023 5. 0.78" - 1950 6. 0.80" - 1921 7. 0.84" - 1897 8. 0.93" - 1903 9. 1.00" - 1886 10. 1.17" - 2026 -
Looks like the base state still includes a northerly wind component, which is outstanding if you like persistent drought conditions. Seems like the last several years humidity has been the exception to the rule.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
My opinion is the east based nature of 97-98 did not prevent a big snowstorm from occurring. 82-83 was east based and produced a big snowstorm in the northeast and mid atlantic, and 72-73 produced a big snowstorm in the south. So whether it is east based or basin wide such as 15-16, there is still usually an opportunity or two. -
64, mainly sun sky with post-card cu utterly opposite condition to this morning, whence it was 48 and light rain.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Isn’t the primary key in winter assuming you're far enough north usually the storm tracks? - Today
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Back to cold and windy. Dropped to 66
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Does the difference matter at that temp? 97-98 could’ve easily produced a blizzard just like 15-16. Maybe just less cold shots. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
forkyfork replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
there's also the fact that the snow people have driven almost everyone else off the forum
