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- Past hour
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I saw one flash to my SE does that count as a Thunderstorm for me
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Although the way radar is looking, those more significant .25 to .50 amounts could miss our area to the north and west.
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2025-2026 ENSO
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1955, 1998, and 1999 would have been great analogs if we had a 175-185 ACE season and a strong la nina. We obviously do not have that this year, but for fun, I will do this run: -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I actually agree with you that this La Niña may end up a hair stronger than last year, after starting my deep dive. -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Moderate rain... -
Yeah I'm sure the NAM 3km is way overdone with the .75 to 1 inch for our area, but HRRR is probably underdone with the less than a quarter inch. Your prediction looks good -- probably close to a third of an inch. Obviously not enough to help with the drought, but I'll be happy to see the vegetable garden get a watering.
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It was so nice today. Where did these clouds come from?
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Yellow on. radar scope is moderate rain for sure. .01 in this part of Wantage so far.
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That was a huge boomer at 8:45 that sounded like a big crash .
- Today
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The extended products continue to depict a significantly +PNA and slightly -AO/NAO for the second week in Nov, with below normal temps for the east. Love me some chilly Fall weather.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was hanging out on my porch and was very surprised to see a lightning flash. Could be the last one we see all year as a fall/winter pattern looks like it will set in after this cold front passes. -
Last year we had to wait until the 3rd week of November to get below 40 and a week later to get below freezing.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nailed it. This is the few week of the year I never look at a forecast ha -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Albedoman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Just had a thundershower- light ---here in lower macungie -
Models have trended wetter for tonight and radar looks good. .25 to .5"
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I wasn't following NWS today but MU was calling for showers between 5pm and 1am. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nice shower moving through here. About a tenth of an inch. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
canderson replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I was unaware there was a chance of rain tonight. -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
No more Warmth -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
kdxken replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Good. Give it to New Hampshire. -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
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+PNA and a sweet HL look. SE ridge crushed to oblivion. Non existent. It can happen! Lets hope it does when it really matters.
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Saw some lightning to my SW, say toward Savage and Laurel just before 9pm. Overall a seemingly comparatively cool day IMColumbiaBY today with temps 64/43.