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Shit bout to go down.

Accu weather long range is more pessimistic, the lowest September temperature is 55 degrees., it holds off the first low in the 40’s until October 12th and the first low in the upper 30’s until November 11th. That’s as of today’s long range. Stay well, as always ….

It began in 2015-2016 with the super El Niño....mid Atlantic just lucked out with the KU, NE did not.

The first 40% of September likely to be cool overall

The pattern really started in 2016-17. That was the year places like Baltimore and DC had like 3 inches of snow. That started their record low 7-year stretch, which lasted until 2022-23. The last two winters, Baltimore and DC got some snow, and those places bounced of those lows. I wonder if the same thing does happen to NYC and Boston.

0.81” here MTD Dew-gust fail

Up to .47”. Would like some more but this was appreciated.

swing and a miss for most of us today

lock it in!

In terms of 50" or more seasonal snowfall at New York City, one would typically need a winter colder than last winter was in order to have a reasonable shot. I looked at NYC (Central Park) 50" or above winters and winters from a larger set of sites from Washington, DC to Bridgeport. Only a single winter had a mean temperature at or above last winter's figure (Winter 2009-10 in Washington, DC). Below is the distribution of winters with 50" or more season,al snowfall and mean winter temperatures, along with the coldest and warmest such winters.

Round 3 incoming. Around around 0.80” so far. We drink.

Just got home, got .92” so we will take that! My lawn might bounce back

The misses today were very strategic. It took a certain set of hands to be able to control it with such precision.

This is what rain looks like Brian.

The north fork getting lit up good on radar!

Impressive temp drop from the rain. 74 down to 60.

Typical

The east end getting slammed of course. They’re like the South Jersey of Long Island, it doesn’t make meteorological sense to me. It’s so dry here my Rosemary is wilting.

Dumping

In it

Storms training and backbuilding all around, but only managed 4 minutes of moderate to heavy rain here.

Much needed drink. 0.74" Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

Crushed at work only .12 at home but incoming

For NYC I would say yes. Since NYC needs a winter average temperature close to 32° for their 50”+ seasons plus a cold storm track. The last time NYC was able to pull this off was back in 2014-2014. Even during the more recent snowy seasons since then, they couldn’t make it to that level since it was too warm for a 50” season.

0.54” will likely be it for the month