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Would also match the monthly record high minimum, set 4 times (all from the old city station, with the last date in 1922). 77F is the highest at ORD (9/10/2013).

I think we tied a record high min today @ORD today 78. @Chicago Storm As long as we don’t dip below 78 before midnight tonight we should tie it.

ORD tied a record high min today of 78. Should hold I don’t think we dip below 80 by midnight tonight.

Yeah.. better models don't really show it. 30 days until the correlation increases by 3-4x!

Looks like September will end up being the hottest summer month for TX/OK.

Not at all my area, (but it does indirectly affect our weather), but when do you think the huge ridge over the southern plains/southeast will let up?

That marginal line runs through Braintree and Weymouth. Figures..The summer of FU continues

Both Detroit and Chicago have reached at least 96F, possibly 97F. Believe it or not, that's the hottest September reading at Chicago since 1985. Much more recent at DTW - 98F in 2011.

Thanks! They don't have SST so I will still have to find something for May-Sept N. Atlantic SSTA index. Here's that arctic -H5 for the warm season this year 90N.. just where my reverse correlation for the Winter is the highest. Expect 90N H5 ridging for the DJFM mean.

Thanks!

Well in the Deep south +2-7F occurred in August and the model at a 0.0 month lead had ~0F. Denver verified +4F vs the models -3F.

It's interesting because it seems to be effecting the Southern Hemisphere. October is the start of big wavelength correlations, so it will be so interesting to see what happens in about a month! If the -H5 doesn't form over the N. Pacific, score a big one for the PDO.

Found this interesting

I doubt it given the limited scope, maybe different if the band had parked over a major city

I've been traumatized by this ridge in the SW, US/Rockies for the past 1 year. There are +6F anomalies for the whole 12 months! Also looking at global temperature every day, it really has gone warm lately. France has also seen 5 record breaking heat waves this Summer. We can do a cold pattern in the Winter, but I don't know that the upper latitudes (blocking potential) won't be squeezed out by El Nino or the -PDO/whatever the global pattern is in the Pacific. Fairbanks, Alaska was 1F away from their lowest Summer max temp all time, and I ran those analogs forward to find out they go +EPO in Winter.

1.43” here on what was supposed to be the dry day.

.43 here

Stuff like this makes one appreciate humanity being able to pull off even a fraction of the civ engineering feats that we've achieved

more rain-what a bust by the models

Screenshotted

Some much-needed rain beginning here.

These MCS complexes often surprise....I can remember waking up a few mornings to them surviving the trip down here

Going to be some violence going through Rochester, Syracuse, Ithaca late on

Huge meatball over Vaughan currently giving them likely large hail, some memories of Aug 20 too for some. The sups (if they are that mature yet) don't have the bean shape yet. I'm getting a few sunny breaks. More cells formed to my south but are petering out or will be the ignition for the further south stuff to erupt. There are values of SBCAPE of 5000 south of London! I think I'm around 2.5K, 1 STP, and 2 VTP lol.