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This what I was getting at with a reflection event being the safer bet....these warmings are feast or famine, whether they result in reversals or not....yet they result in these mass cyber-orgies.

My place had a high of 72, low 47. It's so nice I think that's 15-16 degrees above normal for the high, maybe less above normal for the low of 47. The leaves are still green for several trees. I anticipate there will be a mad rush to pick up leaves when it actually gets cold. I have my window open right now, tonight. It's going to get warmer, up to 76 this week. Crazy! The weather systems are not delivering the cold air. (Toledo had high 74, low 42 at the airport) a couple of pics

Exactly, the PV could end up splitting into Europe and eastern Siberia. And we still have a mega ridge on the east coast. I have seen so much crap on social media especially in the ski industry reposting click bait saying “PV split, here comes the snow” .

Shame you are 5 posted.

I remember people saying we will not get anymore HECS because of the planet warming. Well last year said wait a minute.

ASOS era

Is anyone subscribed to The World Climate Center paywall? I made an inquiry about a trial, but haven't heard back.....I'm looking to access a data set...

Did you scream "police brutality "?

Dec 5 blizzard

He blocked me on Twitter

First time I saw thunder snow. We were on a generator for 4 days. Local DPW left a giant pile of mess at the end of my driveway because someone had never plowed snow before but i digress.

Since moving here in 2005, far and away most favorite wx event. Only thing that will top it will be a direct strong cane strike up the CTRV or a TOR thru backyard

Thank you for your kind words, ChescoWX. I appreciate them. Have a great evening.

It will turn somewhat cooler with readings in the upper 50s to near 60° for tomorrow and Wednesday before temperatures again warm into the middle and upper 60s for the remainder of the work week. Much of the region could approach or reach 70° on Friday. Unseasonable warmth will continue into the start of November. Dry conditions will likely persist through next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 14. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.08°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.22°C. ENSO Region 3.4 breaks the all-time record most recently set in the prior week. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was +9.35 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.221 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 97% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 59.5° (1.6° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

I’ll say I’ve been fringed in a lot of SNE storms but that’s the only one I’m still jealous of. We got 1.5” lol. What a remarkable event.

I really don’t know . That was a hot month , so I would heavily lean no. That morning for the last 2-3 hours of the storm dropped into upper 20’s after 31. 5 paste all night . The last inch or two was powdery

Had you hit 32F or lower in 2011 before the Rocktober snowstorm?

WB latest EPS weeklies control. First week of December is less than 5 weeks away!!!

WB 12Z EPS. Next week looks wet.

Sizable full moon...noticed it last night from Vegas (been out west the last couple weeks).

Good to be back, gentlemen. I'll take your coats. Drinks are in the back.