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.90 congrats again. Our roles completely flipped from ass summer. That would have been here and you’d have gotten the .07. The Steining is the hardest part

Yep. And warming off the coast of South America has been increasing rapidly over the last week

I think 95-96 was the last time we had a solid +PDO la nina. Oddly enough, it followed the -PDO el nino in 94-95. I wonder what caused the inverse correlation of those years. Mind you this was at the end of a 20+ year +PDO period (the transition from +PDO to -PDO took place in between the super el nino and strong la nina in 1998). Maybe we do get something similar this time around, a -PDO el nino in 26-27, followed by a +PDO la nina in 27-28. Then, one final -PDO event, before the transition to +PDO.

The area experienced a top 5 warmest first 2 weeks of June. Time Series Summary for SUSSEX AIRPORT, NJ Top 5 Warmest June 1-14 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2005-06-14 72.3 0 2 2008-06-14 71.4 0 3 2026-06-14 70.2 0 4 2021-06-14 69.9 0 5 2007-06-14 68.0 0 Time Series Summary for WESTCHESTER CO AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2005-06-14 72.4 2 2 2008-06-14 72.0 0 3 1984-06-14 71.5 0 4 1999-06-14 71.1 0 5 2026-06-14 71.0 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1973-06-14 77.2 0 2 1984-06-14 76.8 0 3 2008-06-14 76.3 0 4 2005-06-14 76.1 0 5 2026-06-14 75.9 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1984-06-14 75.4 0 2 2008-06-14 73.8 0 3 2026-06-14 72.8 0 4 2024-06-14 71.5 0 - 2005-06-14 71.5 0 - 1999-06-14 71.5 0 5 1971-06-14 71.4 0 Time Series Summary for ISLIP-LI MACARTHUR AP, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2008-06-14 72.0 0 2 1984-06-14 71.8 0 3 1973-06-14 71.5 0 4 1999-06-14 71.4 0 5 2026-06-14 70.6 0

68/66 .20" overnight/am

In the past couple of weeks, daily record SST from satellite have expanded from the PMM into the enso regions and nearby, mainly N of the equator

.07 .43 MTD Thursday looks about the same

I really got lucky this weekend, with the rain and storms on Thursday and last night. Fridaty and Saturday were perfect, and I got late night swims in.

It blew right back up to your east too. I always hate that.

Route 7 special. A lot of 3-in totals in the yellow.

+8C in the subsurface is ridiculous. The warming at the surface has also been staggering

.44"

Cape got good rains. On to the next fail Thursday.

Waking up to a chilly 38 degrees. Cooler spots this morning being Eagle Mine, Doe lake, and Baraga Plains all sitting @ 31, Spincich Lake 32, and Ishpeming 33. Might squeak out a 70 today if clouds can hold off. Cool and unsettled for at least the next 7 days.

Just burn it all down damnit! Nothing more than a couple quick hitting showers while the goods we desperately need stay to the north and west. When is this pattern finally going to change?

0.90”! We take! 62.8°

Ended up with .22” of rain. 32 mph wind gusts. Most of that happen in about 10 minutes. 57 degrees this morning and currently cloudy.

Ended up with .67" from yesterday's rain and storms.

Yep called that yesterday. We suck

But Cape Cod!!!

Just brutal, 0.02” which is enough to dampen the pollen on the ground

7/10 baby. We knew

Very likely now to be wet with a W, over the Coastal region the next couple days from S-SETX. Significant flooding is almost a total guarantee due to a stalling front and the slow-moving, leftover circulation from what was TS Cristina (on Pacific side) of Central America earlier this past week. No disagreement on WPC's Moderate excessive rainfall risk area in STX (will likely get expanded east later today but could border on High risk with already saturated soils from late May heavy rainfall). Especially with Precipitable Water values extremely and 0 doubt, abnormally high for June standards (up to 3 in. Even along Lower Rio Grande!!!). There will be both, Gulf & Pacific moisture influx throughout most, if not entire troposphere. Euro has been very easily going over 10 inches on forecast accumulated total rainfall the past several days of runs. And going way higher now. Up to a whopping 30" in SETX on tonight's 0Z run. GFS is also catching up now (usually more conservative). Going over 10" on latest 0Z run tonight.

I will be satisfied with my paltry half inch of rain tonight. I don't mind drying up in Buda like the mayas of old. I actually love it. But what is getting my goat so damn bad tonight, is the fact that the NWS in their infinite wisdom placed a green Flood Warning box with the fucking boundary over my backyard. I do NOT get the privilege of actually BEING INCLUDED IN THE GREEN WARNING BOX. NEVER. Kerr Valley is going to get twelve inches overnight. No doubt about it. Yeah. I knew it. I am going to be missed by the storm cycle. Floods do NOT like Buda. I wish I lived in Cherrapunji, India. They get 1,050 inches of rain a year. HERE'S TO HOPING WITH ALL MY HEART, THAT THE FRONT STALLS RIGHT OVER MY BACKYARD IN BUDA, LADEN WITH HYPER-EFFICIENT TORRENTIAL SHOWERS! FOR DAYS. Yeah I am a sick pup. I wanna watch those water levels rise on Rt 1626 as Plum Creek rises about 35 feet Precipitable Waters are 2.4 inches overhead. Yeah this is slightly humid tropical air.

Just haven't been able to get Summer Arctic ridging since the ice melt peak in 2012. 15 years is impressive for that record to hold, in this exponentially warming world.