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Had rain last night and getting rain currently with a high of 62 beautiful degrees.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Yardstickgozinya replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
One of the first things that popped up on the search so take it with a grain of salt. Harrisburg Rank Temperature Date 1 97 °F October 7, 1941 1 97 °F October 5, 1941 3 93 °F October 2, 2019 3 93 °F October 6, 1941 5 90 °F October 5, 1959 5 90 °F October 1, 1927 7 89 °F October 9, 2007 7 89 °F October 6, 1997 7 89 °F October 5, 1951 7 89 °F October 5, 1922 11 88 °F October 8, 2007 11 88 °F October 6, 1959 11 88 °F October 12, 1954 11 88 °F October 10, 1949 11 88 °F October 4, 1941 11 88 °F October 3, 1919 11 88 °F October 6, 1900 18 87 °F October 1, 2019 18 87 °F October 7, 1963 18 87 °F October 4, 1959 18 87 °F October 2, 1927 18 87 °F October 6, 1922 -
2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
To me it just shows that forcing, namely maritime, is not ever omnipotent. Could it go back to being continuously 4-6 absolutely but currently regardless of what phase we seem to be globally open although weak in most locations, every single basin is firing off tropical activity right now. While it is something we don't see all that often and for this persistent I don't see it more than that. -
I don’t have the answer though it may not. But regardless, I just find it absolutely fascinating that it has and will continue to be dominated by the “wrong” way for 6 weeks. I can’t find any longer than about 1/2 month like this over the last 50 years in Jul-Dec. (I haven’t checked Jan-June.) What I’ve love to know is what unique set of factors is allowing this to happen?
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Definitely unusual as you noted, but does it matter if the forcing is propagating the "wrong" direction? Off hand I am not sure why it necessarily matters directly, but indirectly it implies a weakness in potential analog forecasts.
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The unptecedented for the 2nd half of the year (since MJO records started in 1974) very lengthy clockwise dominated track continues with still no end yet in sight. It started Sept 1st and is projected to continue at least through Oct 12th, which would mean 6 weeks long! GEFS: clockwise at least through Oct 14th EPS: clockwise at least through Oct 12th
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Favorable ACE looks to continue through the foreseeable future: (note that favorable phase 2 just produced Humberto and Imelda) GEFS: going backwards through 2/1/8 EPS: going backwards through 2/1/8
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Up to 75 knots. Visible reveals a possible eye feature forming
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I would play Huntley. Houston can bring the pressure, and Rush isn't mobile. He also looked terrible throwing the ball last week. No idea why they signed this guy to a 2 year, multi-million dollar deal.
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
WxWatcher007 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Ugh, 2020. The year of King Grinch. -
Excited to share that for the first time since The https://chescowx.com/ launch way back in 1999 we have engaged professional support to upgrade the site and content. The site is still being modified to bring you all of that great content on the unique climate and changing climate specific to Chester County PA. Drop by and let us know if any suggestions for content or layout. Thanks! Paul
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
lee59 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
80 the high here -
East coast couldn't manage a storm out of this setup even. This summer has been the dad-bod of weather.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Who is ready for October starting tomorrow. We have seen summer like readings of 100 degrees and temperatures in the teens. We even occasionally see snow. Who remembers 2011 when between 5" to 9" of snow fell across the county? October Chester County PA records are below. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Who is ready for October starting tomorrow. We have seen summer like readings of 100 degrees and temperatures in the teens. We even occasionally see snow. Who remembers 2011 when between 5" to 9" of snow fell across the county? October Chester County PA records are below. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
uofmiami replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Thursday is the day for that -
Free Keaton Mitchell. Fucking Harbaugh.
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There is some bad luck here, but seasons go wrong for other reasons besides random injuries, and in the case of Lamar's injury the organizational belief that Faalele, and to a lesser extent Vorhees, are starting guards for an offense that is supposed to be elite, contributed, and that is troublesome. Look at film, and its clear neither of those players are good in space, and don't handle the blitz well. Lamar probably got hurt earlier in the game and gutted it out as long as he could- there were a couple runs where he didn't look like himself, and other times he didn't run when he could have. Ben Cleveland is a better guard but is forever in Harbaugh's doghouse. Time to tank for a new coach lol.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Islip has reached 82°. That ties the daily record for September 30th that was set in 1986. -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
anthonymm replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Spectacular if it was 15 degrees cooler. Best (non winter) weather is mid 60s with full sun. -
Here's to dark beers, pumpkins, and epic PDO pattern shaping up
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Hand the ball to Henry 30 times per game
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I haven't been this depressed since the night after my wedding.