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Incredible LTG show incoming tonight! EML FTW! 7/1 was good in that you have CONS flickering LTGIC esp. in the mid and upper part of the CBs, but CG and CC LTG overall was about avg. This situation is more potent, so the LTG should be high-end for all types! The tornadic HP monster that tracked from W of ALB to LI on July 10, 1989 had 12,500 CGs in it first 5 hr of existence. Here is a CG plot from that day (WxWiz - "I will treasure this image FOREVER!:).
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Looks like this smoke has origins in Moosup CT. Has a slight skunk smell to it. -
Yeah tons of clouds and smoke here in Maine. Temps are underperforming. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That relaxation of the ridge and heat has been the pattern since May following these periods of record heat and ridging. If the ridge returns again in early August, then we’ll know the pattern is continuing. But if the trough can hold on, then it would look more like a traditional developing super El Niño mid-latitude summer pattern in the East. -
Yep smoke
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That would be cool. Still looks active starting Saturday and continuing a while afterwards. We cool off and then maybe another heatwave early August looking at model clusters. Meanwhile, I believe I bserve smoke overhead. Skies are milky white. Currently here Current conditions at Wilmington Airport (KILG) Lat: 39.67°NLon: 75.61°WElev: 72ft. Fair 88°F 31°C Humidity 55% Wind Speed W 10 G 17 mph Barometer 30.12 in (1019.9 mb) Dewpoint 70°F (21°C) Visibility 10.00 mi Heat Index 93°F (34°C) Last update 14 Jul 12:51 pm EDT
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When the dynamics/forcing are strong and an EML present, diurnal heating is less important. Not that it does not matter at all, it does, esp. for sig tor, but I will tell you, on July 10, 1989, after the AM tstms w/ the warm front in region, it remained mostly cloudy (thick high OVC) over much of the region, and this did not impede things at all w/ 3 discrete supercells -- SE NH, central MA (CoastalWx got it in Brockton eventually!), and the monster HP that tracked from W of ALB to LI (WxWiz's dream storm!!!). BDL was something 68/66 when the warm front passed July 10, 1989, and a few hours later 86/74, this was w/ lots of clouds present. Strong WA and moisture advection overcame the lack of insolation.
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Yeah its not that hot at all. Warm but as far as comfort goes you could say its a better than average mid July afternoon. Quite breezy, tolerable humidity, with bright but very obscured sun. Most pleasant heat advisory I've felt.
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It was interesting to see the sky go blue suddenly, temp skyrocketed, but now back in the smoke and temp down again. -
91 here
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Drop that shortwave from Hudson Bay due south into Tennessee, and that'll end the drought real quick.
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Understood. Social media has it challenges as to what ppl mean and imply.
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it's coming
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86. We drop. We bust.
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88 here so far
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GFS isn't too bad
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Looks like 88 BDL so far -
Only 85 here and we have a heat advisory lol. Dim sun through pinkish overcast. Not going to make Upton's 93
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The thick smoke has moved out but wow, the thickest smoke layer I have ever seen. Below is the Nest Cam time lapse. It started around 9am. At that time we had the cirrus overhead with the MCS but skies were basically clear after that. The temperature has jumped 7F in the past hour. 82/69 I'm not sure why the camera was changing the hue of the sky. Maybe to adjust for the darkness? https://video.nest.com/clip/3886a63d346441b9a07cb5463627d987.mp4 -
Looking really smoky outside. Made it to 90 here though.
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Smoky pink look here. Holding at 85 with very dim sun. -
Heatwave cancelled? Blame Canada! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Agreed. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Might have 6 days in July that hit 100+ if the temps on Wednesday and Thursday are to be believed
