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  2. I had to get to work.I'm not sure exactly what happened to that the expansive break in the clouds geo was showing this morning, but I maybe got 45 minutes of sun today. Last night's mcs really seems to have things all mucked up now with debris. The cold front's still out in the western Ohio with plenty of time for things to happen. There may be no sun but we still have plenty of time and a powerful system to plow that cold front through. I'm sure the severe risk is falling, but we got a long way to go to say that we're done for the day with storms.
  3. Seems to be weakening except for the southern part
  4. Two SVR warnings now SE of DC. Throwing off a little gust front to the north, so we'll see if anything can happen with that.
  5. The action moving into Somerset County will be here shortly. Hoping to get a heavy downpour.
  6. “Something” in this setup usually means a quick shower as the front runs into stable air
  7. visually confirmed tornado upper Manhattan via ch.7
  8. Looks like showers popping up SW to NE from Breezy Point to Valley Stream
  9. That storm to my NW seems to be expanding south/turning right. Could be interesting.
  10. If we are at the coping stage, at least the atmosphere isn't "worked over" by the time the later round gets here.
  11. We're in the Falls watershed near Laurel Creek (a couple of miles SW of the NC50/NC98 intersection) so we drain into Falls Lake. July to date: 7.3" + 0.25" (Friday evening) + 12 BIG drops over the weekend + 1.6" yesterday evening = 9.1" We had 4.6" in June We've lived in this house since '92 and this is one of the wettest June/July periods we've had. Obviously when you get to Aug/Sept some of the tropical events over the years have delivered large amount of rain, but for June/July it's been outstanding this year.
  12. We’re driving down to Columbia. I don’t see it storing there (like Harrisburg
  13. I'm honestly surprised that SPC hasn't upgraded that area to a tornado watch.
  14. The other thing to consider is that cell @yoda mentioned is in an area and continuing ito areas that the blob of precip has been impacting...so if it holds/intensifies it could be a good indicator for downstream. My only concern is that by the time that stuff shifts closer, we will be well beyond peak heating. We will have to rely on better forcing to continue the threat. Though....it does remain QUITE soupy out there.
  15. Severe thunderstorm warning for Bronx and Queens just issued until 5pm. 60 mph winds possible.
  16. Latest HRRR continues to not be impressed with storm/rain chances the rest of today for many of the LSV area aside from areas near the MD border. The real bust for now has been central PA where this light to moderate rain all day and cloud cover has really put a lid on things .
  17. Hardly any rain here today in the Financial District, although NWS just issued a special weather statement and flash flood warning. I’m not sure what they’re seeing on the radar but I’ll take their word for it.
  18. I rarely check in during the summer months, but here I am for the bust of the year.  Hopefully, everyone is enjoying summer regardless of severe or no severe.
  19. So far-but probably get something when the front swings through
  20. I mean - my rational side says that all the junk around is going to lessen our threat substantially - but the Morgantown cell plus that one entering WV from OH does have me intrigued as those are heading in our general direction.
  21. Storm entering Garrett County in about 30 minutes just got TWd... big rotation SW of Morgantown
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