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I've never seen thundersnow. I would die if that were to happen with this storm!

Yup, same here which I'm looking for some higher amounts honestly. Saturday and Sunday the highs are going to be in the teens. Sunday mornings low looks to be negative 2 degrees and Monday morning looks to be about 3 degrees.

Yes, overall it was an increase in precip for se areas. Will need all guidance to start moving towards Euro by 0z, if the 18z run doesn't fold.

Whatever model wvlt used showed 4 inches for my area, 5 for Knoxville, and 6-8 east of there.

He seems to add extremely little value. We can all read the Euro outputs as well. .

Its essentially just an ocean effect snow event now.

"These bands of heavy snow in eastern NC andsoutheast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturdayafternoon and evening. It is here where not only are 2"/hr snowfallrates achievable, but so is the likelihood for thundersnow. Theintense vertical velocities in eastern NC and southeast VA may...."

Yes.

Looks considerably beefier east 18z on readers right 12z on left

Damn, the NAM got me.

They’re trucking snow into parking lot in Staten Island to melt it the chaos that would’ve ensued if we got a decent storm again, I’m all for it

That was actually a pretty big shift though

By 12Z Saturday, most guidance is in agreement that the 500mbshortwave takes on a more neutral tilt (oriented N-S) over the TNValley and becomes a closed low over GA. PVA becomes maximizedover the Southeast while a surface low spawns along a coastalfront east of the Carolinas. As the 850mb low deepens over northernGA and heads east into SC, easterly 850mb theta-e advection willdirect low-level moisture around the 850mb low and support a bandof moderate-to-heavy snow from northern GA to central SC. Farthernorth, the same tongue of 850mb theta-e is funneling along the850mb front to the north of the 850mb low track from northern SCon east through the heart of NC. This is where the deformation zoneis likely to form, pivoting over central NC and northern SC with1-2"/hr snowfall rates likely. This band of heavy snow is likely toensue farther east into southeast VA, where 700mb FGEN is moreideally placed to support strong vertical velocities within a fullysaturated DGZ. Similar to NC, look for intense bands of heavy snowover southeast VA to form late Saturday afternoon and persist intoSaturday night. These bands of heavy snow in eastern NC andsoutheast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturdayafternoon and evening. It is here where not only are 2"/hr snowfallrates achievable, but so is the likelihood for thundersnow. Theintense vertical velocities in eastern NC and southeast VA mayresult in some subsidence in north-central NC and south-central VA.Snowfall is still likely to reach warning criteria, but theseregions are potentially susceptible to lesser snowfall amounts asthey are caught between the influence of the strong upper-low tothe south, and the strengthening coastal low. WPC

Norfolk gets big storms quite often. They get foot 10-12" plus storms about every 5-7 years recently. 2010, 2018, 2025, now this year possibly too.

La Niña did not start fading in December lol @40/70 Benchmark He just refuses to let go of that narrative lol

RGEM is now a modest hit for the Cape, perhaps advisory upper/mid cape and warning level outer cape/ACK. I know, exciting for all on here.

And the low is stronger

Us in the GSP crowd disagree with that statement

What’s is the precipitation forecast for this time?

FWIW the 18z ICON has some closer members compared to 12z

Is that ratioed? .

.02 isn’t much. I’d think something was up if it didn’t go up or down a little. .

Going to say pretty rare. I only moved here in 2020 so it was definitely the most I'd seen in one storm! Originally from Georgia!