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2013-14 was the snowiest, most severe winter on record for southeast Michigan. Will never see another winter like that again, and its legendary status makes the common folk forget all about so many other great winters of the 2000s-2010s. For your region, what happened in 2015 probably overshadows 2013-14.

That seems a little high but Upton usually plays catch up at the last minute or even during the storm. I think 3-6" is a good call

Who are they official for? We could say you’re the official voice .. or E Mass Wx or whomever we want

this isn't really a big snowstorm for anyone though, really....maybe someone gets 10 somewhere, but this is a very normal snow for this area all things considered; trenton area often does ok; i'd say i wouldn't be surprised at all if mercer areas get 4-5 with some sleet. of course the usual areas north and east will jackpot, but that is not the same as seeing nothing. just my opinions not based on anything but decades of observation; in fact, many times people would be commuting from trenton to nyc and people there would not believe them when they said they were delayed by snow...people used to laugh at them. this was back in the day of course......

mesos really honing in on Eastern Norfolk. should be a nice OES max there

Aren't the official voice?

In the past 2.5 days, Mammoth has been absolutely nuked in place, by about 70 inches of new snow. "All Mountain Operations Have Been Suspended Because Of Avalanche Danger." Mammoth is forecast to pick up another 18 inches of new snow today. Yeah. You read that correctly. On top of the 67 inches already on the ground. Up top they have about 75 inches. Hey, it's high time for a jebwalk! Oh wait, there's too much snow! Five and a half FEET!

Latest HRRR

How ridiculous does this look? SE CT under a warning .. This is the point . Everyone here knows what snowfall amounts will be so who cares what they issue .

What you are pointing out, like serval had told you all week, will mean significant ice accretion.

I think there will be a widespread 8-12” in the I-84 corridor w/ Danbury prob having the highest probability.

Yeah, @John1122shared some posts about it a few years ago. I am hooked on watching atmospheric river events now. Their storm total is 67" so far. It is hugely important for California. The Los Angeles Water District gets a ton of water from the east slops of the Sierra Nevada. We traveled out there last summer - mainly because the outdoor opportunities are just about endless. The city of Mammoth is a decent size, but it is REMOTE. The hiking there is pretty incredible, and the scenery is about as close to what I would imagine the Alps would be. I am a huge Yellowstone NP fan, but this area might top that - plus no grizzlies!!! Their ski season was in serious danger. The ground was bare which is pretty unprecedented. So, getting this much snow will save their season. The webcams there are wild today w/ the wind. It looks like most of the lifts are closed. I know they have to pack and groom a lot of those slopes since bare ground was their prior to Christmas Eve. My hope is to one day travel out there during an atmospheric river event. Plane tix into Vegas are cheap if you are willing to drive the 6 hours from there. Reno is the better airport(only three hours), and you can see Lake Tahoe on the way. But man, those mountain drives are no joke in places. We really enjoyed Yosemite NP at Tioga Pass, a white knuckle drive but worth it. It is only about 1.5 hours from Mammoth. If you like fly fishing alpine streams - no place better I don't imagine.

Doesn't get more classic than modeled.

I thought NWS was the official voice. me confused. But obviously doesn't make their forecast infallible

Winter storm warning now se ct! 5 to 8

I'd still go 3-6 for the city and 6-9 for all northern suburbs and north shore LI personally but it's a tricky forecast, upton seems to be discounting the Euro/NAM.

I've been quietly liking my spot in this since yesterday. Anticipating these slight bumps NE. Longitude helps a bit here in this Frankenstein pattern situation. You'll probably do pretty well too I think.

I agree. But the NWS issuing warnings/advisories etc….I think folks kind of feel it makes things official. Like, they are the pros, so I’d they think it, then they must know type a thing. But ya…the weather doesn’t give a shit what BOX does.

When was the last time NYC had 4? hard to believe its been that long and wondering if they measuring right. I know its a bit different where I am at the top of the Bronx but have had at least 3 events in the last 3 years over 4 inches including one already this year.

NYC has not had a 4" snowfall since the January 28-29, 2022 snowstorm.

said this late last night and early today looks like local forecasts had a better handle on the radar then nws

Coming down HARD

Winter storm warning for New London county now

keeps on lowering it late last night it was 2 inchs of sleet