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  2. Winter Wizard
    Looks like 1965, 1968, 1987, and 1998 had an additional SSW event later in Winter. Only 1987-88 has the same ENSO/QBO combo.
  3. mreaves
    Because if something doesn't happen on certian hills in CT, it hasn't happened at all.
  4. EasternLI
    El Niño is driving the current situation in the stratosphere...
  5. donsutherland1
    Cirrus, cirrocumulus, altocumulus clouds early this afternoon.
  6. IronTy
    You might as well draft up the "what went wrong" post now so you just have to hit submit next week.
  7. Typhoon Tip
    Interesting look for the SH so early in their recovery season ...
  8. IronTy
    I'm starting to think we need Krakatoa to erupt before we break out of this dry base state.
  9. WinterWolf
    Absolutely. Such a ridiculous term. Any sensible weather isn’t fake whatsoever. Maybe we should tell the ones that get a tornado ripping through their neighborhood, that it’s fake cuz it was isolated, and everybody didn’t get it….?
  10. MJO812
    He is finally on board.
  11. mitchnick
    https://eos.org/editors-vox/global-impacts-of-ensos-reach-into-the-stratosphere https://www.google.com/search?q=what+does+the+stratosphere+have+to+do+with+El+Niño+&client=ms-android-tmus-us-rvc3&hs=lktq&sca_esv=e65bf6121730a79e&sxsrf=AKL5yDhbk3KYfKSBLv7Eej9pJfcM1C9qmw%3A1793207651672&ei=Yy3iat64KKvR5NoP7buWGA&biw=384&bih=692&oq=what+does+the+stratosphere+have+to+do+with+El+Niño+&gs_lp=EhNtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1zZXJwIjR3aGF0IGRvZXMgdGhlIHN0cmF0b3NwaGVyZSBoYXZlIHRvIGRvIHdpdGggRWwgTmnDsW8gMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAEyBRAhGKABMgUQIRirAjIFECEYqwIyBRAhGKsCMgUQABjvBUj-mQFQjR5YoJMBcAB4AJABApgBuAGgAaYnqgEENC4zNrgBA8gBAPgBAZgCHKAC7BzCAgsQABiABBiiBBiwA8ICCBAAGO8FGLADwgIIEAAYgAQYogTCAggQABiJBRiiBMICCBAhGKABGMMEwgIKECEYChigARjDBMICBRAhGJ8FwgIGEAAYFhgewgILEAAYgAQYigUYhgOYAwCIBgGQBgWSBwYyLjI1LjGgB_foAbIHBjIuMjUuMbgH7BzCBwkyLTE2LjExLjHIB-MBgAgB&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-serp
  12. stadiumwave
    https://x.com/webberweather/status/2115404066482475097?a=12X_0gnBmHbDtI1jRmA&s=19
  13. Chicago Storm
    the sswe nonsense is just cohen trying to bait people to pay to read his shitty blog. there is no cold air up north. even if something does happen with the spv right now, it’ll just kick us back to normal.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  15. LongRanger
    there are these white things in the sky
  16. forkyfork
    what does the stratosphere have to do with el nino
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  18. Chicago Storm
    Is it summer or is it almost Halloween? Monarch says: Extended summer.
  19. Stormlover74
    A possible turn to wetter next week?
  20. mappy
    I don’t watch baseball on tv much but was bummed they couldn’t pull it out after sweeping their other series games. That 8 run inning from Monday night was wild!
  21. DirtySnowDen
    Personally, I think an Icestorm is due. Cannot tell when or where, but I think we are due.
  22. Stormchaserchuck1
    A lot of people don't know this, but a composite for the most warm 10mb Winters (NDJFM) have above average temps in the Northeast, US and cold Stratosphere Winters below average temps in the Northeast, US. The anomaly over Greenland extends south. Of course in shorter time periods there is AO-correlation.
  23. Weather Will
    WB latest EURO weeklies run for the 7 day period ending 12/13 is not a torch. Is is going to snow in December? Who knows!
  24. dryslot
    Yeah, Not sure where this "fake" term comes from, But sitting in the woods this morning wasn't fake, 45/27°F presently.
  25. GaWx
    Mitch, The modeled 10 mb/60N wind rise after the historic dip is by no means faster than what commonly happens with SSWs, especially early season SSWs. Looking at the image below, one can that the plunges downward from SSWs are often followed by pretty sharp rises soon afterward. By that time, the SSW has already done its “damage” so to speak. Look at the SSWs in here (circled). I count 8 SSWs prior to Jan 1st: 1952, 1958, 1965, 1968, 1981, 1984, 1987, and 1998 Most of these other than 1984 rose fairly steeply within a few weeks, which is what the models are showing for 2026 (assuming they will even be right obviously). Even some of those after Jan 1st rose steeply. @snowman19@Winter Wizard
  26. Today
  27. guinness77
    I don’t know. The sun angle should be premium after daylight savings time starts.
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