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Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
dendrite replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Bummer. Not even a dent. -
The long range extended EPS really wants to dry out the Plains. This is a signal for the shorter term guidance to keep correcting stronger with the 500mb ridges and heat than what the longer range guidance has been showing. So it’s possible our area could continue to see repeating major heatwaves from time to time through at least the rest of July.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That kind of SSTA orientation in the N. Atlantic right now favors a -NAO Winter. -
88...above forecast
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Might be able to sneak in a 90 today, gonna be super close… With dew-points in the 60s though it doesn’t feel too bad at all in the shade. Perfect summer day! That hot and muggy stretch last week really did a wonderful job of acclimatizing my body for deep summer heat. After a week full of mid-upper 70s DPs under my belt, my tolerance for upcoming heat has certainly gone up. Today was easy peazy.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
Typhoon Tip replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Synoptic scaffolding of what's going on between the Azores and the Urals through that area of the hemisphere really argues for the apex of this current burst to be about 4 days from now. -
Yes, but may have something to do with me turning the AC off and opening the windows. That said, I noticed it before turning it off. Imagine has something to do with the indoor and outdoor temperature (at least in my house) being equal, thus the AC not running as often and therefore not dehumidifying at the same level?
- Today
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Voyager replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Well, hopefully those who saw them this past weekend won't see them again. -
It’s not nearly as hot as last week but I still suffered in the humidity while working in the yard. I’m getting soft in my old age.
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Hopefully the outflow boundary delivers as it moves through Raleigh.
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what about the heavy T- storms tomorrow and Friday with possible flooding downpours ?
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Falls lake getting hit yet again. Just a storm magnet all of a sudden.
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Upgrade to slight for tomorrow for DC and points east?
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
All-time record heat returned to France today. The temperature reached as high as 109.4F (43.0C) today. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
dmillz25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It’s on discord now if you want the link ill dm it to you -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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1234snow started following 2026-2027 Super El Nino
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
82F/DP 70F I had enough of these DPs... -
Hoisting the Sultan Signal: Heavy Rain Event July 5-7
BrianW replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Ray, Good advice! I’m careful with potential bias of forecasts from any source, especially internet based looking for clicks or likes ($). This source is putting some emphasis on the cooling N Atlantic and AMO decline tendencies as an additional important factor to consider for especially the E US, something I haven’t seen a whole lot here and elsewhere (not specifically you though). So, this gives a different perspective (both Atlantic and Pacific influences) from most discussions I’ve seen with lots of support from both historic data and latest forecasts from 3 of the most widely followed seasonal models, none of which are warm this winter as a whole for the bulk of the E US. Also, note that this article from a European source also includes warm maps for the upcoming European winter.
