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  2. Hopefully that gap closes a bit more, but it will be tough...maybe get it to .3.
  3. Guidance is def. coming into better agreement on this remaining pretty east-based, as the CANSIPS is now in better agreement with the EURO in that regard, but I still think it tries to become more equally distributed once it peaks....but probably gets placed in the east-based bin when all said in done.
  4. I'm not sure if anyone posted the RONI and ONI values, but for JJA: RONI: +1.4 ONI: +1.8
  5. Hopefully that rain Sunday morning works out and doesn’t end up a S coast special
  6. Looks like a two day mild down before the equinox before we warm again. We embrace the warmth.
  7. @bluewaveInteresting how the EURO seasonal likes the OHRV for snowfall...maybe due to some modification to the STJ that you have referenced....also fits with a PDO that never goes wholesale positive.
  8. It's easy to look at the color scheme and want to take a plunge off of the Tobin, but it's not bad at all and fits with the more fruitful super El Nino scenarios.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  10. Sept. EURO seasonal has DJF snowfall about 9" below average inside of rt 128, and 6" below average outside. I have no issue with that forecast. Western New England is 4-5" below.
  11. Those are some really old analogs which in my mind speaks volumes how rare this current El Nino event is
  12. 66 for the low and super foggy. Picked up .32” of rain over night.
  13. One of the most impressive features has been the record breaking ridge in the Southwest since last November. The Southwest has been setting records for warmth month after month. The record warmth has spread to the East Coast at times since March as the ridge has shifted back and forth.
  14. Today
  15. When we see some wunderground stations with much higher readings than surrounding sites, it’s often unshielded or poorly shielded sensors.
  16. Really impressive how much stronger this event is than 1997-1998. The August upper ocean heat value of +3.23 was a new all-time record. August 1997 was only +1.79. It didn’t peak until October at +2.56.
  17. Do we finally get the torch we've been waiting months for?
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