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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
AFTER the first week of September. I give it a cursory glance as I do the contributors on this site as far as the winter outlook goes....but personally, I'm not fond of his presentation.... has this way of going about it where as he never actually commits himself to anything, and I think his interpretation of ENSO leaves a great deal to be desired. He clings to these archaic, over simplified generalizations, such as "winter will rock if ENSO weakens quickly"...his understanding of ENSO is quite crude and not nuanced enough. It's apparent that he doesn't have a firm grasp of local climo when viewing his storm maps for the region. -
Should be a nice breezy day in the upper 60's w/ lows tonight in the low 40's. Not much rain materialized over the past several days, It's pretty dry. I've had a hummingbird feeding frenzy for about 2-3 weeks then seemingly overnight they're gone. I'll leave the feeders up another week or two for stragglers. Sure sign that summer is over in the northland.
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That's +PNA/-NAO...don't mistake the blue shading out west in association with an immense PAC jet as RNA....look at the height lines..see how they have a gentle WNW - ESE slope? That is a subtle +PNA.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I just know how you closely follow all of DT stuff -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Chrisrotary12 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Not him...you are obsessed with DT. Joe Karnik -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Tell Dick Tolleris he is incorrect -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Hoping get enough clearing tonight to see the lunar eclipse. Last decent one till 2029.
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Had some heavy rains albeit brief in Newark on the turnpike. Had double rainbow entire drive down to red bank.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
40/70 Benchmark replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Guy I trust said after the first week of September. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Looks like Septorcher to start. Where are all the blues and fall weather? -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Was never expected there really. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CT Valley Snowman replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
I'm so excited to be in a marginal risk I can hardly contain myself. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, the outlook overall was garbage, though...I misinterpreted the El Nino adjoining the west-warm pool as more of a Modoki influence, rather than MC, which is what it was. I learned so much from that bust, and from Chris. -
That is just to my west. I can hear the thunder every few seconds. Good storm for that area
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Satellite OISST (through August) has risen to a new peak, 0.08C warmer than the previous peak in September 2023. So far, the nino spike this year is very similar in magnitude to the 2023 spike. Both larger and faster than previous El Nino.
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Morning commute at the Hoboken Train Station.
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The numbers show that we didn’t get the cooler developing super El Niño summer that was common in the past. We were significantly warmer than 2023. It was also warmer than 2015 which also didn’t have the extreme 100°+ heat that we had from May into mid-July. Most of the years you cited were the summers which followed the El Niño events and not before. The entire CONUS was too warm to allow a cooler summer here like 1972, 1982, and 1997.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Min 56.8° Getting into fog season now with the cooler days, longer nights, and lingering dews. -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Let’s see how today can fail around this area . -
Raining now with a nice line of storms moving into western nj
- Today
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The size of this boulder being moved is unreal, never seen anything like this event and it's probably small potatoes compared to what is coming
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