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As opposed to china? Yes agreed

What a disaster that GFS run was. 4 inches of rain next week would cause major flooding with ice jams next weekend. Thankfully it's still 10 days away and it's the GFS...

I can confirm. Still coming down steadily in Colonial Heights. Everything has a fresh coat of snow.

The only thing I take from the WB 0Z GFS is the threat of a storm somewhere along the east coast next weekend.

Canadian is remarkably similar to its 12z run.

We need to get this thing under 150 hours. We have been tracking it now forever and it’s still 10 days away

Steady light snow in Lewisville for past 30 minutes. Coating on the deck and cars. (Prior to that was some rain / sleet mix).

It's a cutter. 225 hours out on the GFS means nothing though.

The hrrr is looking interesting

It’s such a broken model. Compare it with 18z. It’s become sadly unusable like the Jma and Nogaps

So looking at the gfs. It has a s/w trod in the middle of the country. Hf and surface low right above Maine with some confluence. Let’s see how it fucks this up.

4 to 6 hours out it's ok. Not 40-48. Euro/GFS/CMC/NAM 3K at this range -in that order

Nice. The Gaspe is a bucket list trip.

The next 10 days have potential but the run to run nail biting is not the way to go. I'm just going to sit back and listen to those with greater knowledge than I and try to slowly learn a little bit more about the dynamics at 500mb. What more's a poor wx weenie to do?

We have a light dusting on the grass and roofs. There are a few places in my driveway that have turned white, but the roads are still looking uncovered. We now have some bigger flakes the largest of the night, but I do not think the roads are going to be a problem unless it does this for a few more hours.

HRRR was crap for the last front passage. Hopefully it’s right this time but not counting on it. .

Very light snow has been falling here for about 30-45 minutes... there's a thin dusting (<0.1") on some of the colder elevated surfaces. Radar has had no reflections over my house though (snow hole along I-140, just south of the "K" in Knoxville on the map)

Nope!!

Got the lightest coating on the cars here. Which is about all I expect from these very light showers passing through.

Sounds like fun Mark. Maine offers a 3 day deal(don’t have to get a full year registration). Our plan is to ride from our cabin in Cross lake/Sinclair area on Sunday the 15th, and up to River D Loupe in Quebec, and then on to do the Gaspe’ peninsula the following 3-4 days. And then back down through NB ,and back to our cabin in N. Maine. So we’ll see if that works out.

Yeah, it's going to be nothing here. The coastal low has left town.

Yeah, that heavy snow developed over Scott and Wise Counties and expanded.

It is flat out pouring the snow south of Kingsport to Colonial Heights. Everything is covered and probably close to an inch now.

Landlord paint on our snowpack.

I’m heading up the 16th. I don’t know if I’ll actually ride in Maine. I’ve got 3 days already planned in New Brunswick, Tuesday through Thursday that week. I’m not sure about buying a pass for one day in Maine. But I will spend a day visiting my friends in Presque Isle.