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What's your average high up there at 1k? 63-65?

Ninja’d ^^^

Need some summer to go along with this long daylight. I’d take consistent 70s at this point.

Hopefully a wetter and not to hot overall summer.

Sunday June 7, 2026 3:28PM EDT High impact tornadic and flooding weather event is currently underway. Thunderstorms and embedded supercells will continue to train over the same areas stretching from the Charlottesville, VA vicinity up through northern VA and into north/central MD just west of the two major beltways exasperating the flash flooding situation in these areas. Strong low-level SSE winds continue to bring in low/mid 70sF dewpoints beneath moderately steep mid-level lapse rates (7+ C/km). This is resulting in over 3000J/kg MLCAPE and with the strong LL shear in place (effective SRH of 250-450 m2/s2) and strong deep-layer shear in general (~60 kt EBWD) organized supercells with be maintain for the remainder of the afternoon and well into the evening hours before the best dynamics lift to the northeast. Tornadic supercells will train over the same or similar spots over the next several hours as this broken line ever so slowly crawls eastwards into the metros (Individual storm motions: 230/40kt. Broken line motion: 310/5kt.) With the dynamics and instability some tornadoes may become strong to significant and possibly long-tracked. Other severe hazards with these storms include severe winds (50-65+kts) and very large hail(2-2.5”+). The other highly impactful threat from these storms will be the major flash flooding. Much of the area will end up with 3 to 6 inches of rain with up to 8”+ in some locations.

Looks dry and mild through Saturday, a few showers Sunday/early Monday then retorch next week. Overall summer vibes

The new Cansips for DJF fwiw is along with the stronger Nino a bit colder than the prior run in the E US. I think it still has more correcting to do. Note by the way that these temp maps use the somewhat colder 1981-2010 climo: Old: New: It’s a bit wetter in the SE to Mid Atlantic and a bit drier in a good portion of the Midwest, OH Valley, and MidSouth: Old: New:

New Canadian run has a nice Summer for me - wet and cool, especially June/July. Monsoon very strong for Mexico and the SW US. Cold winter for the eastern US depicted, although Jan is pretty cold in most of the country. Gulf of Alaska low is kind of...south of the Gulf of Alaska.

June DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.1 0.0 -0.3 -2.3 -0.8 -1.3 2.0 0.6 0.5

Meteor video from near Smugglers Notch https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1D1m4o9Hv8/?mibextid=wwXIfr

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Christine,_Texas

https://x.com/i/status/2061189526874169417

Euro says next weekend is an inferno around here.

1. 2023 Nino peaked at near moderate/strong border based on RONI. RONI (relative ONI), unlike the traditional straight ONI, takes into account the warming surrounding tropical waters from global warming. RONI has been on avg ~0.5C cooler than ONI in recent years. So, whereas 2023 ONI peaked at border super/strong ~+2.0C, RONI peaked at only ~+1.5C (not super). 2. 2018-9 was weak Niño. 3. 2015-6 was the last true super-Nino. 4. 2014-5 was weak Nino. For those who aren’t aware of this, ENSO is followed daily at this informative thread:

I told you to toss that.

78 was the high here today.

More coyotes. Mom and Dad checking the bait. https://youtu.be/qcvl59bp0Lk?si=rv6I4fR1A9TyBUyr https://youtu.be/qcvl59bp0Lk?si=rv6I4fR1A9TyBUyr https://youtu.be/4cPpA7FB8i4?si=sgYtFjzGnnEMo2N8

Makes total sense.

Saw several posts today calling for a super El Nino this summer. Which...haven't most of them been strong (or beyond strong) over the past few years, the ones we've had????

Looks like another .25”+ today at home

Used to go up in the general area for the annual Stellafane amateur telescope making convention in Springfield, Vt. Took trip one year up Mount Washington in mid August. Nice enjoyable sunny day at the top. Basic sweatshirt weather with temp in maybe low 60s. Low clouds started to come in climbing the mountain then dropping on the other side. Then fog and since I was the driver for the group, I stated that I was not driving down the mountain in a fog. The ranger stood out in the road to block us as we got to the bottom and pulled up to exit past the gate. He had a kind of stern look on his face as he approached the car. He asked if we had a good time at the top and if we enjoyed ourselves. We were a little nervous and stated that we had. Then he gave us a little smile informing us that we had got down just in time... Whiteout conditions at the summit! I was thankful we left when we did. I'd take fog over snow coming down the mountain any day.

Yeah we bolt and CG earlier at Winni

Yeah good call, it was downwind of the storm. I figured the dry low levels to start must’ve been eating up the liquid drops while the hail could make it to the surface. Still, not something I can remember seeing before. Just scattered hail stones falling as the leading edge… usually hail only comes in the core around these parts.

Absolutely beautiful last day of May. Low of 60 and a high of 78. Dew points in the 50's and a nice breeze added to the perfect day. Monthly stats: Highest temp: 91 Lowest temp: 44 Rainfall: 5.04" thanks to last weekend.