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  2. 2 cartoppers and a 3 or so incher before Dec10 isnt a bad start to winter
  3. Officially a dusting here! Best rates of day. Roofs/cars/mulch white
  4. wait you're telling me that claiming winter will be solidly above average in august bc of previous winters is persistence forecasting?? color me surprised!
  5. Shhhh! People are going to start thinking your name is Richard!! (saying this all in jest, as you know!) That reminds me...Many years ago I remember this one episode of the old Letterman show, where for his "Top 10 list" he found ten people with the name "Richard Head"...and had them parade out on stage showing their driver's licenses to prove that was their name!!!
  6. I chased again today to areas just south of Keysville. I can only imagine what accumulations would have been had it been a night hit but that was a solid band for awhile..
  7. Lightly snowing still and temp is 33.1* based on my wireless thermometer. Alexa says it’s 30* but she also gives me info based on Stokesdale obs so who knows.
  8. Have we ever had a year where the tie-breaker cities beat the regular cities in snowfall?
  9. And I am surprisingly down to 33.6°. Flake size for the most part is terrible. A few fatties every now and then.
  10. It would be interesting for someone to do a case study on the accuracy of model forecasts for these shortwaves that originate in areas with lower amounts of sample data. My totally half-assed ignorant theory is that as the model resolution has increased over the last few years, paired with the faster flow we've had, it causes more run-to-run inconsistencies on the operational models for these types of storms. If the flow was a little slower, there would be time of the physics to catch up to the shortwaves as they develop and provide a more consistent forecast. We often do not get consensus on the info we need to determine snowfall amounts until a day or two before because many of the storms that have been happening over the last few years have been fast movers. Not a lot of systems stalling and/or phasing, and when they do, they are usually modeled better. The older lower resolution models may have been less sensitive to this problem, though may have not generated a more accurate forecasts, just one that was more consistently wrong until go time. And as usual, we are often talking about differences in tracks of 50 or 100 miles to determine snow amounts, which is more difficult to pin down compared to just plain rain during other parts of the year.
  11. lol the gaslighting continues. No mystery why this offense is struggling, and Lamar gets sacked and injured.. why they struggle mightily in the red zone. People need to be fired over this.
  12. About 4.5 here with I’d say another hour to go. We may hit 5. Enjoy my good boy in our field.
  13. It's a no stress bonus event. Especially for us coasties.
  14. Coming from a bad area of observations though. I would like to see some consistency and improvement over the next few days, but it doesn’t have to happen overnight.
  15. Radar still looking good. Could end up with 7. Crazy how this came out of nowhere. Was maybe an inch 24 hours ago.
  16. From a good friend of mine in Fleetwood, Ashe County!
  17. 30 here now. Will be very icy tomorrow am on the roads.
  18. Well, I guess a watch pot truly never boils because I laid down for a nap, and it looks like things picked up a bit while I was asleep. And it’s still snowing! .
  19. At my age i look at every snow as the last one i see, lol
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