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  2. Brewbeer
    were you really that scared ?
  3. Brian5671
    Another great day here 78 and low dews-AC remains off
  4. snowman19
    Once this DWKW treks into the EPAC and reaches the South American coast over the next month, I think it’s a very real possibility that we see +12C subsurface anomalies. The 30C isotherm east of the dateline supports this In other news, right on time, the +IOD has started to develop….
  5. Brian5671
    Could be worse 6 yrs ago we were all locked away fearing for our lives
  6. snowman19
    I never said it’s done warming. My post only dealt with what has happened from when this event started up to now, not what is going to happen in the future with region 4. It may very well start warming again in the fall. @LakePaste25 I agree with you about the peak. I think this event more than likely peaks in December, not November like the EURO is showing
  7. Today
  8. TheClimateChanger
  9. LakePaste25
    Yeah, there is still a 30C isotherm west of Nino 4. So it could spike again sometime between now and in the Fall before we actually start to see some real replacement upwelling in the W pac. This Nino has ways to go before it peaks. I also think some models that show 3.4 peaking in November are peaking it too early.
  10. WinstonSalemArlington
  11. SouthCoastMA
    That's not just a Merica thing.
  12. Met1985
    Temp of 69 with rain. More widespread rain this afternoon and evening.
  13. roardog
    If region 4 really is done warming then the CFSv2 is way off showing warming continuing there into fall.
  14. TheClimateChanger
    No, July 2012 came in 0.04F cooler than July 1936, per NCEI. Close but no cigar. For the whole summer (JJA), 2021 is tied with 1936 for the record at 73.98F.
  15. cbmclean
    Ended up with 1.57" from today's rain. Looks like a good chance for more tonight.
  16. snowman19
    Region 4 is what makes 2015-16 a poor ENSO analog. This one is developing as a pure canonical, east-based/EP El Niño. Region 4 has been leveled off for a long time now and the most recent 15 day SST anomaly charts on cyclonicwx are actually showing region 4 cooling. All the warming is and has been concentrated in regions 3.4, 3 and 1+2 for months now and it looks to remain that way as far as the eye can see. The best ENSO analog for this event is 1997-98, by far IMO Region 1+2: We are literally neck and neck with 1997
  17. TheClimateChanger
    At least one of those so-called monthly record lows is fraudulent - there's a spurious 18F reading at YNG reported on 5/24 for some reason. Also, strongly disagree with Brian about the upcoming pattern trending away from the record. In fact, this is the hottest stretch of the month starting today. NWS NBM forecast shows several days of 3-5F above normal to close out the month.
  18. TheClimateChanger
    Wow, wouldn't have thought it had been that long since a July high below 75F. The coolest Julys of the past would see the entire month's average not much higher than 75F (e.g., 1976 - 76.7F).
  19. TheClimateChanger
    Is there a way to fix a data error in the official climate records? I noticed from Brian Brettschneider's map, it was showing a monthly record low at Youngstown - which struck me as odd. I took a look and the low for May 24th is showing up as 18F, which is obviously incorrect. Not sure how that ended up there... it doesn't look like NWS CLE generated/published an RER for that date.
  20. Mrs.J
    Absolutely beautiful beach weather!
  21. Mrs.J
    Not too bad. We walked south down the board walk so not as thick as right at the bus drop off. I think we are coming back down tomorrow also. Like you said this weather is amazing for beach weather. We took the bus down to avoid paying high parking.
  22. Psychguy
    And don’t forget explosive diarrhea from produce… good times, indeed!
  23. A-L-E-K
    12z guidance good so far
  24. Typhoon Tip
    Plus ... we've gone and made 'merica so goddamn great again ...Measles cases have soared to a 35-year high. Fuck yeah!
  25. stormy
    I wish today's weather could linger into September before beginning to cool down a little. Cloudy and 72 with a southerly breeze at 4.
  26. Typhoon Tip
    The extended operational GFS and Can are trying to go hot but ... mm, the indices say no.
  27. AlexD1990
    We're going tomorrow...how crowded is it? This is amazing beach weather
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