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A good start. Something to track. Even if it doesn’t pan out for us

Seems every time a threat thread was made in the last few years, minus a couple, they fizzled or didn't pan out... my opinion is within 48hr if we're still in alignment model wise, it'd be fairly safe to start a thread...also, looks like some decent mid level magic may happen somewhere in SNE if it plays out as currently modeled, quick hitter though too, so be hard to get double digits unless rates are good and growth is good.

Me too!!

Me too

you move alot?

Hard pass on a thread. Storms still 5-6 days away

EPS likes Dec 5-6 a lot more than Dec 2-3.

If I get 4-5” on Tuesday, I will bow to my AI overlords

There’s quite a few in here that are superstitious lol, But no reason for a thread that’s 5 +days out.

Keith is concerned about events thru 12/6 Hapoy Thanksgiving my man!

Happy Thanksgiving to all!!!!

Oh yea. Gimme.

Euro has been trending towards a more neutral, slightly negative AO/NAO after Dec 5th. Good to see.

It’s best to thread these when it’s obviously going to affect only one region, or there are multiple threats. For now everyone has a chance so we can keep it here.

Sunday at the earliest. I don't bother looking at model runs until within 48 hours...anything outside of that is sort of like looking through the SI Swimsuit issue and believing one of the swimsuit models is stopping by for dinner..

Shut up and embrace the technology!

If it is broken, that would be why imo. @Jidid you say you can see the individual AIFS members? Or just in WxBell

^is this like tropical tidbits accumulating NAM freezing rain at 10:1 ratios??

Being chased out of town again are you?

At the earliest.

Happy Thanksgiving to you turkeys! Early week systems looks meh for I95/fall line south and east. Maybe a brief start as frozen along that demarcation points SE. N and W should see their first accumulating snow and mixing event. Few more weeks for climo to favor areas SE of the city.

Lol - maybe the AIFS output is broken

Got the median for the AIFS thru 138 - pretty impressive. Not caving to the parent. Still waiting for the mean.

based on 500 mb I would have thought it would be a bigger hit tbh can't complain though that was a near ideal run for SNE and plenty of opportunities after this one

Saturday