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We know how that story goes. It'll be all over the place over the next week, I'm sure.

Hope I get 2 inches in Naperville. .

I try to give honest thoughts. If I’m cancelling I would say it lol.

This run also puts O'Hare down to -1°F Monday morning with a snow depth of 6 inches.

As depicted would be enough to open up Ski season at least, hopefully some fun times ahead

Was gonna say I was thankful to be in Milwaukee this weekend, but even that could be to far south

Keep on weenie me because truth hurts for people on here. Euro is now cold in the long range

Definitely not a favorable track for us. Sucks to get a nice front thump to then have it eroded by nasty cold rain.

Euro is now colder in the long range . All the models have trended colder.

Ends up too warm for close D.C. metro but some snow elsewhere. Works at this range

850 and slp north of chicago, weenie maps showing the always ephemeral front end thump aside, this is taking the shape of a wisconsin event imo

Question BIG IF this storm materializes and the Chicagoland area goes under a winterstorm warning (BIG IF) will this be the 1st time that we have been under 2 warnings before Dec?

Lots of good confluence in the northeast too

Weak stuff even down here

Quite possible with the lag

This could get interesting, enough energy rounding the base, more than the GFS, possibly we’ll see…. .

I think it might be later than that, if we even see sustained phase 8.

Ugh Euro is north. Pretty much saw that coming. Hoping it can nudge back south but feel like this gunna end up an I80 north special. Shocker

My area's best Decembers are the SWFE patterns...a la 1970, 2007, 2008....big coastals this time of year usually produce a lot of mush on the CP.

12z vs 6z below

for many, the weak slp and good antecedent are doing heavy work keeping some of us in the game

12z Euro was close for midweek next week.. but scoots mostly south

Quite an interesting post here. I wasn’t aware of any of that. Thanks for sharing.

We are going to get some Arctic High regime (-NAO), but its just gone by mid month....AWT.

As a wise man ALEK once said “miss north stank”