tarheelwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yes it does. The mall is 15 minutes west from me but still the same general area. Great. I'll follow your posts and maybe pm to keep up. Supposed to drive down Wednesday morning from Greensboro. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Great. I'll follow your posts and maybe pm to keep up. Supposed to drive down Wednesday morning from Greensboro. TW I'll keep you updated! I can even give you my cell number just in case you need to know while you're driving. My guess is that you won't be driving anywhere! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Everything looks great right now for those of us in western NC. Powerstroke and me were talking last night and we both have one concern. For awhile storms seem to track farther WEST the closer we get to the actual event. So while I'm excited for the possibility of a nice wallop. I still have to temper my excitement because of a known trend that would possibly move everything west. My area has benefited from those moves west, this is my reason for concern. When you start hearing the high looks to be moving off shore earlier then we could easily see a more west track, not just less cold air to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Everything looks great right now for those of us in western NC. Powerstroke and me were talking last night and we both have one concern. For awhile storms seem to track farther WEST the closer we get to the actual event. So while I'm excited for the possibility of a nice wallop. I still have to temper my excitement because of a known trend that would possibly move everything west. My area has benefited from those moves west, this is my reason for concern. When you start hearing the high looks to be moving off shore earlier then we could easily see a more west track, not just less cold air to work with. Robert seems to think we are ok as I mentioned the same thing to him. I would feel better if euro came out today down to Cuba as all storms for the past year have went west when we needed them too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SAC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 How big of a role will/could dynamic cooling play in an event like this for the I85 corridor in N Ga, upstateSC, and Western NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Cold air is my only worry, we're all gonna have tons of moisture to work with, we just need to hold on to the cold... or let a monster storm generate it's own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 How big of a role will/could dynamic cooling play in an event like this for the I85 corridor in N Ga, upstateSC, and Western NC? Big difference potentially. Maybe just a little too far out to be very specific right now. As it looks now, it appears to be a very dynamic type of system. It will certainly be a dynamic NOWCast event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Lowering heights plus possible heavy rates would the trick for those SE of the 850 line. GSP seems to think " AT THIS POINT...BASED ON MODEL THICKNESS VALUES AND SURFACE WET BULBS...IT APPEARS THIS WILL BE ALMOST ENTIRELY A RAIN/SNOW EVENT. AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-85...AND ALONG THE I-77 CORRIDOR COULD SEE MORE RAIN AND RAIN/SNOW MIX TO START OFF AS THEY WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S ON TUESDAY. THIS WOULD BE SIMILAR TO THE CHRISTMAS DAY STORM THOUGH ONCE PRECIP STARTS THEY SHOULD GO RAPIDLY TO ALL SNOW." Just keep reading today the rates will always be talked about by a Met... How big of a role will/could dynamic cooling play in an event like this for the I85 corridor in N Ga, upstateSC, and Western NC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 If I remember correctly he said last week the next storm was ours! Also my Avatar is how much snow I WANT! Robert seems to think we are ok as I mentioned the same thing to him. I would feel better if euro came out today down to Cuba as all storms for the past year have went west when we needed them too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 If I remember correctly he said last week the next storm was ours! Also my Avatar is how much snow I WANT! also never gave up on Christmas storm!! You will need more than a tractor if you get that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pilotwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 also never gave up on Christmas storm!! You will need more than a tractor if you get that much You have never seen me get it with a snow shovel!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You have never seen me get it with a snow shovel!! Chiropractor likes the sounds of that too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Before everyone continues quoting the Euro as the gospel- just saw the ensembles and there is a lot of spread at storm time with the majority of members not as deep as the Op. Just sayin' But a real key to last night's runs for this area was that the UKMet also moved significantly to the east with its track and was showing a bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 12z NAM rolling -- at 30 hours, actually looks "diggier" than even teh 6z run. RE: GFS, this is actually like watching a sappy Disney movie where the GFS is the bad guy and you KNOW he's going to lose in the end, but it's still fun watching it happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Maybe a bit east, though, at 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 12z NAM rolling -- at 30 hours, actually looks "diggier" than even teh 6z run. RE: GFS, this is actually like watching a sappy Disney movie where the GFS is the bad guy and you KNOW he's going to lose in the end, but it's still fun watching it happen. Shortwave a good bit stronger as its digging down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Has anything changed for the piedmont of NC (Specifically Winston-Salem and Greensboro)? Last night when I went to bed, things were a bit discouraging. TWC still has us as a wintry mix for Tues and Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Also more digging at 36 on this run... Shortwave a good bit stronger as its digging down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Also more digging at 36 on this run... Is there a place on here that explains all the weather lingo? What is shortwave? What do you mean by digging? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tarheelwx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Has anything changed for the piedmont of NC (Specifically Winston-Salem and Greensboro)? Last night when I went to bed, things were a bit discouraging. TWC still has us as a wintry mix for Tues and Wed. Depends on when you went to bed. 00z models (except for GFS) trended much better for us as they moved further east representing an eastward shift in the r/s line. Even then, we'll be close. TW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Im referring to this Is there a place on here that explains all the weather lingo? What is shortwave? What do you mean by digging? Im not the person to try to explain. Burgertime has a great link ( I did not save it) about the 500 MB level and S/W and Digging.. Edit.. Here is it http://www.theweatherprediction.com/charts/500/basics/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Has anything changed for the piedmont of NC (Specifically Winston-Salem and Greensboro)? Last night when I went to bed, things were a bit discouraging. TWC still has us as a wintry mix for Tues and Wed. Don't EVER listen to the WEATHER CHANNEL!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Is there a place on here that explains all the weather lingo? What is shortwave? What do you mean by digging? http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/ams/glossary.html Definitions for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Has anything changed for the piedmont of NC (Specifically Winston-Salem and Greensboro)? Last night when I went to bed, things were a bit discouraging. TWC still has us as a wintry mix for Tues and Wed. Not sure why you feel that way. Winston in in a great spot, GSO will be close but probably good. The 2 best models at this range shifted east last night (UK shifted from an Apps runner to a coastal) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 NAM looks as stubborn as the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gritsnc Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 http://www.wrcc.dri....s/glossary.html Definitions for you. Thank you! Now maybe I can understand what some of you are saying. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I see you lurking Robert. Any changes in your thoughts this morning? Also is it a cold or was it the drywall dust? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/9664-posting-etiquette/ This might also be helpful. Thank you! Now maybe I can understand what some of you are saying. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 NAM looks as stubborn as the GFS. The energy over WY at 48 is stronger and that is key with digging furher south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 My question is this...Being that we are still 3-4 days out what are the most likely changes/trends to the current setup? I haven't been following storms for nearly as long as most of you, but for the time that I have it seems pretty infrequent that the models have it right 4 days out. What are you seeing in the current trends that might take us to what actually verifies?? Thanks in advance!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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