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Pattern beyond Jan 21st


Ginx snewx

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This run is actually somewhat encouraging....that is a really amped up solution and we nearly hang onto to all snow. Its all snow north of the MA/NH border with the exception of maybe far SE NH and extreme S/SE Maine.

It looks like qpf is 2"+ for just about everyone.

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This run is actually somewhat encouraging....that is a really amped up solution and we nearly hang onto to all snow. Its all snow north of the MA/NH border with the exception of maybe far SE NH and extreme S/SE Maine.

It looks like qpf is 2"+ for just about everyone.

This run blows for me.

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Yea, he's gonna have a stroke, middle-aged style.

Hopefully it's a little too amped up. Sometimes the euro will have this, only to come back to reality 36 hours or so later. There def is the possibility of a more amped up solution, however. Lets just hope we've seen the most extreme one.

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Then an inch of rain....UGH....no thx. lol

Wk in a dry slot and we have a deal.

Well obviously it would have been nice to see another 12z solution...but all in all, a solution this jacked up and we try hard to hang onto mostly snow...that's not necessarily a bad thing. That departing high is really trying to hold the cold in.

It shows that we have a bit of wiggle room. We obviously don't want to have a really potent low storming into LI...but we have time to correct it slightly S or E or even have the cold airmass hang on a bit more than models are indicating.

As I mentioned yesterday, we should all be aware that this storm provides taint potential. We don't have a strong block just to our north.

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Feb 25th 2010 repeat....colder this time.....looks bad for the folks to the east

No way, the cold air source is to the north and northeast this time with that departing arctic high....Feb 25, 2010 had warm air coming from Maine and Quebec. If the low tracks up LI, then obviously people out to the east on the coast will have issues but interior folks and people up in NH and Maine would get crushed....totally different from 2/25/10

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No way, the cold air source is to the north and northeast this time with that departing arctic high....Feb 25, 2010 had warm air coming from Maine and Quebec. If the low tracks up LI, then obviously people out to the east on the coast will have issues but interior folks and people up in NH and Maine would get crushed....totally different from 2/25/10

What does your gut tell you now Will? 3rd run of he Euro now that shows this

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What does your gut tell you now Will? 3rd run of he Euro now that shows this

A feel pretty good...I actually think the Euro is probably a little too amped up and we could see some colder solutions going forward.

Still have to keep a keen eye out though for these warmer solutions because the dynamics look to be quite potent and they can try to drag this a bit inland. I do like that the airmass before the storm will be very cold so hopefully that can have enough of an influence on this system to keep it on the colder side even though the high is departing.

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A feel pretty good...I actually think the Euro is probably a little too amped up and we could see some colder solutions going forward.

Still have to keep a keen eye out though for these warmer solutions because the dynamics look to be quite potent and they can try to drag this a bit inland. I do like that the airmass before the storm will be very cold so hopefully that can have enough of an influence on this system to keep it on the colder side even though the high is departing.

Thanks for your thoughts.....always factored in heavily here.

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Bump for Will-The-Thrill.

Yeah there is a limit as to how far west this can go. We do have a block in the Atlnatic, but its an east based Iceland block....while that doesn't protect us from a rain solution all by itself, it does put a limit on how NW this tracks because that block still does force some lower heights in the 50/50 region....not ideal, but still there.

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Yeah there is a limit as to how far west this can go. We do have a block in the Atlnatic, but its an east based Iceland block....while that doesn't protect us from a rain solution all by itself, it does put a limit on how NW this tracks because that block still does force some lower heights in the 50/50 region....not ideal, but still there.

Imagine a 25-30" wet snow-bomb laid onto this base....your talking March 2001 more extensively placed.

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