ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Finally gets us at 120h...0C line from just NW of a Ray to ORH to perhaps BAF line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I like the sound of this for KLEB. Sounds like feet interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Trying to hang on at 114h...850 0C line about from South Weymouth to Kevin....snow like crazy north of that line though. Getting hammered So this puts HFD north of the 0c line? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
simpsonsbuff Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Sounds like feet interior Really does. Would love some qpf whenever someone has the chance. I really should invest in buying a euro pass. I hear there is even Euro MOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 So this puts HFD north of the 0c line? No, they are south of it at 114h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Nasty run for many, but at least I get a front end dump..sort of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'll wait for the accuweather maps to come out so I can get a better idea, but I'm guessing the total qpf is of more concern than the 850 temp at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This run is actually somewhat encouraging....that is a really amped up solution and we nearly hang onto to all snow. Its all snow north of the MA/NH border with the exception of maybe far SE NH and extreme S/SE Maine. It looks like qpf is 2"+ for just about everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 I'll wait for the accuweather maps to come out so I can get a better idea, but I'm guessing the total qpf is of more concern than the 850 temp at this point. Total qpf is never a concern at this juncture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Total qpf is never a concern at this juncture Maybe I phrased this wrong, but I thought we should focus more on the qpf than the temps right now? If not, then I really hope this storm starts trending cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This run is actually somewhat encouraging....that is a really amped up solution and we nearly hang onto to all snow. Its all snow north of the MA/NH border with the exception of maybe far SE NH and extreme S/SE Maine. It looks like qpf is 2"+ for just about everyone. This run blows for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 How's the qpf for vt? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This run blows for me. CT Blizz will not be pleased when he wakes up and sees this lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This run blows for me. You probably get over a foot snow before any change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 You probably get over a foot snow before any change. Then an inch of rain....UGH....no thx. lol Wk in a dry slot and we have a deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 CT Blizz will not be pleased when he wakes up and sees this lol Yea, he's gonna have a stroke, middle-aged style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Will, am I correct in perceiving some subtle inferences on your part that this is nearly about as amped of a soloution as we should expect.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yea, he's gonna have a stroke, middle-aged style. Hopefully it's a little too amped up. Sometimes the euro will have this, only to come back to reality 36 hours or so later. There def is the possibility of a more amped up solution, however. Lets just hope we've seen the most extreme one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yea, he's gonna have a stroke, middle-aged style. He'll just toss it and say it was garbage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Then an inch of rain....UGH....no thx. lol Wk in a dry slot and we have a deal. Well obviously it would have been nice to see another 12z solution...but all in all, a solution this jacked up and we try hard to hang onto mostly snow...that's not necessarily a bad thing. That departing high is really trying to hold the cold in. It shows that we have a bit of wiggle room. We obviously don't want to have a really potent low storming into LI...but we have time to correct it slightly S or E or even have the cold airmass hang on a bit more than models are indicating. As I mentioned yesterday, we should all be aware that this storm provides taint potential. We don't have a strong block just to our north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 He'll just toss it and say it was garbage No he won't....he has an amped fetish this go-around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 25th 2010 repeat....colder this time.....looks bad for the folks to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 25th 2010 repeat....colder this time.....looks bad for the folks to the east No way, the cold air source is to the north and northeast this time with that departing arctic high....Feb 25, 2010 had warm air coming from Maine and Quebec. If the low tracks up LI, then obviously people out to the east on the coast will have issues but interior folks and people up in NH and Maine would get crushed....totally different from 2/25/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 No way, the cold air source is to the north and northeast this time with that departing arctic high....Feb 25, 2010 had warm air coming from Maine and Quebec. If the low tracks up LI, then obviously people out to the east on the coast will have issues but interior folks and people up in NH and Maine would get crushed....totally different from 2/25/10 What does your gut tell you now Will? 3rd run of he Euro now that shows this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 What does your gut tell you now Will? 3rd run of he Euro now that shows this A feel pretty good...I actually think the Euro is probably a little too amped up and we could see some colder solutions going forward. Still have to keep a keen eye out though for these warmer solutions because the dynamics look to be quite potent and they can try to drag this a bit inland. I do like that the airmass before the storm will be very cold so hopefully that can have enough of an influence on this system to keep it on the colder side even though the high is departing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Will, am I correct in perceiving some subtle inferences on your part that this is nearly about as amped of a soloution as we should expect.... Bump for Will-The-Thrill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 A feel pretty good...I actually think the Euro is probably a little too amped up and we could see some colder solutions going forward. Still have to keep a keen eye out though for these warmer solutions because the dynamics look to be quite potent and they can try to drag this a bit inland. I do like that the airmass before the storm will be very cold so hopefully that can have enough of an influence on this system to keep it on the colder side even though the high is departing. Thanks for your thoughts.....always factored in heavily here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Bump for Will-The-Thrill. Yeah there is a limit as to how far west this can go. We do have a block in the Atlnatic, but its an east based Iceland block....while that doesn't protect us from a rain solution all by itself, it does put a limit on how NW this tracks because that block still does force some lower heights in the 50/50 region....not ideal, but still there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Yeah there is a limit as to how far west this can go. We do have a block in the Atlnatic, but its an east based Iceland block....while that doesn't protect us from a rain solution all by itself, it does put a limit on how NW this tracks because that block still does force some lower heights in the 50/50 region....not ideal, but still there. Imagine a 25-30" wet snow-bomb laid onto this base....your talking March 2001 more extensively placed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Imagine a 25-30" wet snow-bomb laid onto this base....your talking March 2001 more extensively placed. I can't really comprehend that right now. It would be pretty remarkable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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