dmc76 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Well it let up again for now after the brief period of heavy snow. You can even see a dim yellow circle (the sun) in the sky now. this is busting hard for most of swmi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 this is busting hard for most of swmi. SE Ottawa and NC/NE Allegan counties seem to be the only place where the radar is indicating anything close to steady snow. The snow seems to form across Ottawa county and head south/south east into Allegan and dissipate (at least on the GRR radar). I don't see any significant accumulations like they were advertising, but maybe something can get going this afternoon. I don't know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 this is busting hard for most of swmi. Pretty much.. Typical LES. Flow remained too bent to far to the north ( nw ) for too long and moisture sucked. Thankfully i have managed to sneak in about 4" here so far since yesterday. Most of it though was yesterday. Basically a inch since yesterday evening? See what happens now as the main stuff is now dropping in. Thus the fat lady is not done yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 what color palette it that? It's one I made. The heavy snow bands stick out really nice. Snow Table Units: dBZ Step: 4 color: -4 2 174 0 1 145 0 color: 0 246 203 17 color: 4 246 181 45 238 119 8 color: 8 228 0 0 color: 12 183 2 0 154 5 5 color: 16 220 20 231 color: 20 178 51 207 104 13 151 color: 24 191 253 222 color: 28 172 253 213 68 241 156 color: 32 195 195 195 color: 36 110 110 110 92 92 92 color: 40 104 155 240 color: 44 83 136 224 37 90 178 color: 48 37 90 178 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 18z NAM hinting at some decent NE wind LES off Lk Ontario as the sfc/ul low track to the south of us. Flow needs to veer a bit more to get me into the game, but it'll be close, at least verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 This heavy snowband has just about covered the grass here and dropped a quick inch. Still moderate snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 Part 2 starting for extreme SW MI and Northern IN. IWX's forecast map: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 7, 2011 Share Posted January 7, 2011 WOW!!! michsnowfreak is probably pissed right about now (he's on the edge of the band and will see a shorter duration), but MAN!!! That band was something else. All the roads are snowcovered and I have about another 1 or 2 of snow on the ground. That was easily the heaviest snow of the season. Everything's fully snow covered now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 IWX confident that impressive LES will occur from this episode. Aviation forecast thinks South Bend could receive very heavy snow. I include part of the late Friday afternoon AFD. Light snow now here at Elkhart. Good to have tomorrow off to watch this unfold. IN THE WAKE OF THE WAVE...THE MUCH ADVERTISED LAKE EFFECT EVENT WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE WITH ONE OR MORE DOMINANT BANDS SETTING UP AND AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ALL PARAMETERS MENTIONED THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS REMAIN...AND WITH INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN WARNING CRITERIA SOMEWHERE ACROSS BERRIEN...CASS...ST JOE INDIANA AND ELKHART COUNTY LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...HAVE UPGRADED TO A WARNING FOR THESE AREAS. EVEN THOUGH SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT WILL BE OCCURRING THIS EVENING...DID KEEP HEADLINE STARTING AT 6Z AND WILL LET EVE SHIFT MONITOR TRENDS. LOCALLY STUDIED TYPE 6 LAKE EFFECT SETUP APPEARS ON TRACK DURING THE DAY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. AS MESO LOW DEVELOPS ACROSS NORTHERN LK MI AND DROPS SOUTH A SIG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL TAKE SHAPE AND MOVE WITH IT. THE BAND /OR POSSIBLY BANDS/ WILL BE QUITE TRANSITORY MAKING EXACT AMOUNTS TOUGH AT THIS POINT. IN THE WAKE OF THE MESO LOW...WHICH COULD PENETRATE WELL INLAND...A MORE STEADY STATE BAND SHOULD MATERIALIZE. WHILE TRENDS HAVE SUGGESTED THIS WILL MAINLY BE A NW TO SE ORIENTATION...LOCAL WRF DATA AS WELL AS OTHER HIGH RES MODELS INDICATE THERE COULD BE A PERIOD WHEN THE BAND COULD SETUP ACROSS MUCH OF LAPORTE COUNTY POSSIBLY INTO STARKE COUNTY. AS THE BAND MOVES BACK AND FORTH...ADVISORY TO WARNING CRITERIA SNOWFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF MARSHALL COUNTY INTO NORTHERN KOSCIUSKO COUNTY. FOR NOW HAVE OPTED TO KEEP WATCH GOING FOR NOW IN THESE AREA WITH MOST FAVORABLE WINDOW POSSIBLY NOT TILL AFTER 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 WOW!!! michsnowfreak is probably pissed right about now (he's on the edge of the band and will see a shorter duration), but MAN!!! That band was something else. All the roads are snowcovered and I have about another 1 or 2 of snow on the ground. That was easily the heaviest snow of the season. Everything's fully snow covered now. Im pissed, but only because I was at work and couldnt really enjoy it. The band actually hit us head on, and all I can say is WOW on how heavy it was shortly after 5pm, and at rush hour too. Wish I had my camera (was at work anyway). In that band alone, DTW picked up 1.0" of snow in the hour, and mby picked up 1.4". Snow depth is now a solid 2" at DTW with about 2.5" here. Everything is a winterwonderland with that heavy whiteout of snow causing of flocking of fluff on the trees. This is as good as it gets for les here! Snowfall totals: Jan 6th: 1.6" (0.08" wtr) imby, 1.4" DTW (0.07" wtr) Jan 7th: 1.7" (0.06" wtr) imby, 1.2" DTW (0.04" wtr)***thru 7pm DTW obs for today and yesterday, again, as good as it gets for les here. 1/6/11 http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDTW/2011/1/6/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA 1/7/11 http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDTW/2011/1/7/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Im pissed, but only because I was at work and couldnt really enjoy it. The band actually hit us head on, and all I can say is WOW on how heavy it was shortly after 5pm, and at rush hour too. Wish I had my camera (was at work anyway). In that band alone, DTW picked up 1.0" of snow in the hour, and mby picked up 1.4". Snow depth is now a solid 2" at DTW with about 2.5" here. Everything is a winterwonderland with that heavy whiteout of snow causing of flocking of fluff on the trees. This is as good as it gets for les here! Snowfall totals: Jan 6th: 1.6" (0.08" wtr) imby, 1.4" DTW (0.07" wtr) Jan 7th: 1.7" (0.06" wtr) imby, 1.2" DTW (0.04" wtr)***thru 7pm DTW obs for today and yesterday, again, as good as it gets for les here. 1/6/11 http://www.wundergro...eq_statename=NA 1/7/11 http://www.wundergro...eq_statename=NA Sweet. Actually, I wasn't at home either. Basically running around in SE Macomb County (St. Clair Shores & Eastpointe) and Grosse Pointe. The most impressive part about it was the drastic transitions between the heavy snow squalls and the areas where it wasn't snowing. In SE Macomb County I was virtually on the edge of the band for most of the time as it rode along/north of the I-696 corridor (those areas look to be the big winners with local 3-4" amounts) so the snowfall intensity & visibilities were quite variable. Then heading over to Grosse Pointe it looked like a summertime thunderstorm with the shelf cloud hanging over (right before the squall completely took over). The air even had that calm winter storm feel to it before the big squalls came through which just made the event even better. I am quite jealous of Novi/Wixom however. From what I could discern listening to WWJ-950, they got completely rocked!!! It does look like the eastside may get some additional snow as the winds come off Lake Huron late tonight/tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 It does look like the eastside may get some additional snow as the winds come off Lake Huron late tonight/tomorrow. Yeah I could see from the City Northeast getting in on some lake effect of off Huron, and from East of I-75 north of the city also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I just measured 2.3" of snow...so approximately 2" of new snow today. LES total so far around 2.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wow, you can see a discrete LES band show up off Lk Ontario on the somewhat lower resolution, large scale maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 SSW winds starting to advect some SNSH off lk Ontario. -SN here, +SN right along the lakeshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 The IMBY forecast for me has now been upped to storm total of possible 12-16 inches. INZ004-005-MIZ077-078-081030- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.W.0001.110108T0219Z-110109T1200Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR... ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 919 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ..LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...BECOMING HEAVIER ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ONE OR MORE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT OF 2 TO LOCALLY 7 INCHES. HIGHLY VARIABLE AMOUNTS FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE THREAT FOR STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE FOOT BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES WHERE INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS PERSIST LONGER. * OTHER IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE HEAVIER BANDS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The IMBY forecast for me has now been upped to storm total of possible 12-16 inches. INZ004-005-MIZ077-078-081030- /O.EXT.KIWX.LE.W.0001.110108T0219Z-110109T1200Z/ ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR... ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 919 PM EST FRI JAN 7 2011 ..LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS...BECOMING HEAVIER ESPECIALLY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ONE OR MORE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...NEW SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TONIGHT OF 2 TO LOCALLY 7 INCHES. HIGHLY VARIABLE AMOUNTS FROM LOCATION TO LOCATION CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH THE THREAT FOR STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE FOOT BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 16 INCHES WHERE INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS PERSIST LONGER. * OTHER IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. AREAS OF REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE HEAVIER BANDS. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. Congrats.. Like everything else here it was a epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Sorry it didn't get as far east as Battle Creek and Jackson like NWS forecasts expected, Harry. Thought it was going to be a good one for you up that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Sorry it didn't get as far east as Battle Creek and Jackson like NWS forecasts expected, Harry. Thought it was going to be a good one for you up that way. Thanks. Just the way this winter has been around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Big flaked moderate snow now. Ground is coated in that translucent 20-25:1 type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ok, just took my 24 hour snowfall measurement, and we got 1.3" of new snow (0.05" liquid) and 5.0" total on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ok, just took my 24 hour snowfall measurement, and we got 1.3" of new snow (0.05" liquid) and 5.0" total on the ground. Supposed to take it every 6hrs.. Or did you? What is the final total? I am not gonna lie either. I said to heck with it and did not bother. For those wondering about measuring snowfall correctly.. http://www.crh.noaa.gov/grr/coop/howto/measuresnow/ If your daily schedule permits, you may wish to make a snowfall observation every 6-hours, beginning with your regularly scheduled time of observation. This is the procedure followed by NOAA's National Weather Service Forecast Offices. Follow the same rules for a once-a-day observation, but the snow accumulation reported will be the greatest for the previous six hours instead of 24 hours. If you take your observations at this frequency, make sure that you clear your snowboard (or other measuring surface) no more than once every 6 hours. Record the frequency of observations during the day in the comments section of your report. Never sum more than four, six-hourly observations to determine your 24 hour snowfall total. If you use more than four observations, it would falsely increase snowfall totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ha, yeah, screw 6 hours. That's too much..lol. Oh well, I know they like the liquid equivalents though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick7032 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ok, just took my 24 hour snowfall measurement, and we got 1.3" of new snow (0.05" liquid) and 5.0" total on the ground. Not bad....I had a busy day and got about 2 inches here at metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 Off to a good start with more to come... PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1056 PM EST FRI JAN 07 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1052 PM HEAVY SNOW MISHAWAKA 41.66N 86.16W 01/07/2011 M8.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER STORM TOTAL. 3 INCHES SINCE 8 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 00z NAM favoring areas west of St. Bend to Rolling Prairie on up to St. Joseph for the jackpot with the LES. http://wxcaster.com/gis-snow-overlays.php3?STATIONID=IWX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 0.8" fresh accumulation through midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Ok, just took my 24 hour snowfall measurement, and we got 1.3" of new snow (0.05" liquid) and 5.0" total on the ground. Sucks that it was a bust for you guys, well it seems like yesterday was a bit of a good bust and today a definite bad bust, but 5" on the ground is nothing to sneeze at. So I assume total 2-day storm is at LEAST 6", probably more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Again, for lake effect in this area of SE MI, cant complain as it basically met/exceeded my expectations. Jan 6th: 1.6" imby (1.4" DTW) Jan 7th: 2.1" imby (1.7" DTW) The fluffy snow of course settles, so after a 2-day total of 3.7", the depth is actually in the 2-3" range (generally 2.5"). It was a nice wintry night for taking pics, this type of snow just lights everything up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 single band really starting to look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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